14936 Sonora Hardin Springs Rd · Big Clifty, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
- Livability +2.3/5.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on 3 acres of land. It features a detached garage Foundation is unknown. There has not been an inspection done on the home. The sale is to settle an estate and the sellers have no knowledge of the condition of the home.
Key facts
- 2.99 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located with driving directions: Take Western Kentucky Parkway South to exit 124, turn right onto Sonora Hardin Springs Rd; follow the split in Eastview and the home will be on the right.
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Ranch-style single-story home; Property listed as an auction (residential)
- Construction: Built in 1998; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Approximately 1,456 above-grade living area
- Exterior features: Nearly 3-acre irregular lot; Fencing (other)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Separate dining area adjacent to the kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor; Primary bedroom located on the first floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Three closets; No basement; Dining area on the first floor; Living room on the first floor; First-floor primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $955 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1146338.6% vs local median 3.8% in Big Clifty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 46/100 on livability (#516 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 120922.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1146338.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4094043.81%
- DSCR
- 182162.91
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 217358.77×
- Total profit
- $60,860
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 469336.74×
- Total profit
- $131,414
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42732
- Home prices YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 22
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $955
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 375-char remark
-
2026-06-13$1 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $12,189
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,925
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,538/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hardin County
- NCES district ID
- 2102490
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,728
- Composite
- 31.61/100
- National rank
- #5945
- State rank
- #47 of 165 in KY
Livability — Big Clifty
- Score
- 46/100
- State rank
- #516
- US rank
- #26413
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,764
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,573 people
- By 2030
- 103,563 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 97,077 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 88,367 · -16.3%
- By 2075
- 65,405 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 42,245 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.46%
- Current HPI
- 148.4609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $1 RASKMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $1 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $1 HKARMLS
- 2012-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $57,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $920 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…