Triplex
1 Reynolds St · Alfred, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
3 Unit Apartment House conveniently located near both Alfred State and Alfred University Campuses. 1st floor is a 4-bedroom apartment; 2nd floor is a two Bedroom and 3rd floor is a 2 bedroom. Property is currently rented through the academic year. Rent is paid by the semester $2500.00 per person per semester: if paid on time $100.00 discount; so income is based on 8 @$2400.00.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $129/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#110 in NY, #1,824 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Alfred-Almond Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #345 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $275k implies a 292% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.03%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,247
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- 27.17%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $58,113
- Equity at exit
- $123,955
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $172,107
- Equity at exit
- $191,266
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14802
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 23.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,922 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$365 /mo · $4,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$614
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $2,922 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $974 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $974 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $974 |
| Total (3 units) | $2,922 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $275,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $275,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $275,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $275,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $275,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-02-27price $275,000 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
3 Unit Apartment House conveniently located near both Alfred State and Alfred University Campuses. 1st floor is a 4-bedroom apartment; 2nd floor is a two Bedroom and 3rd floor is a 2 bedroom. Property is currently rented through the academic year. Rent is paid by the semester $2500.00 per person per semester: if paid on time $100.00 discount; so income is based on 8 @$2400.00.
-
2025-09-05$279,000 Active 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
3 Unit Apartment House conveniently located near both Alfred State and Alfred University Campuses. 1st floor is a 4-bedroom apartment; 2nd floor is a two Bedroom and 3rd floor is a 2 bedroom. Property is currently rented through the academic year. Rent is paid by the semester $2500.00 per person per semester: if paid on time $100.00 discount; so income is based on 8 @$2400.00.
-
2016-07-20soldstatus $70,100
-
2010-12-22soldstatus $75,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,377 · $365/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,512 · $376/mo
- Expected delta
- +$135/yr (+$11/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,377
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,805
- − Management
- −$2,805
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$71
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,572/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alfred-Almond Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602700
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,682
- Composite
- 44.62/100
- National rank
- #2772
- State rank
- #345 of 590 in NY
Livability — Alfred
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #1824
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alfred, NY
- City population
- 6,118
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,627
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,362 people
- By 2030
- 43,078 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 38,031 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 33,634 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 25,285 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 18,902 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 10% Asian 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Current HPI
- 258.731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+264.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $275,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $279,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,100 Public Records
- 2010-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,377 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…