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2555 Willett Road Ext
F Composite 34.07
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$225,000

2555 Willett Road Ext · Keuka Park, NY 14478
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Other public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1988 9.63 ac lot $300/sqft · 65% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Set on 4.59 acres just outside of Penn Yan, this versatile property offers space, functionality, and exciting potential. The centerpiece is a spacious two-story barn/garage with electric and a full upper level—ready for storage, workshop use, or future finishing. There is no well or septic currently in place, but there is electricity. Just minutes from Keuka Lake and Keuka Lake State Park, this parcel offers both privacy and convenience. Come see what you can do!

Key facts

  • Workshop space
  • Two story barn
  • Serene pond

Tags

TWO STORY BARNWORKSHOP SPACESERENE PONDOPEN LAWNSABUNDANT WILDLIFE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; Frame construction; Existing (previously built)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Resilient flooring; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace; Heating present (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Loft; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-553 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (43.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (45.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (45.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 1.1% in Keuka Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#656 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, cost of living B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Penn Yan Central School District (town): math 57% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #251 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Penn Yan Elementary School (math 56% / reading 55%, grade C, #902 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 519 students, 54% FRL); Penn Yan Middle School (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C+, #233 of 729 statewide, top 32%, 328 students, 56% FRL); Penn Yan Academy (math 98% / reading 92%, grade A+, #93 of 1,100 statewide, top 10%, 385 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Yates County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Yates County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 52% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $123,709 (45.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
3.34%
Cash-on-cash
-10.54%
DSCR
0.53
GRM
15.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$647,683
List price
$225,000
Delta
-65.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$28,556
Equity at exit
$140,213
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$111,914
Equity at exit
$253,213

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14478

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
15.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,237 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,086/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$-553

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $127,222
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-426 -5% $-490 +0% $-553 +5% $-617 +10% $-681
Rent -10% $-651 -5% $-602 +0% $-553 +5% $-505 +10% $-456
Rate -1.0pp $-440 -0.5pp $-496 base $-553 +0.5pp $-612 +1.0pp $-671

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on marketlisting id $225,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $148,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $148,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $148,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on marketlisting id $148,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $248,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $248,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $248,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $248,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $248,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $248,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $248,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $248,000 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-04-25
    listed $99,000 Active 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    This secluded 5.04-acre parcel just minutes outside of Penn Yan offers a true escape into nature. Tucked back from the road and on the edge of the woods, the cabin provides a private, rustic retreat surrounded by mature trees and abundant wildlife. The cabin is adorable, but in need of renovation and is ready for your vision, making it an ideal project for those looking to create a personalized getaway in the heart of the Finger Lakes. A serene shallow pond adds to the property’s charm, offering a peaceful setting for reflection and outdoor enjoyment. Just north of Keuka Lake and minutes from Keuka Lake State Park and boat launch, this property is perfectly located for weekend retreats, a great starter home or a nature-focused lifestyle. Property being offered As-is. Taxes are estimates based on approved, but not recorded subdivision. See also R1675126 and R

  18. 2026-04-25
    listed $148,000 Active 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    This secluded 5.04-acre parcel just minutes outside of Penn Yan offers a true escape into nature. Tucked back from the road and on the edge of the woods, the cabin provides a private, rustic retreat surrounded by mature trees and abundant wildlife. The cabin is adorable, but in need of renovation and is ready for your vision, making it an ideal project for those looking to create a personalized getaway in the heart of the Finger Lakes. A serene shallow pond adds to the property’s charm, offering a peaceful setting for reflection and outdoor enjoyment. Just north of Keuka Lake and minutes from Keuka Lake State Park and boat launch, this property is perfectly located for weekend retreats, a great starter home or a nature-focused lifestyle. Property being offered As-is. Taxes are estimates based on approved, but not recorded subdivision. See also R1675126 and R

  19. 2026-04-25
    listed $248,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    This secluded 5.04-acre parcel just minutes outside of Penn Yan offers a true escape into nature. Tucked back from the road and on the edge of the woods, the cabin provides a private, rustic retreat surrounded by mature trees and abundant wildlife. The cabin is adorable, but in need of renovation and is ready for your vision, making it an ideal project for those looking to create a personalized getaway in the heart of the Finger Lakes. A serene shallow pond adds to the property’s charm, offering a peaceful setting for reflection and outdoor enjoyment. Just north of Keuka Lake and minutes from Keuka Lake State Park and boat launch, this property is perfectly located for weekend retreats, a great starter home or a nature-focused lifestyle. Property being offered As-is. Taxes are estimates based on approved, but not recorded subdivision. See also R1675126 and R

  20. 2024-04-03
    soldstatus $248,000
  21. 2024-04-02
    soldstatus $248,000 Closed
  22. 2024-02-15
    status Pending
  23. 2024-02-02
    listed $126,500 Active
  24. 2001-12-03
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,086 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,444 · $287/mo
Expected delta
+$358/yr (+$30/mo · 11.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 4 d/yr ≥94°F today · 10 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,845
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,086
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,188
− Management
−$1,188
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$10,890
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,613
After-tax cash flow
$-4,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn Yan Central School District
NCES district ID
3622740
Math proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 16.00%
Median HH income
$48,067
Composite
50.46/100
National rank
#1860
State rank
#251 of 590 in NY

Livability — Keuka Park

Score
66/100
State rank
#656
US rank
#12202

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,393

Population outlook (Yates County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,773 people
By 2030
22,867 · -3.8%
By 2040
20,750 · -12.7%
By 2050
18,917 · -20.4%
By 2075
15,090 · -36.5%
By 2100
11,428 · -51.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yates

2024 margin
R (+16.2) · D 41.9% · R 58.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -16.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.2 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+21.9 2012: R+3.0 2008: R+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.91%
Current HPI
390.287
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+368.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $225,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $148,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $248,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $248,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-02 Sold (MLS) $248,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-02-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2024-02-02 Listed $126,500 UNYREIS
  • 2001-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,086 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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