137 Green Tree Dr · Columbia, SC 29203

$139,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,570 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market

Built 1971 9,801 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.5/30.0
• DSCR +9.6/10.0
• 1% rule +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover this charming 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in Hollywood Hills, Columbia! Built in 1971, this single-story gem boasts 1,570 sq. ft. of bright living space on a spacious 0.225-acre lot. Enjoy proximity to top schools, easy access to downtown, and a vibrant community. Don’t miss this affordable gem—schedule your tour today! Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.

Key facts

• Spacious lot
• 9,801 sq ft lot
• Garage

Tags

• SPACIOUS LOT
• PROXIMITY TO TOP SCHOOLS
• EASY ACCESS TO DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Parking garage with 2 parking spaces (main level)
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electric/energy: Other (see remarks)
• Home design: Single-story home
• Construction: Crawlspace foundation
• Exterior features: Brick siding above foundation on all sides; Wood exterior; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Free-standing range
• Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Bedroom 2 on the main level; Bedroom 3 on the main level; Bedroom 4 on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One additional full bathroom; One additional partial bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
• Interior features: Refrigerator included; Free-standing range

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
• Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: W.J. Keenan High (math 54% / reading 77%, grade B, #83 of 196 statewide, top 43%, 725 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 31% district-wide (+35 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,809/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $98k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.29% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.61%
• DSCR: 1.56
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.07×
• Total profit: $2,699
• Equity at exit: $20,860

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.83×
• Total profit: $32,667
• Equity at exit: $12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29203

• Home prices YoY: -31.6%
• Rents YoY: 2.5%
• Active inventory: 238
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,809 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax from tax record: −$225 /mo · $2,704/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$380
• Net cashflow: $412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,288

Max offer price $139,900

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,975
• Closing costs: $4,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
112 Tillbury Dr Columbia, SC	3.0	2.0	1732	$1,781	$1.03	21d	1	0.66mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $139,900 Active 70 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $139,900 Active 69 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $139,900 Active 68 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   pricedays on market $139,900 Active 67 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $144,900 Active 65 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $144,900 Active 62 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $144,900 Active 61 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $144,900 Active 60 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   pricedays on market $144,900 Active 59 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,900 Active 55 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,900 Active 54 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Active 53 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Active 52 DOM
14. 2026-05-15
    price $154,900
15. 2026-04-09
    listed $159,900 Active
16. 2022-08-24
    soldstatus $97,500
17. 2002-04-23
    soldstatus $22,000
18. 1985-11-01
    soldstatus $31,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,704 · $225/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,704 · $225/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,705
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,837
• − Property taxes: −$2,704
• − Insurance: −$700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,736
• − Management: −$1,736
• − Depreciation: −$4,070
• Taxable income: $2,922
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$701
• After-tax cash flow: $4,238/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richland 01
• NCES district ID: 4503360
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $38,931
• Composite: 25.94/100
• National rank: #7335
• State rank: #54 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #18
• US rank: #2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Richland County · 389,530 people
• City population: 335,994
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 40,653
• Household income: $46,054
• Rent vs Own: 51.3% rent · 48.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1980.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 459,667 people
• By 2030: 487,524 · +6.1%
• By 2040: 542,035 · +17.9%
• By 2050: 595,371 · +29.5%
• By 2075: 732,998 · +59.5%
• By 2100: 820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 80% White 13% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -77.52%
• Current HPI: 168.2114
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.50%
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+387.1% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $154,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-09 Listed $159,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2022-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
• 2002-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
• 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,704 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.