269 Evergreen Ln · Woodford, VT 05201

$149,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Other public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1940

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.6/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

JThis camp also has 2 extra lots, totaling 4, has been a great snowmobiling location for the family. Everything in the pictures stays. Heat is propane and also electric baseboard all around, use either one or get toasty with both. Shallow well along stream and has septic. no large trees on property cut and stumped just small saplings that need cutting. , behind property is the national forest. Woodford property doesn& apos; t come up often send me a msg.

Key facts

• Built 1940
• Listed 13 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $143k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Bennington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bennington County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $150k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $142,789 (4.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.95% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.74%
• DSCR: 1.26
• GRM: 8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-11,553
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.15×
• Total profit: $6,216
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Vermont: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 05201

• Home prices YoY: -19.3%
• Active inventory: 65
• Price-to-rent: 8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,428 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$79 /mo · $945/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$300
• Net cashflow: $201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,174

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $149,900 Active
2. 2019-07-23
   soldstatus $50,000
3. 2016-08-09
   price $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $945 · $79/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,897 · $158/mo
• Expected delta: +$951/yr (+$79/mo · 100.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,135
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$945
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,371
• − Management: −$1,371
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$59
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$14
• After-tax cash flow: $2,423/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Woodford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Bennington County · 14,998 people
• Metro: Bennington, VT
• Population (ZIP): 14,998
• Household income: $59,798
• Rent vs Own: 39.1% rent · 60.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 982.0

Population outlook (Bennington County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,407 people
• By 2030: 32,975 · -4.2%
• By 2040: 29,711 · -13.6%
• By 2050: 26,638 · -22.6%
• By 2075: 21,318 · -38.0%
• By 2100: 16,086 · -53.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 10% Slovak 7% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bennington

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.5) · D 60.0% · R 37.5% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.4pp · 2024: 22.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.5 2020: D+27.3 2016: D+22.1 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+33.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -60.78%
• Current HPI: 254.5149
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Bennington, VT
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+150.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $149,900 FSBO.com
• 2019-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 2016-08-09 Price Changed $59,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $945 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.