17021 N Bay Rd #508 · Sunny Isles Beach, FL 33160

$200,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · Condo public records · 130 Days on market

Built 1979 $606/mo HOA · 17% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.3/10.0
• Livability +4.3/5.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Tiled unit with great garden view. Can be rented right away, great investment, vacation home or come live in it. 24-hr security guards. 1 block from the ocean. Huge heated pool, garage, Jacuzzi, tennis court, jogging tracks, party rooms. Computer center available at no cost. Library, party rooms, children's play area and much more.

Key facts

• Gated community
• Partially updated
• Huge heated pool

Tags

• PARTIALLY UPDATED
• FRESHLY PAINTED
• ONE BLOCK TO OCEAN
• GATED COMMUNITY
• 24 HRS SECURITY GUARDS
• HUGE HEATED POOL

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed: cats OK
• Financial info: Lease considered
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes amenities; Building amenities: elevator(s), fitness center, laundry, barbecue, picnic area

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 1 covered space
• Security: Key card entry; Phone entry; Security guard
• Utilities: Electric heating and cooling
• Home design: Condominium (attached property); 10-story building; Entry located on level 5
• Construction: Block construction; Resale property
• Exterior features: Barbecue; Complex is fenced

Interior

• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Second-floor entry; Other interior features; Tile flooring
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in a common area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
• Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,543/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 8 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 11494% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Current owner paid $155k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $176,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.77% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.24%
• DSCR: 1.77
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.30×
• Total profit: $16,721
• Equity at exit: $63,399

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.93×
• Total profit: $52,057
• Equity at exit: $80,599

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33160

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 1870
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,543 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,049
• Tax from tax record: −$256 /mo · $3,074/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$606
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$744
• Net cashflow: $378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,064

Max offer price $200,000

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $491	-5% $435	+0% $378	+5% $321	+10% $265
Rent	-10% $98	-5% $238	+0% $378	+5% $518	+10% $658
Rate	-1.0pp $479	-0.5pp $429	base $378	+0.5pp $326	+1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $50,000
• Closing costs: $6,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $606 · $7,272/yr
• Likely covers: poolsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 39 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $200,000 Active 130 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $200,000 Active 129 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $200,000 Active 128 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $200,000 Active 127 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $200,000 Active 125 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $200,000 Active 121 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $200,000 Active 120 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $200,000 Active 119 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $200,000 Active 116 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 115 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 114 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 113 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 112 DOM
14. 2026-04-28
    price $1,650
15. 2026-02-19
    price $200,000
16. 2026-02-09
    listed $1,725
17. 2026-02-08
    listed $200 Active
18. 2026-02-01
    historical $1,750
19. 2026-01-16
    price $1,750
20. 2025-12-11
    listed $1,800
21. 2025-11-28
    historical $1,825
22. 2025-11-17
    price $1,825
23. 2025-11-11
    listed $1,850
24. 2017-08-04
    soldstatus $155,000 Sold 333-char remark

    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    Tiled unit with great garden view. Can be rented right away, great investment, vacation home or come live in it. 24-hr security guards. 1 block from the ocean. Huge heated pool, garage, Jacuzzi, tennis court, jogging tracks, party rooms. Computer center available at no cost. Library, party rooms, children's play area and much more.

25. 2017-07-15
    status Pending 333-char remark

    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    Tiled unit with great garden view. Can be rented right away, great investment, vacation home or come live in it. 24-hr security guards. 1 block from the ocean. Huge heated pool, garage, Jacuzzi, tennis court, jogging tracks, party rooms. Computer center available at no cost. Library, party rooms, children's play area and much more.

26. 2017-06-21
    listed $159,000 Active 333-char remark

    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    Tiled unit with great garden view. Can be rented right away, great investment, vacation home or come live in it. 24-hr security guards. 1 block from the ocean. Huge heated pool, garage, Jacuzzi, tennis court, jogging tracks, party rooms. Computer center available at no cost. Library, party rooms, children's play area and much more.

27. 2016-10-05
    historical
28. 2016-04-14
    price $189,000
29. 2016-04-13
    listed $18,900 Active
30. 2015-08-10
    historical
31. 2015-03-07
    status Active
32. 2015-03-07
    price $189,000
33. 2014-11-20
    historical
34. 2014-03-16
    listed $169,000 Active
35. 2011-11-14
    soldstatus $69,000
36. 2004-12-01
    soldstatus $135,000
37. 2003-09-15
    soldstatus $108,000
38. 1993-03-08
    soldstatus $38,000
39. 1989-02-15
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,074 · $256/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,074 · $256/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 92% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $42,513
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,203
• − Property taxes: −$3,074
• − Insurance: −$6,118
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,401
• − Management: −$3,401
• − HOA: −$7,272
• − Depreciation: −$5,818
• Taxable income: $2,225
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$534
• After-tax cash flow: $4,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sunny Isles Beach

• Score: 86/100
• State rank: #20
• US rank: #434

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A Employment C Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sunny Isles Beach, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 43,718
• Household income: $67,040
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
• Foreign-born: 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.53%
• Current HPI: 284.9293
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.94%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-95.3% since first listed

26 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Price Changed $1,650 MARMLS
• 2026-02-19 Price Changed $200,000 MARMLS
• 2026-02-09 Listed for Rent $1,725 MARMLS
• 2026-02-08 Listed $200 MARMLS
• 2026-02-01 Rental Removed $1,750 MARMLS
• 2026-01-16 Price Changed $1,750 MARMLS
• 2025-12-11 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
• 2025-11-28 Rental Removed $1,825 MARMLS
• 2025-11-17 Price Changed $1,825 MARMLS
• 2025-11-11 Listed for Rent $1,850 MARMLS
• 2017-08-04 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MARMLS
• 2017-07-15 Pending — MARMLS
• 2017-06-21 Listed $159,000 MARMLS
• 2016-10-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2016-04-14 Price Changed $189,000 MARMLS
• 2016-04-13 Listed $18,900 MARMLS
• 2015-08-10 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2015-03-07 Price Changed $189,000 MARMLS
• 2015-03-07 Relisted — MARMLS
• 2014-11-20 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2014-03-16 Listed $169,000 MARMLS
• 2011-11-14 Sold (MLS) $69,000 MARMLS
• 2004-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
• 2003-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
• 1993-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
• 1989-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,074 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.