CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
14936 Sonora Hardin Springs Rd
D+ Composite 45.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0

$1

14936 Sonora Hardin Springs Rd · Big Clifty, KY 42732
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Other · 9 Days on market
Built 1998 2.99 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on 3 acres of land. It features a detached garage Foundation is unknown. There has not been an inspection done on the home. The sale is to settle an estate and the sellers have no knowledge of the condition of the home.

Key facts

  • 2.99 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located with driving directions: Take Western Kentucky Parkway South to exit 124, turn right onto Sonora Hardin Springs Rd; follow the split in Eastview and the home will be on the right.
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-story home; Property listed as an auction (residential)
  • Construction: Built in 1998; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Approximately 1,456 above-grade living area
  • Exterior features: Nearly 3-acre irregular lot; Fencing (other)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Separate dining area adjacent to the kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor; Primary bedroom located on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Three closets; No basement; Dining area on the first floor; Living room on the first floor; First-floor primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $955 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 1146338.6% vs local median 3.8% in Big Clifty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#516 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
120922.00%
Cap rate
1146338.56%
Cash-on-cash
4094043.81%
DSCR
182162.91
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
217358.77×
Total profit
$60,860
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
469336.74×
Total profit
$131,414
Equity at exit
$0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42732

Home prices YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
22

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$955

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 375-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $1 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,511
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,161
− Management
−$1,161
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$12,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,925
After-tax cash flow
$8,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hardin County
NCES district ID
2102490
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,728
Composite
31.61/100
National rank
#5945
State rank
#47 of 165 in KY

Livability — Big Clifty

Score
46/100
State rank
#516
US rank
#26413

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,764

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,573 people
By 2030
103,563 · -1.9%
By 2040
97,077 · -8.0%
By 2050
88,367 · -16.3%
By 2075
65,405 · -38.0%
By 2100
42,245 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.46%
Current HPI
148.4609
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $1 RASKMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $1 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $1 HKARMLS
  • 2012-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $57,750 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $920 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…