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24732 Melody Rd
B- Composite 68.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

24732 Melody Rd · Versailles, MO 65084
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market
Fair condition $270/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable Lake of the Ozarks Getaway! Enjoy lake living without the high price tag at the 9-mile marker of the Gravois Arm. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath, 850 sq. ft. single-wide mobile home comes mostly furnished and is ready for you to start enjoying the lake lifestyle. Relax on the covered deck with a seasonal lake view, and take advantage of the included 8x12 storage shed for all your lake and outdoor gear. The community offers a boat ramp and boat slips (subject to availability), along with friendly neighbors and a welcoming atmosphere. Conveniently located near the Anchorage Bar & Grill for dining and entertainment, plus two nearby off-road parks for outdoor adventure! A great oppor

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Boat slips
  • Seasonal lake view

Tags

SEASONAL LAKE VIEWCOVERED DECKINCLUDED STORAGE SHEDBOAT RAMPBOAT SLIPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Gravois Beach
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $270 monthly fee; HOA fee covers water and sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Water and sewer included in HOA; On waterfront (implies water access)
  • Home design: Mobile home (single wide); One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Screened porch; Sloped, gently sloping lot; Waterfront lot with beach access and lake privileges; Gravel road access; Private road maintained by owner/association; Leased lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $35k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#489 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Morgan County R-II (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #240 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
12.02%
Cash-on-cash
20.47%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$5,155
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$18,926
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65084

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$270
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $648
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $179 +0% $167 +5% $155 +10% $143
Rent -10% $99 -5% $133 +0% $167 +5% $201 +10% $235
Rate -1.0pp $185 -0.5pp $176 base $167 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$270 · $3,240/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 695-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $35,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,315
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$825
− Management
−$825
− HOA
−$3,240
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$1,746
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$419
After-tax cash flow
$1,587/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value. The home is located in a desirable area with lake views and amenities, making it a good investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Appliances — Old and worn, need replacement.
  • Moderate Bathtub and sink — Dated appearance, need replacement or renovation.
  • Minor Exterior siding — Paint is faded, could benefit from touch-up paint.
  • Minor Interior walls — Paint is chipped and faded, could benefit from fresh paint.
  • Minor Landscaping — Basic landscaping, could benefit from some updates and plants.
  • Minor Windows — Could use cleaning and possibly replacement if old or damaged.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Replace old appliances and fixtures — Modernizing the kitchen and bathroom will attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Paint interior walls and exterior siding — Fresh paint will improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Update landscaping — A well-maintained and attractive landscape will enhance the home's appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh carpet in the living room will improve the home's appearance and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Appliances · Old and worn, need replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathtub and sink · Dated appearance, need replacement or renovation. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Exterior siding · Paint is faded, could benefit from touch-up paint. Minor $500–3,000
Interior walls · Paint is chipped and faded, could benefit from fresh paint. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Basic landscaping, could benefit from some updates and plants. Minor $500–3,000
Windows · Could use cleaning and possibly replacement if old or damaged. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $8,000–42,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Replace old appliances and fixtures — Modernizing the kitchen and bathroom will attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Paint interior walls and exterior siding — Fresh paint will improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Update landscaping — A well-maintained and attractive landscape will enhance the home's appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh carpet in the living room will improve the home's appearance and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morgan County R-II
NCES district ID
2930840
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,368
Composite
28.07/100
National rank
#6837
State rank
#240 of 324 in MO

Livability — Versailles

Score
60/100
State rank
#489
US rank
#19068

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,269

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,779 people
By 2030
17,891 · -4.7%
By 2040
16,227 · -13.6%
By 2050
14,735 · -21.5%
By 2075
11,433 · -39.1%
By 2100
7,717 · -58.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
86% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.7) · D 19.7% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-39.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -59.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.7 2020: R+58.2 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.06%
Current HPI
165.5808
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $35,000 LOBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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