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19181 Marx St
B Composite 71.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

19181 Marx St · Detroit, MI 48203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1929 3,485 sqft lot $39/sqft · 10% below area Est $50k · 10% under ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Brick Colonial – Great Investment or Starter Opportunity! Welcome to this beautiful brick colonial featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath - an ideal opportunity for investors seeking strong rental potential or first-time homebuyers ready to build equity. This home blends timeless character with modern updates, featuring hardwood floors throughout and a more open, connected main level. The kitchen wall has been opened up to create an open-concept feel, allowing for better flow between the kitchen, living room, and formal dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a spacious living room, formal dining room, and a kitchen with great potential to make your own. The full basement includes a separate utility and laundry area (storage area) and offers an open canvas to finish for additional living space. Conveniently located near freeways, restaurants, entertainment, schools, and parks, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to add value and make this solid home your own!

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Full basement
  • Brick colonial

Tags

BRICK COLONIALHARDWOOD FLOORSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.08 acres (30 x 120)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,226 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.97%
Cap rate
23.16%
Cash-on-cash
60.25%
DSCR
3.68
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,690
List price
$44,900
Delta
-9.64%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19181 Marx St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,152 (0%) 1mo $40,500 $35 99
19145 Riopelle St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,152 (0%) 2mo $80,000 $69 88
19163 Orleans St 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-6%) 2mo $32,500 $30 80
19365 Goddard St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 1mo $97,500 $89 76
19710 Greeley St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,143 (-1%) 3mo $80,000 $70 76
19711 Greeley St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,125 (-2%) 4mo $75,000 $67 74
19640 Yacama Rd 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,156 (+0%) 1mo $15,000 $13 67
1737 E Outer Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,124 (-2%) 4mo $96,000 $85 61
20041 Marx St 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,233 (+7%) 2mo $130,500 $106 59
19155 Gallagher St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,208 (+5%) 0mo $129,900 $108 56
18101 Marx St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,291 (+12%) 2mo $37,500 $29 52
19662 Charest St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,041 (-10%) 2mo $69,000 $66 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.1%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$33,014
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
63.9%
Equity multiple
7.43×
Total profit
$80,873
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,013/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $657 -5% $644 +0% $631 +5% $618 +10% $606
Rent -10% $526 -5% $579 +0% $631 +5% $684 +10% $736
Rate -1.0pp $654 -0.5pp $643 base $631 +0.5pp $620 +1.0pp $608

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.16mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 0.35mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 0.36mi
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 5d 1 0.42mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 17d 1 0.57mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 22d 1 0.62mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.64mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 0.79mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 0.83mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 0.90mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.90mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.91mi
18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,250 $1.03 25d 1 1.00mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 25d 1 1.01mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 1.04mi
1301 E Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,600 $1.29 22d 1 1.05mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.12mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 2d 1 1.20mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 1.22mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 25d 1 1.23mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.24mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.24mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 25d 1 1.26mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 22d 1 1.32mi
242 Ferris St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1192 $1,275 $1.07 0d 1 1.34mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 18d 1 1.36mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.36mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,364 $5.80 0d 1 1.37mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 25d 1 1.38mi
574 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1315 $1,300 $0.99 44d 1 1.39mi
429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,595 $1.48 0d 1 1.41mi
101 Stevens St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,600 $1.39 18d 1 1.43mi
155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,000 $1.38 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 1063-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Charming Brick Colonial – Great Investment or Starter Opportunity! Welcome to this beautiful brick colonial featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath - an ideal opportunity for investors seeking strong rental potential or first-time homebuyers ready to build equity. This home blends timeless character with modern updates, featuring hardwood floors throughout and a more open, connected main level. The kitchen wall has been opened up to create an open-concept feel, allowing for better flow between the kitchen, living room, and formal dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a spacious living room, formal dining room, and a kitchen with great potential to make your own. The full basement includes a separate utility and laundry area (storage area) and offers an open canvas to finish for additional living space. Conveniently located near freeways, restaurants, entertainment, schools, and parks, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to add value and make this solid home your own!

  2. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Charming Brick Colonial – Great Investment or Starter Opportunity! Welcome to this beautiful brick colonial featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath - an ideal opportunity for investors seeking strong rental potential or first-time homebuyers ready to build equity. This home blends timeless character with modern updates, featuring hardwood floors throughout and a more open, connected main level. The kitchen wall has been opened up to create an open-concept feel, allowing for better flow between the kitchen, living room, and formal dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a spacious living room, formal dining room, and a kitchen with great potential to make your own. The full basement includes a separate utility and laundry area (storage area) and offers an open canvas to finish for additional living space. Conveniently located near freeways, restaurants, entertainment, schools, and parks, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to add value and make this solid home your own!

  3. 2026-04-29
    listed $44,900 Active 1063-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Charming Brick Colonial – Great Investment or Starter Opportunity! Welcome to this beautiful brick colonial featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath - an ideal opportunity for investors seeking strong rental potential or first-time homebuyers ready to build equity. This home blends timeless character with modern updates, featuring hardwood floors throughout and a more open, connected main level. The kitchen wall has been opened up to create an open-concept feel, allowing for better flow between the kitchen, living room, and formal dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a spacious living room, formal dining room, and a kitchen with great potential to make your own. The full basement includes a separate utility and laundry area (storage area) and offers an open canvas to finish for additional living space. Conveniently located near freeways, restaurants, entertainment, schools, and parks, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to add value and make this solid home your own!

  4. 2026-04-29
    listed $44,900 Active 1061-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1061 chars)

    Charming Brick Colonial – Great Investment or Starter Opportunity! Welcome to this beautiful brick colonial featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath - an ideal opportunity for investors seeking strong rental potential or first-time homebuyers ready to build equity. This home blends timeless character with modern updates, featuring hardwood floors throughout and a more open, connected main level. The kitchen wall has been opened up to create an open-concept feel, allowing for better flow between the kitchen, living room, and formal dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a spacious living room, formal dining room, and a kitchen with great potential to make your own. The full basement includes a separate utility and laundry area (storage area) and offers an open canvas to finish for additional living space. Conveniently located near freeways, restaurants, entertainment, schools, and parks, this home offers both comfort and accessibility. Don't miss your chance to add value and make this solid home your own!

  5. 2022-12-01
    historical
  6. 2007-07-06
    historical
  7. 2007-02-09
    listed $19,950
  8. 2007-02-05
    historical
  9. 2006-12-14
    listed $38,900
  10. 2006-12-14
    historical
  11. 2006-10-17
    listed $38,900
  12. 2006-10-13
    historical
  13. 2006-05-22
    listed $45,900
  14. 2006-05-19
    historical
  15. 2005-12-19
    listed $105,900
  16. 2005-01-24
    soldstatus $90,000
  17. 2004-10-29
    soldstatus $90,000
  18. 2004-05-10
    listed $90,000
  19. 2000-02-18
    soldstatus $57,500
  20. 1999-09-26
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,996
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$2,013
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,280
− Management
−$1,280
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$7,378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,771
After-tax cash flow
$5,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) $40,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) $40,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2007-07-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-09 Listed $19,950 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-14 Listed $38,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-17 Listed $38,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-22 Listed $45,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-12-19 Listed $105,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-29 Sold (MLS) $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-05-10 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-02-18 Sold (MLS) $57,500 REALCOMP
  • 1999-09-26 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,013 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…