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1452 Humbolt Ave
B Composite 73.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$85,000

1452 Humbolt Ave · Youngstown, OH 44502
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1927 4,225 sqft lot Est $89k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention first-time buyers and savvy investors. .. this is the one you've been waiting for! This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath Youngstown charmer is packed with potential and priced to move at $85,000. Built in 1927 with classic character, this two-story features hardwood floor under the carpet, spacious bedrooms with ceiling fans, a covered front porch, detached 1.5 car garage, and a full unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches. Bonus space off the second bedroom has updated electric and could easily serve as a third room. Major mechanicals have been taken care of for you including a newer furnace (2025), new hot water tank (2026), serviced electrical panel (2025), and the main water l

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Updated electric
  • 4,225 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOOR UNDER CARPETCOVERED FRONT PORCHFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTUPDATED ELECTRICPARTIALLY FENCED BACKYARDLANDSCAPED WITH HOSTAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1.5-car); Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story vinyl-sided home; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Small yard on a 0.097-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Two upstairs bedrooms (carpeted)
  • Flooring: Carpet in primary living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Wall-mounted cooling units
  • Interior features: Basement with concrete construction

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $85k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.16%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,216
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2692 Taft Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 990 (-9%) 3mo $30,000 $30 75
2675 Hunter Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 12mo $58,000 $57 74
3222 Sheridan Rd 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 6mo $110,000 $109 64
1321 Detroit Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,001 (-8%) 2mo $60,000 $60 56
3332 Sheridan Rd 0.37mi 2/1.0 924 (-15%) 3mo $56,005 $61 55
1146 Detroit Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,042 (-4%) 12mo $115,360 $111 53
3304 Tangent St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,224 (+12%) 11mo $120,000 $98 50
1140 Inverness Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,210 (+11%) 10mo $99,000 $82 39
827 E Avondale Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,224 (+12%) 4mo $64,000 $52 38
808 Marmion Ave 0.67mi 2/1.5 928 (-15%) 4mo $96,600 $104 38
1709 S Heights Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+12%) 6mo $66,000 $54 32
3508 Loveland Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+13%) 13mo $130,000 $106 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$24,035
Equity at exit
$32,504
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$65,790
Equity at exit
$46,033

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44502

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,124 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1803 Pointview Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 0.72mi
1914 S Heights Ave Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,950 $1.75 43d 1 0.79mi
512 E Philadelphia Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $899 $0.75 21d 1 0.98mi
834 E Midlothian Blvd Youngstown, OH 1.0 1.0 708 $750 $1.06 13d 1 1.00mi
2002 Brownlee Ave Youngstown, OH 1.0 1.0 820 $875 $1.07 43d 1 1.13mi
2523 E Midlothian Blvd Apt 5 Struthers, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 13d 1 1.23mi
610 Elm St Struthers, OH 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 13d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    remarks 699-char remark
  17. 2026-05-30
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,490
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,079
− Management
−$1,079
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,398
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$575
After-tax cash flow
$3,033/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning County · 84,956 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
Population (ZIP)
9,594
Household income
$31,170
Rent vs Own
51.2% rent · 48.8% own
Severe rent burden
566.0

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 35% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.78%
Current HPI
246.2163
Rent YoY
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+139.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1992-07-24 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 1992-04-24 Listed $35,500 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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