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1128 Haywood Rd
C Composite 58.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1128 Haywood Rd · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31211
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1954 0.25 ac lot Est $43k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming starter home in historic area. Needs a little TLC but is a diamond in the rough. Bring all offers. NO SELLER DISCLOSURES. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: One-level home
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Property listed as fixer
  • Exterior features: City street frontage; Asphalt road access; GPS-friendly directions

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen features listed
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; No special bedroom features listed
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Brick fireplace; One fireplace; Other interior features; No shared/common walls; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Jr Elementary School (math 9% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,124 of 1,228 statewide, top 92%, 631 students, 100% FRL); Appling Middle School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #429 of 470 statewide, top 91%, 648 students, 100% FRL); Northeast High School (math 2% / reading 5%, grade F, #413 of 424 statewide, top 99%, 742 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.17%
Cash-on-cash
31.69%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,008
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2029 Kitchens Rd 0.05mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 7mo $35,000 $52 92
2015 Kitchens Rd 0.06mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 10mo $110,000 $164 89
1861 Kitchens Rd 0.20mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 3mo $43,000 $64 88
1861 Kitchens Rd 0.20mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 3mo $43,000 $64 88
1015 Haywood Rd 0.12mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 11mo $11,300 $17 86
1030 Dennis St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 728 (+8%) 16mo $83,000 $114 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$15,476
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
34.3%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$43,913
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31211

Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$933 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,008/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $465
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $384 +0% $370 +5% $356 +10% $341
Rent -10% $296 -5% $333 +0% $370 +5% $407 +10% $443
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $382 base $370 +0.5pp $357 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1073 Haywood Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 672 $950 $1.41 44d 1 0.07mi
920 Williams St E Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $650 $1.08 44d 1 0.52mi
918 Williams St E Unit 918 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 44d 1 0.52mi
2050 Old Clinton Rd Macon, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 588 $900 $1.53 14d 1 0.96mi
1233 Woolfolk Ter Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 740 $750 $1.01 14d 1 1.01mi
1108 Boulevard Unit 3 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 616 $815 $1.32 14d 1 1.04mi
1086 Clinton Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 44d 1 1.05mi
1086 Clinton Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 21d 1 1.05mi
2903 Skyline Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 725 $960 $1.32 14d 1 1.40mi
2913 Skyline Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 700 $910 $1.30 21d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $50,000 Active
  18. 2023-12-18
    historical
  19. 2023-09-20
    price $48,000
  20. 2023-05-01
    price $49,000
  21. 2023-04-03
    listed $59,000 New
  22. 2022-03-26
    historical
  23. 2022-02-27
    status Active
  24. 2022-02-07
    historical
  25. 2022-01-11
    listed $49,999 New
  26. 2021-11-30
    historical
  27. 2021-11-05
    listed $49,999 New
  28. 2021-07-24
    historical
  29. 2021-07-09
    listed $49,999 New
  30. 2021-06-07
    historical
  31. 2021-05-13
    listed $44,999 New
  32. 2021-04-16
    historical
  33. 2021-02-16
    listed $44,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,008 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,008 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,192
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,008
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$895
− Management
−$895
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$3,888
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$933
After-tax cash flow
$3,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,868
Household income
$49,202
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1075.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 34% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.58%
Current HPI
174.0861
Rent YoY
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $50,000 FMLS
  • 2023-12-18 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Price Changed $48,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Price Changed $49,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-04-03 Listed $59,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-03-26 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-02-27 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-02-07 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-01-11 Listed $49,999 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-11-05 Listed $49,999 GAMLS
  • 2021-07-24 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-07-09 Listed $49,999 GAMLS
  • 2021-06-07 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-05-13 Listed $44,999 GAMLS
  • 2021-04-16 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-02-16 Listed $44,999 GAMLS

Property tax history

+17.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,008 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…