Duplex
21 Montfort Dr · Cheektowaga, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Experience the value of ownership and let your money work for you with this 2-story, 2-unit duplex. Long term tenants currently renting and would like to stay. One tenant has been there 17 years and the other has been there 6 years. Each unit features 2-bedrooms and one bath and it’s only a short drive to Walden Galleria mall. In each unit you’ll enjoy a casual yet bright living room, sunny kitchen, partially fenced back yard, and a shed.
Key facts
- New siding
- Quick access to i-90
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Multi-unit building with 2 total units; Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Operating expense details: See remarks
- Financial info: Owner pays water (water included in rent)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage; Paved parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 122 (0.14 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 2-unit property (unit count listed under Multi Unit Information)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring across units
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas and electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $374/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District (urban): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #154 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,059/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $215k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.92%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,560
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4613 Union Rd | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,612 (+7%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 620 Beach Rd | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,600 (+6%) | 14mo | $224,000 | $140 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $12,982
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $73,321
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14225
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,059 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$451 /mo · $5,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$642
- Net cashflow
- $748
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $870 | -5% $809 | +0% $748 | +5% $687 | +10% $627 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $507 | -5% $628 | +0% $748 | +5% $869 | +10% $990 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $857 | -0.5pp $803 | base $748 | +0.5pp $693 | +1.0pp $636 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,060 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,530 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,530 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,059 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Cayuga Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1944 | $1,795 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 758 S Huth Rd Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2235 | $2,800 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 239 Lehn Springs Dr Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $3,200 | $1.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 610-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 556-char remark
-
2026-06-13$215,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,414 · $451/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,414 · $451/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$5,414
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,937
- − Management
- −$2,937
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $6,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618600
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 23.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,537
- Composite
- 59.02/100
- National rank
- #960
- State rank
- #154 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cheektowaga
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cheektowaga, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,620
- Household income
- $67,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.26%
- Current HPI
- 320.6248
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+194.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $215,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2017-08-13 Sold (MLS) $89,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-07-21 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-07-10 Listed $89,900 WNYREIS
- 2001-07-20 Sold (MLS) $69,000 WNYREIS
- 2001-04-13 Listed $72,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,414 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…