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812 20th St
D Composite 41.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,000

812 20th St · Columbus, MS 39701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 650 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1950 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * Investor Special * * 2 bedrooms, 1 bath income producing property with long-term tenant in place. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. Interior access after contract is in place. Heir property; will be conveyed via quit claim deed. Don't miss out. Contact your favorite realtor to acquire this gem before it's gone!

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 18 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cook Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #274 of 375 statewide, top 74%, 388 students, 100% FRL); Columbus Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #149 of 179 statewide, top 84%, 667 students, 100% FRL); Columbus High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #155 of 197 statewide, top 80%, 898 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,640 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.46%
Cap rate
39.06%
Cash-on-cash
117.03%
DSCR
6.21
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$37,885
Equity at exit
$3,578
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.93×
Total profit
$86,868
Equity at exit
$2,075

Cash invested: $6,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39701

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$126
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $663/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$655

Break-even live

Break-even rent $242
Max offer price $24,000
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $669 -5% $662 +0% $655 +5% $649 +10% $642
Rent -10% $571 -5% $613 +0% $655 +5% $698 +10% $740
Rate -1.0pp $667 -0.5pp $661 base $655 +0.5pp $649 +1.0pp $643

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,000
Closing costs
$720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
815 13th St N Columbus, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0 610 $680 $1.11 45d 1 0.57mi
224 5th St S Columbus, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 774 $1,795 $2.32 45d 3 1.28mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-08
    listed $24,000 Active
  3. 2005-02-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$663 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$663 · $55/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,858
− Mortgage interest
−$1,344
− Property taxes
−$663
− Insurance
−$120
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,029
− Management
−$1,029
− Depreciation
−$698
Taxable income
$7,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,914
After-tax cash flow
$5,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbus Municipal School District
NCES district ID
2801200
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$33,376
Composite
10.49/100
National rank
#9782
State rank
#113 of 130 in MS

Livability — Columbus

Score
60/100
State rank
#219
US rank
#18952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, MS
County
Lowndes County · 35,442 people
City population
35,442
Metro
Columbus, MS
Population (ZIP)
11,958
Household income
$32,599
Rent vs Own
57.1% rent · 42.9% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,842 people
By 2030
59,312 · -0.9%
By 2040
57,282 · -4.3%
By 2050
54,348 · -9.2%
By 2075
45,423 · -24.1%
By 2100
34,724 · -42.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 32% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: -2.9pp · 2024: -8.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.2 2020: R+2.6 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+2.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
130.6468
Rent YoY
Metro
Columbus, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $24,000 MLSU
  • 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $663 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…