579 Jaspar Dr #579 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!
Key facts
- Two skylights
- Newer shingled roof
- Full-size stove
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessor-listed building and lot info
- HOA & community: Has association; Quarterly association fee of $680; Association fee includes sewer, water, trash, grounds maintenance, and street maintenance; Community amenities: pool, community spa (heated), tennis courts, fitness center, biking/walking paths
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Gated community; Security guard / guarded entry
- Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer (connected)
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Gravel/stone front; Private maintained road; Mountain views; Heated private spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Electric range/oven; Pantry; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 possible bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Furnished (see remarks); No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Full bath in master bedroom; Skylights; Dual-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Community coin-operated laundry available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-164/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (2.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Desert Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 50% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $98k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.60%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-18,191
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-22,699
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85119
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$227
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $20 | +0% $-14 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-103 | -5% $-58 | +0% $-14 | +5% $31 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $11 | base $-14 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $227 · $2,724/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $98,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $98,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-02-05price $98,000
-
2025-08-06$114,500 Active
-
2021-04-27soldstatus $59,000 Closed 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!
-
2021-04-01status Pending 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!
-
2021-01-15price $64,000 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!
-
2020-03-18$68,500 Active 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$1,470
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,082
- − Management
- −$1,082
- − HOA
- −$2,724
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable loss
- −$1,660
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$399
- After-tax cash flow
- $235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apache Junction, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,420
- Household income
- $71,585
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 305.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.19%
- Current HPI
- 274.3808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.57%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+43.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $98,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-06 Listed $114,500 ARMLS
- 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) $59,000 ARMLS
- 2021-04-01 Pending — ARMLS
- 2021-01-15 Price Changed $64,000 ARMLS
- 2020-03-18 Listed $68,500 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…