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579 Jaspar Dr #579
D Composite 40.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,000

579 Jaspar Dr #579 · Apache Junction, AZ 85119
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 409 sqft · Land · 319 Days on market
Built 1994 1,665 sqft lot $227/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!

Key facts

  • Two skylights
  • Newer shingled roof
  • Full-size stove

Tags

TWO SKYLIGHTSUPDATED DUAL-PANE WINDOWSUPGRADED SLIDING GLASS DOORNEWER SHINGLED ROOFFULL-SIZE STOVEWHITE TILE BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Assessor-listed building and lot info
  • HOA & community: Has association; Quarterly association fee of $680; Association fee includes sewer, water, trash, grounds maintenance, and street maintenance; Community amenities: pool, community spa (heated), tennis courts, fitness center, biking/walking paths

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Gated community; Security guard / guarded entry
  • Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer (connected)
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Gravel/stone front; Private maintained road; Mountain views; Heated private spa

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Electric range/oven; Pantry; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 possible bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Furnished (see remarks); No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Full bath in master bedroom; Skylights; Dual-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Community coin-operated laundry available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-164/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (2.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Desert Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 50% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $98k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.60%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-18,191
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-22,699
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85119

Home prices YoY
-33.5%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
357
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$227
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,145
Max offer price $96,028
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $54 -5% $20 +0% $-14 +5% $-47 +10% $-81
Rent -10% $-103 -5% $-58 +0% $-14 +5% $31 +10% $75
Rate -1.0pp $36 -0.5pp $11 base $-14 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-65

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$227 · $2,724/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $98,000 Active 319 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 316 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 315 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,000 Active 314 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,000 Active 313 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 311 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 307 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 306 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,000 Active 305 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $98,000 Active 302 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,000 Active 301 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,000 Active 300 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,000 Active 299 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,000 Active 298 DOM
  15. 2026-02-05
    price $98,000
  16. 2025-08-06
    listed $114,500 Active
  17. 2021-04-27
    soldstatus $59,000 Closed 813-char remark
    Show marketing remark (813 chars)

    1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!

  18. 2021-04-01
    status Pending 813-char remark
    Show marketing remark (813 chars)

    1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!

  19. 2021-01-15
    price $64,000 813-char remark
    Show marketing remark (813 chars)

    1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!

  20. 2020-03-18
    listed $68,500 Active 813-char remark
    Show marketing remark (813 chars)

    1994 Cavco with beautiful Mountain Views. This is a lovely home offered at a great price! North facing! Well taken care of, very clean, excellent vacation home! 1 bed/1bath, approx. 400sq ft. Large carport offers plenty of parking space with room for your golf cart or ATV. Shed w/ full size washer/dryer & large refrigerator! New 6 gallon water heater in shed approx. 1 year ago. It has been upgraded with newer counter tops, wood blinds & New A/C unit in 2016 .Nice spacious floorplan, Newer carpet! Linoleum in kitchen area. Full size stove, newer microwave, pantry, white tile kitchen backsplash! Fans & BBQ. New queen size bed, built in dresser area w/ mirrored closet doors and plenty of drawer space! Tub/shower combo & linen closet in the master bath. Fully Furnished & move in ready!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,529
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,082
− Management
−$1,082
− HOA
−$2,724
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable loss
−$1,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$399
After-tax cash flow
$235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
25,420
Household income
$71,585
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
305.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.19%
Current HPI
274.3808
Rent YoY
▲ 1.57%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $98,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $114,500 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) $59,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-01 Pending ARMLS
  • 2021-01-15 Price Changed $64,000 ARMLS
  • 2020-03-18 Listed $68,500 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…