201 Tyler Ave NE · Fort Payne, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 1152 square foot single family home has 3 bedrooms and 2.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 201 Tyler Ave NE, Fort Payne, AL 35967.
Key facts
- Built 2007
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($162/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (25.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.8% in Fort Payne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#86 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Payne City (town): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #41 of 129 in AL (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.29%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,040
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Lincoln Ave NE | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (-0%) | 5mo | $136,500 | $119 | 88 |
| 305 Lincoln Ave SE | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,153 (+0%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $156 | 79 |
| 401 Lincoln Ave SE | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (+1%) | 12mo | $169,000 | $145 | 79 |
| 404 4th St SE | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (+2%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $171 | 74 |
| 400 Clark Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,252 (+9%) | 5mo | $137,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 305 Sanders Ave SE | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (+14%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $114 | 50 |
| 709 NW Alabama Ave NW | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,221 (+6%) | 0mo | $178,000 | $146 | 49 |
| 505 Alabama Ave SW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (+8%) | 17mo | $159,999 | $128 | 38 |
| 609 Lookout Ter E | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 16mo | $182,900 | $141 | 30 |
| 102 Rainbow Dr SW | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-13%) | 13mo | $154,000 | $154 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-31,655
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-26,891
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35967
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $472/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $70 | +0% $14 | +5% $-43 | +10% $-100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-105 | -5% $-46 | +0% $14 | +5% $73 | +10% $132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $64 | base $14 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 Adamsburg Rd E Fort Payne, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-26$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $472 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 73.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$472
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$3,373
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$810
- After-tax cash flow
- $972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Payne City
- NCES district ID
- 0101560
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,802
- Composite
- 29.93/100
- National rank
- #6380
- State rank
- #41 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fort Payne
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #10977
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Payne, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,342
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,722 people
- By 2030
- 71,373 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 69,536 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 66,020 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 53,325 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 36,127 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.2pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+69.8 2016: R+69.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+51.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.03%
- Current HPI
- 243.3645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $200,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $472 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…