2572 Sheridan Dr · Tonawanda Town, NY 14150

$264,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,844 sqft · MultiFamily · 37 Days on market

Built 1948 8,400 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.4/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY! HIGHLY VISABLE LOCATION- PROFESSIONAL OFFICE LOWER (PRESENTLY A DENTAL OFFICE) WITH A 2 BDRM APT IN UPPER, FULL BASEMENT, LOTS OF PARKING LOT SPACES, MANY POSSIBLE USES, OWNER RETIRING!LOOKING FOR QUICK SALE OWNER FINANCING. UPDATED WINDOWS, ROOF APPROX. 10 YRS OLD.

Key facts

• New decking
• New vinyl windows
• Full walk-up attic

Tags

• FULL WALK-UP ATTIC
• NEW VINYL WINDOWS
• EXTERIOR VINYL SIDING
• COMPLETE TEAR-OFF ROOF
• NEW DECKING
• GUTTER AND DOWNSPOUTS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $430/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
• Recommended offer: $257k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.1% in Tonawanda Town — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Kenmore-Tonawanda Union Free School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #453 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,405/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1427% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $100k; list at $265k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $256,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.29% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.90%
• DSCR: 1.62
• GRM: 6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.34×
• Total profit: $25,185
• Equity at exit: $39,497

10-year hold

• IRR: 20.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.05×
• Total profit: $151,711
• Equity at exit: $22,904

Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14150

• Rents YoY: 6.8%
• Active inventory: 191
• Price-to-rent: 13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,405 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,389
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$331 /mo · $3,974/yr
• Insurance: −$110
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$715
• Net cashflow: $859

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,317

Max offer price $264,900

Occupancy floor 70%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$3,404
Total (2 units)			$3,405

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,225
• Closing costs: $7,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
351 Stillwell Ave Buffalo, NY	3.0	1.0	2586	$1,800	$0.70	23d	1	1.22mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-03-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-02
   listed $264,900 Active
3. 2025-12-31
   historical
4. 2025-06-20
   listed $274,900 Active
5. 2003-07-24
   soldstatus $100,000 289-char remark

   Show marketing remark (289 chars)

   EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY! HIGHLY VISABLE LOCATION- PROFESSIONAL OFFICE LOWER (PRESENTLY A DENTAL OFFICE) WITH A 2 BDRM APT IN UPPER, FULL BASEMENT, LOTS OF PARKING LOT SPACES, MANY POSSIBLE USES, OWNER RETIRING!LOOKING FOR QUICK SALE OWNER FINANCING. UPDATED WINDOWS, ROOF APPROX. 10 YRS OLD.

6. 2002-09-01
   listed $119,900 289-char remark

   Show marketing remark (289 chars)

   EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY! HIGHLY VISABLE LOCATION- PROFESSIONAL OFFICE LOWER (PRESENTLY A DENTAL OFFICE) WITH A 2 BDRM APT IN UPPER, FULL BASEMENT, LOTS OF PARKING LOT SPACES, MANY POSSIBLE USES, OWNER RETIRING!LOOKING FOR QUICK SALE OWNER FINANCING. UPDATED WINDOWS, ROOF APPROX. 10 YRS OLD.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,860
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,839
• − Property taxes: −$3,974
• − Insurance: −$1,324
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,269
• − Management: −$3,269
• − Depreciation: −$7,706
• Taxable income: $6,480
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,555
• After-tax cash flow: $8,756/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kenmore-Tonawanda Union Free School District
• NCES district ID: 3616230
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $51,433
• Composite: 39.18/100
• National rank: #4024
• State rank: #453 of 590 in NY

Livability — Tonawanda Town

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tonawanda Town, NY
• County: Erie County · 714,559 people
• City population: 63,948
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• Population (ZIP): 41,260
• Household income: $71,406
• Rent vs Own: 27.9% rent · 72.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1427.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 933,037 people
• By 2030: 935,181 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 928,531 · -0.5%
• By 2050: 905,725 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 834,037 · -10.6%
• By 2100: 708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -260.43%
• Current HPI: 334.5893
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.75%
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+120.9% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-11 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2026-02-02 Listed $264,900 WNYREIS
• 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
• 2025-06-20 Listed $274,900 WNYREIS
• 2003-07-24 Sold (MLS) $100,000 WNYREIS
• 2002-09-01 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS