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15347 Coyote Dr
D+ Composite 48.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$212,490

15347 Coyote Dr · Urbandale, IA 50111
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,418 sqft · Other · 209 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 1,120 sqft lot $150/sqft · 8% below area Est $230k · 8% under $195/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

Key facts

  • Dual vanity sink
  • Dedicated pantry
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

ACCESS TO WAUKEE SCHOOLSCOZY FIREPLACEDEDICATED PANTRYISLAND OVER-LOOKING DININGENSUITE BATHROOMDUAL VANITY SINK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $212k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-968/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 327 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $186,991 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$230,026
List price
$212,490
Delta
-7.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-43,934
Equity at exit
$31,683
10-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-61,953
Equity at exit
$18,372

Cash invested: $59,497 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50111

Home prices YoY
-11.1%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,004 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,114
Tax est. 1.5%
$266 /mo · $3,187/yr
Insurance
$89
HOA
$195
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$-81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,106
Max offer price $200,816
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $66 -5% $-7 +0% $-81 +5% $-154 +10% $-228
Rent -10% $-239 -5% $-160 +0% $-81 +5% $-2 +10% $78
Rate -1.0pp $26 -0.5pp $-27 base $-81 +0.5pp $-136 +1.0pp $-192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,122
Closing costs
$6,375
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15133 Foxglove Ln Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1529 $2,350 $1.54 15d 1 0.42mi
5437 155th St Urbandale, IA 3.0–4.0 2.5 1590 $1,969 $1.24 15d 8 0.50mi
5506 144th St Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1575 $1,875 $1.19 44d 1 0.58mi
15118 Deerview Dr Urbandale, IA 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,195 $1.37 44d 1 0.59mi
14420 Springbrook Trl Grimes, IA 3.0 2.5 1575 $1,950 $1.24 15d 1 0.96mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$195 · $2,340/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

  2. 2026-05-13
    price $209,990 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

  3. 2026-04-22
    price $217,990 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

  4. 2026-03-06
    price $219,990 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

  5. 2026-02-12
    price $222,990 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

  6. 2025-11-06
    price $224,990 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

  7. 2025-10-21
    listed $231,990 Active 963-char remark
    Show marketing remark (963 chars)

    Welcome to the Pearson, a townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes - offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,418 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with appliances included. Step into a welcoming foyer that leads into an open-concept main level, perfect for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and a large L-shaped island, ideal for casual dining and gatherings. The kitchen flows into the dining area and great room, where an electric fireplace adds a cozy touch. A half bathroom and access to the 1-car garage complete the main level. Upstairs, retreat to the spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath with dual vanities and walk-in shower. Two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and upstairs laundry offer comfort and convenience. Visit today and see why the Pearson is built for the way you live! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,042
− Mortgage interest
−$11,903
− Property taxes
−$3,187
− Insurance
−$1,062
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,923
− Management
−$1,923
− HOA
−$2,340
− Depreciation
−$6,182
Taxable loss
−$4,478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,075
After-tax cash flow
$107/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained townhome in Magnolia Heights Townhomes offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. Upgrades in paint, landscaping, and smart home features can significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting front entrance.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — High-quality flooring can significantly enhance the home's value and appeal to buyers.
  • Both Upgrading the lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and increase its value.
  • Rental Adding a smart thermostat — Modern technology can attract renters and improve energy efficiency, reducing utility costs.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting front entrance.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — High-quality flooring can significantly enhance the home's value and appeal to buyers.
  • Both Upgrading the lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and increase its value.
  • Rental Adding a smart thermostat — Modern technology can attract renters and improve energy efficiency, reducing utility costs.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukee Community School District
NCES district ID
1930510
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,580
Composite
70.94/100
National rank
#245
State rank
#14 of 289 in IA

Livability — Urbandale

Score
90/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#69

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Urbandale, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
49,196
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
16,865
Household income
$120,769
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
249.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,904 people
By 2030
127,807 · +14.2%
By 2040
160,576 · +43.5%
By 2050
194,154 · +73.5%
By 2075
271,895 · +143.0%
By 2100
326,525 · +191.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.93%
Current HPI
249.0614
Rent YoY
▲ 0.71%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending DMMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $209,990 DMMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $217,990 DMMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $219,990 DMMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $222,990 DMMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $224,990 DMMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $231,990 DMMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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