812 20th St · Columbus, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 48.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Investor Special * * 2 bedrooms, 1 bath income producing property with long-term tenant in place. DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. Interior access after contract is in place. Heir property; will be conveyed via quit claim deed. Don't miss out. Contact your favorite realtor to acquire this gem before it's gone!
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 18 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cook Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #274 of 375 statewide, top 74%, 388 students, 100% FRL); Columbus Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #149 of 179 statewide, top 84%, 667 students, 100% FRL); Columbus High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #155 of 197 statewide, top 80%, 898 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 117.03%
- DSCR
- 6.21
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.64×
- Total profit
- $37,885
- Equity at exit
- $3,578
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.93×
- Total profit
- $86,868
- Equity at exit
- $2,075
Cash invested: $6,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39701
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$126
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $663/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $655
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $669 | -5% $662 | +0% $655 | +5% $649 | +10% $642 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $571 | -5% $613 | +0% $655 | +5% $698 | +10% $740 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $667 | -0.5pp $661 | base $655 | +0.5pp $649 | +1.0pp $643 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,000
- Closing costs
- $720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 13th St N Columbus, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $680 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 224 5th St S Columbus, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $1,795 | $2.32 | 45d | 3 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-26status Pending
-
2026-03-08$24,000 Active
-
2005-02-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,344
- − Property taxes
- −$663
- − Insurance
- −$120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,029
- − Management
- −$1,029
- − Depreciation
- −$698
- Taxable income
- $7,975
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,914
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus Municipal School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801200
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,376
- Composite
- 10.49/100
- National rank
- #9782
- State rank
- #113 of 130 in MS
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #219
- US rank
- #18952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, MS
- County
- Lowndes County · 35,442 people
- City population
- 35,442
- Metro
- Columbus, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,958
- Household income
- $32,599
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,842 people
- By 2030
- 59,312 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 57,282 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 54,348 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 45,423 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 34,724 · -42.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 32% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: -2.9pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+2.6 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+2.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 130.6468
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbus, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-08 Listed $24,000 MLSU
- 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $663 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…