75 Millet Way · St. Augustine, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$347,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Walk-in closet
- Kitchen island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $347k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-365 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (18.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (30.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Crookshank Elementary School (math 64% / reading 62%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 704 students, 64% FRL); Sebastian Middle School (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 654 students, 42% FRL); St. Augustine High School (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 1,784 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 20% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 636 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.50%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $426,679
- List price
- $347,000
- Delta
- -18.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824 Pullman Cir | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,902 (+2%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $221 | 88 |
| 312 Pickett Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,913 (+3%) | 1mo | $402,000 | $210 | 83 |
| 127 Ferris Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,822 (-2%) | 2mo | $395,000 | $217 | 75 |
| 532 Palace Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,803 (-3%) | 3mo | $444,900 | $247 | 73 |
| 35 Root Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (-11%) | 3mo | $367,000 | $222 | 72 |
| 71 Cody St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,861 (+0%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $196 | 68 |
| 398 Palace Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,813 (-2%) | 8mo | $440,000 | $243 | 68 |
| 75 Codman Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,822 (-2%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $209 | 66 |
| 913 Oak Arbor Cir | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,897 (+2%) | 2mo | $359,000 | $189 | 62 |
| 1313 Wild Pine Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,759 (-5%) | 7mo | $389,000 | $221 | 54 |
| 114 Cody St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,705 (-8%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $211 | 53 |
| 195 Palace Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,591 (-14%) | 9mo | $365,000 | $229 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-86,004
- Equity at exit
- $51,739
- IRR
- -36.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-130,260
- Equity at exit
- $30,002
Cash invested: $97,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32084
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 636
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,421 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,820
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$68
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $-365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-168 | -5% $-266 | +0% $-365 | +5% $-463 | +10% $-561 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-556 | -5% $-460 | +0% $-365 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-190 | -0.5pp $-276 | base $-365 | +0.5pp $-454 | +1.0pp $-546 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,750
- Closing costs
- $10,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Midway Park Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 124 Cody St Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1861 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1329 Truman Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $2,030 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 48 Red House Cir Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1337 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3300 Lewis Speedway Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,850 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $68 · $816/yr
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $347,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $347,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $347,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $347,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $347,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $347,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $347,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $347,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $347,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $347,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $347,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $347,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $347,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $347,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $352,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-04-16price $359,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-02-04status Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-02-02status Pending 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-01-19status Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-01-14historical 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-01-06$366,000 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Welcome to 75 Millet Way, a home that exudes elegance and sophistication. The heart of the home is the kitchen, boasting a stunning kitchen island and all stainless steel appliances, perfect for any culinary enthusiast. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, equipped with double sinks, ensuring plenty of space for your morning routine. Outside, a charming patio with take it easy in the fenced in back yard a serene spot for outdoor relaxation. 75 Millet Way is a testament to tasteful living, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2025-12-22soldstatus $309,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,935 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,935 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,437
- − Property taxes
- −$2,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,324
- − Management
- −$2,324
- − HOA
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$10,095
- Taxable loss
- −$10,618
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,548
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Augustine
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,291
- Household income
- $73,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1748.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.02%
- Current HPI
- 330.9505
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+13.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $352,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $359,000 realMLS
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-02-02 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-01-19 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $366,000 realMLS
- 2025-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $309,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,935 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…