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4236 Holly St Multi-family
D Composite 44.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,900

4236 Holly St · Kansas City, MO 64111
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,868 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1930 6,478 sqft lot Est $473k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

To be sold with 4232 Holly (next door). Large units with sunroom and lots of light. Newer dual-pane windows. Some carpets and hardwoods, 1 carport per unit, central driveway. All units have 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and a sunroom. New water heaters for both units. Call listing agent for additional information 816-210-7730

Key facts

  • 6,478 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross income reported as $31,200; Operating expenses include maintenance, insurance, real estate tax, and water/sewer
  • HOA & community: Maintenance responsibilities include building exterior, HVAC, lawn, roof repair/replacement, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Fiber available; High-speed internet available; Metro Free telecom
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; Two stories
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other-type roof
  • Exterior features: Public road maintenance; Inside city limits; Building exterior maintenance included in responsibilities

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher (in some units)
  • Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: One bathroom per unit
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Individual storage available; Applies to all units
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Individual water heaters; Separate meters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $385k (3.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (22.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $309k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ac Prep Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #941 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 341 students, 99% FRL); Central Middle School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #388 of 391 statewide, top 99%, 428 students, 99% FRL); Southeast High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #512 of 521 statewide, top 99%, 487 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 75% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,088/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1606% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $308,800 (22.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.91%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$472,837
List price
$399,900
Delta
-15.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4821-23 Jarboe St 0.75mi 6/3.5 3,190 (+11%) 20mo $539,000 $169 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-69,014
Equity at exit
$59,626
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-62,062
Equity at exit
$34,576

Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64111

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
21.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,088 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,097
Tax from tax record
$261 /mo · $3,131/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$648
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,196
Max offer price $384,860
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $28 +0% $-85 +5% $-198 +10% $-312
Rent -10% $-329 -5% $-207 +0% $-85 +5% $37 +10% $159
Rate -1.0pp $116 -0.5pp $17 base $-85 +0.5pp $-189 +1.0pp $-294

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,088

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,975
Closing costs
$11,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3517 Jefferson St Kansas City, MO 5.0 3.5 3200 $3,600 $1.12 18d 1 0.99mi
3327 Wyandotte St Kansas City, MO 5.0 2.5 2902 $2,495 $0.86 45d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $399,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $399,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $399,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $450,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $450,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    listed $450,000 Active 447-char remark
  17. 2026-04-23
    historical $450,000 447-char remark
  18. 2021-07-20
    historical
  19. 2021-04-12
    listed $500,000 Active
  20. 2018-05-25
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    To be sold with 4232 Holly (next door). Large units with sunroom and lots of light. Newer dual-pane windows. Some carpets and hardwoods, 1 carport per unit, central driveway. All units have 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and a sunroom. New water heaters for both units. Call listing agent for additional information 816-210-7730

  21. 2018-05-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    To be sold with 4232 Holly (next door). Large units with sunroom and lots of light. Newer dual-pane windows. Some carpets and hardwoods, 1 carport per unit, central driveway. All units have 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and a sunroom. New water heaters for both units. Call listing agent for additional information 816-210-7730

  22. 2018-04-26
    listed $300,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    To be sold with 4232 Holly (next door). Large units with sunroom and lots of light. Newer dual-pane windows. Some carpets and hardwoods, 1 carport per unit, central driveway. All units have 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and a sunroom. New water heaters for both units. Call listing agent for additional information 816-210-7730

  23. 2003-01-09
    soldstatus
  24. 2003-01-07
    soldstatus
  25. 2002-10-29
    listed $185,000
  26. 1995-07-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,131 · $261/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,879 · $323/mo
Expected delta
+$748/yr (+$62/mo · 23.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,056
− Mortgage interest
−$22,401
− Property taxes
−$3,131
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,964
− Management
−$2,964
− Depreciation
−$11,633
Taxable loss
−$8,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,929
After-tax cash flow
$907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
16,887
Household income
$61,729
Rent vs Own
68.8% rent · 31.2% own
Severe rent burden
1606.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -341.84%
Current HPI
282.068
Rent YoY
▲ 3.42%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $399,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $450,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $450,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-20 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-12 Listed $500,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-01 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-26 Listed $300,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-01-09 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-10-29 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,131 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…