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1553 Chambers St
C- Composite 52.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

1553 Chambers St · Trenton, NJ 08610
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,182 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1920 1,956 sqft lot Est $297k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming cozy home with 3 bedrooms plus potential to finish the attic for a 4th. Spacious living and dining rooms, eat-in kitchen with access to a lovely deck, and private parking for 2–3 small cars. The semi-finished basement offers ample opportunity to add a family room, office, or playroom. . Call today to schedule your tour.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 2 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $219k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Trenton Public School District (urban): math 2% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #471 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary School (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,261 of 1,303 statewide, top 97%, 349 students, 57% FRL); Dunn Middle School (math 2% / reading 19%, grade F, #424 of 431 statewide, top 98%, 670 students, 60% FRL); Trenton Central High School - Main Campus (math 2% / reading 10%, grade F, #396 of 399 statewide, top 99%, 2,255 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 80% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $225k implies a 1208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,255 (2.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.31%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,682
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Berg Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,270 (+7%) 3mo $329,900 $260 74
238 Grand Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,224 (+4%) 7mo $270,000 $221 70
1816 Chambers St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,279 (+8%) 6mo $290,000 $227 69
156 Fitzrandolph Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+2%) 4mo $310,000 $258 63
44 Jeremiah Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,108 (-6%) 7mo $325,000 $293 52
529 Hunt Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,279 (+8%) 3mo $300,000 $235 50
121 Mcclellan Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (-12%) 2mo $280,000 $269 48
1521 S Clinton Ave 0.37mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,348 (+14%) 6mo $208,000 $154 48
811 Anderson St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (-13%) 0mo $206,000 $201 47
624 Hunt Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+11%) 7mo $330,000 $251 43
19 Benton Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-15%) 0mo $335,000 $332 42
637 E Park Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,015 (-14%) 7mo $200,000 $197 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-25,358
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-7,688
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08610

Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,193 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$285 /mo · $3,416/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,973
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $237 +0% $174 +5% $110 +10% $46
Rent -10% $1 -5% $87 +0% $174 +5% $260 +10% $347
Rate -1.0pp $287 -0.5pp $231 base $174 +0.5pp $115 +1.0pp $56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1132 Genesee St Unit 1132 Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1198 $2,500 $2.09 23d 1 0.22mi
1078 Lalor St Unit 1 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 1488 $1,895 $1.27 23d 1 0.24mi
1078 Lalor St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 1488 $1,785 $1.20 23d 1 0.24mi
1049 Genesee St Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1270 $2,300 $1.81 23d 1 0.28mi
837 Genesee St Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 23d 1 0.43mi
233 Virginia Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1302 $2,500 $1.92 14d 1 0.58mi
705 Anderson St Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1132 $1,800 $1.59 15d 1 0.59mi
1103 Division St Trenton, NJ 4.0 1.0 1296 $2,000 $1.54 23d 1 0.65mi
315 Wert Ave Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 685 $2,270 $3.31 14d 9 0.72mi
313 Home Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1112 $2,100 $1.89 15d 1 0.83mi
225 Home Ave Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,750 $2.19 23d 1 0.88mi
176 Division St Apt 106 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 975 $1,700 $1.74 23d 1 0.89mi
244 Jersey St Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.5 1368 $2,300 $1.68 15d 1 0.93mi
121 Columbus Ave Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,900 $1.81 23d 1 1.00mi
203 Genesee St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 1452 $1,700 $1.17 23d 1 1.03mi
635 Chambers St Trenton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 15d 1 1.05mi
720 Monmouth St Unit 204 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 1011 $1,750 $1.73 23d 1 1.20mi
71 Clark St Trenton, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $2,350 $2.41 15d 4 1.30mi
428 Cleveland Ave Trenton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 23d 1 1.33mi
547 Centre St Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,850 $1.75 23d 1 1.34mi
12A Bradford Ave Hamilton Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $2,300 $2.79 14d 1 1.43mi
339 Tioga St #339 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 864 $1,850 $2.14 23d 1 1.46mi
105 Walnut Ave Unit 1 Trenton, NJ 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 23d 1 1.47mi
210 Kuser Rd Trenton, NJ 3.0 1.5 1360 $2,700 $1.99 23d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-03-23
    listed $225,000 Active
  4. 2026-03-18
    historical $225,000
  5. 1976-07-07
    soldstatus $17,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,416 · $285/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,509 · $376/mo
Expected delta
+$1,093/yr (+$91/mo · 32.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,311
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,416
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$1,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$381
After-tax cash flow
$2,466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton Public School District
NCES district ID
3416290
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,078
Composite
7.31/100
National rank
#9956
State rank
#471 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Trenton

Score
76/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#3533

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trenton, NJ
County
Mercer County · 327,655 people
City population
177,819
Metro
Trenton-Princeton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
33,465
Household income
$83,906
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,395 people
By 2030
384,640 · +0.9%
By 2040
391,431 · +2.6%
By 2050
397,845 · +4.3%
By 2075
417,281 · +9.4%
By 2100
420,327 · +10.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 39% Black 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Hispanic 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -412.61%
Current HPI
296.6642
Rent YoY
Metro
Trenton-Princeton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1208.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1976-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $17,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,416 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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