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7935 Sherman St
C- Composite 51.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,990

7935 Sherman St · Houston, TX 77012
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 786 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1938 5,000 sqft lot $127/sqft · 26% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor/Builder Opportunity - Magnolia Park 5,000 sqft lot in Magnolia Park, a rapidly developing area minutes from Downtown with easy access to Wayside Dr and Navigation Blvd. New construction single-family homes nearby have sold in the $300k - $400k range, and recent multi- family sales have reached $500k+ depending on design and finish-out. Exiting structures are in poor condition and likely a teardown (rear structure damaged). Multiple development options include single-family, duplex, triplex, fourplex, with potential to subdivide (buyer to verify). Sold as-is. Ideal for redevelopment.

Key facts

  • 000 sqft lot
  • 5
  • Magnolia park

Tags

5000 SQFT LOTMAGNOLIA PARKEASY ACCESS TO WAYSIDE DREASY ACCESS TO NAVIGATION BLVDMULTIPLE DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($807/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,990 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.88%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$227,289
List price
$99,990
Delta
-56.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7734 Canal St 0.30mi 2/1.0 792 (+1%) 15mo $110,000 $139 72
7541 Avenue F 0.51mi 2/1.0 770 (-2%) 4mo $129,900 $169 70
7933 Goode St 0.45mi 2/1.0 840 (+7%) 2mo $140,000 $167 66
7707 Avenue E 0.33mi 2/2.0 806 (+2%) 24mo $225,000 $279 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-7,941
Equity at exit
$19,046
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$2,415
Equity at exit
$15,923

Cash invested: $27,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77012

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,902/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,023
Max offer price $99,990
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $124 -5% $96 +0% $67 +5% $39 +10% $11
Rent -10% $-20 -5% $24 +0% $67 +5% $111 +10% $155
Rate -1.0pp $118 -0.5pp $93 base $67 +0.5pp $41 +1.0pp $15

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,998
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7625 Sherman St Unit 1/2 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 654 $1,150 $1.76 44d 1 0.40mi
7909 Ford St Unit 4 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 650 $1,500 $2.31 22d 1 0.42mi
7530 Canal St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 825 $938 $1.14 18d 2 0.53mi
7530 Canal St Unit 12 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 825 $1,025 $1.24 5d 1 0.53mi
7530 Canal St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 825 $988 $1.20 13d 2 0.53mi
7520 Avenue C Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 745 $1,313 $1.76 44d 31 0.58mi
7427 Avenue I Unit I Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 598 $750 $1.25 25d 1 0.69mi
7310 Sherman St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 879 $1,299 $1.48 0d 11 0.75mi
7250 Avenue C Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 886 $1,415 $1.60 0d 15 0.91mi
217 N 72nd St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1017 $1,525 $1.50 44d 1 0.98mi
507 N 71st St Unit D Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 1.10mi
505 N 71st St Unit B Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 1.10mi
503 71st St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 1.10mi
7046 Avenue F Unit F Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 1.10mi
7043 Avenue L Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 999 $1,845 $1.85 44d 1 1.17mi
812 Maltby St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 860 $600 $0.70 44d 1 1.17mi
7138 Lawndale St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $975 $1.50 44d 1 1.21mi
7132 Lawndale St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,296 $1.79 0d 7 1.24mi
7004 Capitol St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 650 $1,100 $1.69 44d 1 1.24mi
1023 Delmas St Unit B Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 637 $999 $1.57 20d 1 1.34mi
6833 Avenue C Unit 1 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 8d 1 1.41mi
6833 Avenue C Unit 3 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 25d 1 1.41mi
7909 Brutus St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 525 $675 $1.29 0d 1 1.42mi
916 Redwood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 975 $985 $1.01 22d 1 1.49mi
916 Redwood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 975 $985 $1.01 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,990 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,990 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,990 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,990 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,990 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,990 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-05-17
    price $99,990 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Investor/Builder Opportunity - Magnolia Park 5,000 sqft lot in Magnolia Park, a rapidly developing area minutes from Downtown with easy access to Wayside Dr and Navigation Blvd. New construction single-family homes nearby have sold in the $300k - $400k range, and recent multi- family sales have reached $500k+ depending on design and finish-out. Exiting structures are in poor condition and likely a teardown (rear structure damaged). Multiple development options include single-family, duplex, triplex, fourplex, with potential to subdivide (buyer to verify). Sold as-is. Ideal for redevelopment.

  8. 2026-04-17
    listed $105,000 Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Investor/Builder Opportunity - Magnolia Park 5,000 sqft lot in Magnolia Park, a rapidly developing area minutes from Downtown with easy access to Wayside Dr and Navigation Blvd. New construction single-family homes nearby have sold in the $300k - $400k range, and recent multi- family sales have reached $500k+ depending on design and finish-out. Exiting structures are in poor condition and likely a teardown (rear structure damaged). Multiple development options include single-family, duplex, triplex, fourplex, with potential to subdivide (buyer to verify). Sold as-is. Ideal for redevelopment.

  9. 2006-02-07
    soldstatus
  10. 2006-02-07
    soldstatus
  11. 1998-01-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,902 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,902 · $242/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,293
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$2,902
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,063
− Management
−$1,063
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$746
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$179
After-tax cash flow
$986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
City population
3,226,434
Population (ZIP)
16,780

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 92% Two or more races 35% Black 5% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 80%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
37% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
18% English-only · Spanish 82%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.08%
Current HPI
274.5729
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $99,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $105,000 HARMLS
  • 2006-02-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-02-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-01-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,902 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…