219 Goodhue · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a value-add opportunity on a 3-bedroom, 2-bath, single-story, all-level, no-steps home. This is definitely a fixer-upper and in need of a full rehab. SOLD AS-IS. NO REPAIRS. Cash only. No seller financing, no creative terms, and no equitable interest assignments. Seller will only consider offers submitted on TREC/TAR promulgated forms. No 'blind' offers; property must be toured prior to submission.
Key facts
- 7,927 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1959
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Terrell Hills El (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 601 students, 92% FRL); Roosevelt H S (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,096 of 1,632 statewide, top 68%, 2,599 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the North East ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.6%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.14%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,708
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Covina Ave | 0.11mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,492 (+8%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $164 | 72 |
| 410 Blaze | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,229 (-12%) | 4mo | $189,900 | $155 | 71 |
| 559 Artemis | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+3%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 4107 Tallulah | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+0%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $147 | 68 |
| 4047 Tallulah Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,339 (-4%) | 4mo | $164,990 | $123 | 64 |
| 4422 Tallulah | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,337 (-4%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $112 | 63 |
| 4503 Tropical | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+1%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $128 | 61 |
| 911 Elkhorn | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (+4%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $104 | 60 |
| 4538 Waikiki | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (+10%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $144 | 58 |
| 7206 Glendora | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,292 (-7%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $116 | 52 |
| 4163 Judivan | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-10%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 130 Bobby Lou | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-14%) | 6mo | $159,500 | $134 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,067
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,657
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78218
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Rents YoY
- -5.6%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,687 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 Covina Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 343 Blaze Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $1,750 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 106 Covina Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4207 Waikiki Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,475 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6347 Kingston Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,800 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 143 Huxley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 547 Cicero Ave Unit NA San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,525 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4102 Waikiki Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1167 | $1,395 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4511 Diamondhead Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1829 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 538 Lanark Dr San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 538 Lanark Dr San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4310 Judivan San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1859 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2355 Austin Hwy Apt 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 908 | $881 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6810 Glendora Ave Unit 15 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $865 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 842 Corinne Dr #21 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $49,000 | $39.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3730 La Sabre Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4431 Myrna Dr San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,035 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3623 Invicta Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2600 NE Interstate 410 Loop Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 951 | $1,042 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5014 Galahad Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1006 Sumner Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,697 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5031 Lancelot Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2554 NE Interstate 410 Loop Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,047 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 354 Brettonwood Dr Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,395 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4229 Renault Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,525 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 339 Brettonwood Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 258 Antrim Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 258 Cresham Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,650 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 226 Antrim Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4811 Village Vw San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 8d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3400 Northeast Pkwy Apt 1116 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2607 NE Interstate 410 Loop San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,120 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5134 Gawain Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3400 Northeast Pkwy Apt 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,043 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3400 Northeast Pkwy Unit 1808 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $1,199 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5143 Village Lawn San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5130 Village Green San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,350 | $0.83 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4848 Goldfield San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,325 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2530 Harry Wurzbach Rd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,420 | $1.49 | 3d | 10 | 1.38mi |
| 5202 Gawain Dr San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,075 | $0.98 | 11d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-03-20$125,000 New
-
2016-04-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,304 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,304 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$4,304
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,440
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North East ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832940
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,715
- Composite
- 38.1/100
- National rank
- #4276
- State rank
- #276 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,428
- Household income
- $57,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2508.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 25% Black 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 34% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.17%
- Current HPI
- 271.2807
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.56%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — LERA
- 2026-03-20 Listed $125,000 LERA
- 2016-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,304 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…