1414-1/2 Clinton · Trenton, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charmingwell-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a finished attic that can be used as a 3rd bedroom! Features a living room, dining room, a full basement for extra storage, and a nice backyard. Well-maintained and move-in ready — great opportunity for homeowners or investors! . Being sold AS-IS. Buyer responsible for
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Full basement
- Nice backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 12.5 x 100
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Window cooling units (natural gas-powered)
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Trenton Public School District (urban): math 2% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #471 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Trenton Central High School - Main Campus (math 2% / reading 10%, grade F, #396 of 399 statewide, top 99%, 2,255 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 80% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.19%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,298
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 Woodland St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,007 (-1%) | 3mo | $182,000 | $181 | 92 |
| 1210 Chestnut Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (+3%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $162 | 82 |
| 212 Hewitt St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 928 (-9%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $194 | 68 |
| 345 Genesee St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 1004 William St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (+5%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $257 | 62 |
| 724 William St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+8%) | 5mo | $271,000 | $246 | 62 |
| 632 Lalor St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+10%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $192 | 56 |
| 175 Anderson St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+12%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $198 | 51 |
| 35 Jersey St | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+11%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $186 | 49 |
| 320 Commonwealth Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (+9%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $204 | 46 |
| 113 Mifflin St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,168 (+15%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $128 | 37 |
| 336 Columbus Ave | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 | 1,162 (+14%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $318 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-29,097
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-15,767
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08610
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 837 Genesee St Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1049 Genesee St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1103 Division St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 705 Anderson St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,800 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1132 Genesee St Unit 1132 Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 233 Virginia Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 12d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1078 Lalor St Unit 1 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,895 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1078 Lalor St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,785 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 313 Home Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 225 Home Ave Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 176 Division St Apt 106 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,700 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 244 Jersey St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 203 Genesee St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 635 Chambers St Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 121 Columbus Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,900 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 71 Clark St Trenton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 13d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 720 Monmouth St Unit 204 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,750 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 547 Centre St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 315 Wert Ave Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 685 | $2,270 | $3.31 | 12d | 9 | 1.12mi |
| 105 Walnut Ave Unit 1 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 234 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1480 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 339 Tioga St #339 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,850 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 428 Cleveland Ave Trenton, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 417 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $2,050 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1163 E State St Unit 9 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,770 | $2.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1165 E State St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,749 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 322-char remark
-
2026-06-19$225,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$2,340
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$562
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,943/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This townhouse requires moderate renovations, focusing on the kitchen and bathroom, to improve its condition and resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen appliances — Outdated and need replacement.
- Major Bathroom — No visible condition assessment, but likely in need of updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Replace outdated kitchen appliances — Modern appliances will attract more buyers.
- Resale Update bathroom — A modern bathroom will enhance the home's appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen appliances · Outdated and need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom · No visible condition assessment, but likely in need of updates. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Replace outdated kitchen appliances — Modern appliances will attract more buyers. ↑
- Resale Update bathroom — A modern bathroom will enhance the home's appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trenton Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416290
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,078
- Composite
- 7.31/100
- National rank
- #9956
- State rank
- #471 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #3533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trenton, NJ
- County
- Mercer County · 327,655 people
- City population
- 177,819
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,465
- Household income
- $83,906
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,395 people
- By 2030
- 384,640 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 391,431 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 397,845 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 417,281 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 420,327 · +10.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% White 39% Black 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Hispanic 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -412.61%
- Current HPI
- 296.6642
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…