6200 W Tidwell Rd #102 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
Key facts
- $474 HOA
- Built 1974
- Listed 121 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($427/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.59%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,634
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -8.72%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-10,526
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- -47.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-18,671
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77092
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,218 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$474
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $36
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6200 W Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1101 | $799 | $0.73 | 2d | 11 | 0.05mi |
| 6150 W Tidwell Rd Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,389 | $1.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6150 W Tidwell Rd Unit 6207 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,239 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6150 W Tidwell Rd Unit 6187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,381 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5853 Village Forest Ct Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5801 N Houston Rosslyn Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 739 | $1,060 | $1.43 | 43d | 18 | 0.43mi |
| 5625 Antoine Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 24d | 12 | 0.48mi |
| 5625 Antoine Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $900 | $0.86 | 1d | 7 | 0.48mi |
| 6101 Antoine Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Unit 5607 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,379 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,355 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Apt 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,355 | $1.14 | 7d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,347 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Unit 2228 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,379 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6107 Antoine Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $825 | $1.11 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $981 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,580 | $1.33 | 19d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $774 | $1.04 | 12d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5550 Bingle Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,390 | $1.17 | 11d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0804 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,008 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Apt 309 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $822 | $0.90 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Apt 401 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $912 | $0.89 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0102 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $755 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Apt 502 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $781 | $0.85 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5950 Antoine Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 795 | $1,347 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Unit 6261 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $820 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Unit 6261 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $782 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Unit 6273 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $1,432 | $0.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6240 Antoine Dr Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $989 | $1.11 | 7d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5500 De Soto St Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,293 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5500 De Soto St Unit 5557 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,325 | $1.60 | 10d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5500 De Soto St Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,301 | $1.57 | 7d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0816 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,260 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0405 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $880 | $0.86 | 7d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 1012 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $859 | $0.84 | 7d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0903 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $795 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0614 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $985 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0712 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $680 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5555 Antoine Dr Unit 0709 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $856 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $474 · $5,688/yr
- Likely covers
- waterexterior maint.
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-02status $59,000 Pending 121 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-04-25status Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
-
2026-04-25historical 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
-
2026-04-24status Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
-
2026-01-13historical 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
-
2026-01-13price $59,000 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
-
2025-10-23$57,000 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Back on the market. No longer tenant occupied. Ready to move right in! Cute, Comfortable and Convenient. Great location just off 290. Quick access to major roads and all your daily essentials, making commutes and errands a breeze. HOA dues cover exterior maintenance, condo insurance, and the water bill. Verify room sizes.
-
2014-01-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,423 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,423 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$1,423
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − HOA
- −$5,688
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable loss
- −$151
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aldine ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807710
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,081
- Composite
- 15.42/100
- National rank
- #9317
- State rank
- #790 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,938
- Household income
- $58,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1979.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 25% Two or more races 22% Black 11% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.24%
- Current HPI
- 300.5572
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+3.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $59,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-23 Listed $57,000 HARMLS
- 2014-01-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,423 · -17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…