14524 Camino Real Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Community pools
- Walking trails
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; HOA covers grounds maintenance; Quarterly association fee ($140)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 2021
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (about 0.126 acres); Subdivision: Sendera Ranch East Ph 18
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 12 x 13); Bedroom on level 1 (approx. 12 x 10); Bedroom on level 1 (approx. 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Built-in features; Open floor plan; One living area; One dining area; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (10.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: J C Thompson El (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #2,208 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 816 students, 37% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Northwest ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1083 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.47%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,325
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14417 Cloudview Way | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (0%) | 2mo | $269,000 | $213 | 86 |
| 300 Anvil Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (0%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $217 | 80 |
| 14341 Desert Rain Trl | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+0%) | 3mo | $259,900 | $205 | 80 |
| 304 Ranchito Pass | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+0%) | 9mo | $261,000 | $206 | 79 |
| 14624 Sundog Way | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+6%) | 8mo | $269,000 | $202 | 71 |
| 14564 Serrano Ridge Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+7%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $199 | 70 |
| 412 Copper Ridge Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+7%) | 6mo | $269,500 | $199 | 69 |
| 14340 Broomstick Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (+5%) | 8mo | $294,000 | $221 | 64 |
| 14333 Artisan Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+6%) | 10mo | $268,900 | $200 | 63 |
| 400 Copper Ridge Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (+15%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $200 | 59 |
| 14525 Mainstay Way | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+7%) | 8mo | $309,000 | $228 | 55 |
| 14336 Mariposa Lily Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (+10%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $188 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-55,884
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-77,514
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76052
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1083
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,281 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$433 /mo · $5,199/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$47
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $-150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14604 Camino Real Dr Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $2,195 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 444 Frio Pass Trl Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,050 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14428 Cloudview Way Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $2,250 | $1.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 14428 Cloudview Way Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $2,250 | $1.78 | 10d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 360 Sun Bluff Rd Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $1,810 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 332 Dry Canyon Way Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $1,985 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 321 Ranchito Pass Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $1,929 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 336 Dry Canyon Way Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $2,400 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 344 Dry Canyon Way Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $2,665 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 421 Pueblo Bonito Trl Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14348 Artisan Dr Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,050 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14841 Firerock Rd Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $1,981 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14841 Firerock Rd Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $1,860 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 357 Gunsmith Way Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,899 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 340 Navidad Trl Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,920 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 625 Saguaro Dr Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $2,120 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14825 Dusty Boot Trl Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $2,195 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 565 Pueblo Bonito Trl Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $2,200 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 305 Falling Star Dr Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $1,995 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 14409 Mainstay Way Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,205 | $1.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14201 Serrano Ridge Rd Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,909 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14805 Gilley Ln Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1874 | $2,400 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 652 Ridgeback Trl Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,350 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 14845 Gilley Ln Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,395 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 604 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,300 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 14013 San Christoval Pass Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,900 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 14000 Silkwood Dr Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $2,050 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 832 Santa Rosa Dr Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1784 | $2,325 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 745 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $2,090 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 652 Rosario Ln Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $1,795 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 825 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,100 | $0.62 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 856 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,350 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 900 San Felipe Trl Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,995 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 952 Dustwood Dr Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,470 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 14044 Esperanza Dr Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 15024 Red Sands Trl Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $2,200 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1005 Castle Top Dr Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15021 Red Sands Trl Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,045 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14353 Snaffle Bit Trl Haslet, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $1,919 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14933 Tejano St Haslet, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $47 · $564/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $260,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $260,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $260,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $260,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $260,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $260,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$260,000 Active
-
2026-04-17historical
-
2026-03-15price $259,900
-
2026-02-11price $261,900
-
2026-02-05price $264,990
-
2026-01-31price $268,000
-
2025-09-09$269,900 Active
-
2025-04-04price $274,900
-
2025-03-20price $284,900
-
2025-02-28price $285,000
-
2025-01-20$289,000 Active
-
2024-09-21price $289,500
-
2024-08-22price $295,000
-
2024-08-21status Active
-
2024-08-14historical Active Option Contract
-
2024-07-25$299,999 Active
-
2021-11-19soldstatus Sold
-
2021-10-17status Pending
-
2021-10-05$272,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,199 · $433/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,199 · $433/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$5,199
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,190
- − Management
- −$2,190
- − HOA
- −$564
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$6,198
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,488
- After-tax cash flow
- $-313/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833180
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,315
- Composite
- 46.15/100
- National rank
- #2504
- State rank
- #120 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,249
- Household income
- $143,555
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 358.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Slovak 4% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.77%
- Current HPI
- 235.7417
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.08%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $260,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $259,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $261,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $264,990 NTREIS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $268,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-09 Listed $269,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-04 Price Changed $274,900 NTREIS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $284,900 NTREIS
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $285,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-20 Listed $289,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-21 Price Changed $289,500 NTREIS
- 2024-08-22 Price Changed $295,000 NTREIS
- 2024-08-21 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2024-08-14 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $299,999 NTREIS
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-10-17 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-10-05 Listed $272,999 NTREIS
Property tax history
+49.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,199 · +44.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…