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21 Montfort Dr Duplex
B Composite 70.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

21 Montfort Dr · Cheektowaga, NY 14225
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,504 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1949 6,098 sqft lot Est $211k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Experience the value of ownership and let your money work for you with this 2-story, 2-unit duplex. Long term tenants currently renting and would like to stay. One tenant has been there 17 years and the other has been there 6 years. Each unit features 2-bedrooms and one bath and it’s only a short drive to Walden Galleria mall. In each unit you’ll enjoy a casual yet bright living room, sunny kitchen, partially fenced back yard, and a shed.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • Quick access to i-90
  • Storage shed

Tags

NEW SIDINGPARTIALLY FENCED BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDBRIGHT LIVING ROOMSPACIOUS EAT IN KITCHENQUICK ACCESS TO I-90

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Multi-unit building with 2 total units; Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Operating expense details: See remarks
  • Financial info: Owner pays water (water included in rent)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 122 (0.14 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2-unit property (unit count listed under Multi Unit Information)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring across units
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas and electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $374/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District (urban): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #154 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,059/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $215k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.92%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,560
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4613 Union Rd 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,612 (+7%) 9mo $200,000 $124 61
620 Beach Rd 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,600 (+6%) 14mo $224,000 $140 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$12,982
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$73,321
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14225

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,059 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$451 /mo · $5,414/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$642
Net cashflow
$748

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,112
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $870 -5% $809 +0% $748 +5% $687 +10% $627
Rent -10% $507 -5% $628 +0% $748 +5% $869 +10% $990
Rate -1.0pp $857 -0.5pp $803 base $748 +0.5pp $693 +1.0pp $636

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,059

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
512 Cayuga Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1944 $1,795 $0.92 2d 1 0.36mi
758 S Huth Rd Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2235 $2,800 $1.25 44d 1 0.44mi
239 Lehn Springs Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1700 $3,200 $1.88 3d 1 0.83mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 610-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 556-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $215,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,414 · $451/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,414 · $451/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,708
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$5,414
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,937
− Management
−$2,937
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$6,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,451
After-tax cash flow
$7,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3618600
Math proficiency
67% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$46,537
Composite
59.02/100
National rank
#960
State rank
#154 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cheektowaga

Score
84/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#811

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cheektowaga, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
33,620
Household income
$67,237
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
991.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.26%
Current HPI
320.6248
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+194.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $215,000 WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 2017-08-13 Sold (MLS) $89,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-07-21 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-07-10 Listed $89,900 WNYREIS
  • 2001-07-20 Sold (MLS) $69,000 WNYREIS
  • 2001-04-13 Listed $72,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,414 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…