2607 Goodwood Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lauraville in Baltimore city typical bungalow with atypical 3 bedrooms , 2 baths , and it is a storage GALORE! Old charm living with today's comfort. Gourmet kitchen. 2 zones heat and AC. And that yard! haven on earth where you will sure want to spend a lot of time enjoying life and entertaining. Come take a look , come feel the whimsical of that property.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Plenty of parking
- Large usable yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking; Alley access; Crushed stone surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (150 amps); Natural gas available; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Northeast-facing main entrance; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Mixed construction with shingle and wood siding; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Board fencing; Rear yard; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the first upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dining area; Kitchen island; 9'+ ceilings; Plaster walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-152/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.22%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $341,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2817 Goodwood Rd | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,256 (+2%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $144 | 82 |
| 2207 Woodbourne Ave | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 2,106 (-5%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $178 | 71 |
| 2511 Hermosa Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,333 (+5%) | 2mo | $312,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 2813 Echodale Ave | 0.14mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,428 (+9%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $124 | 69 |
| 5300 Tramore Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,958 (-12%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $209 | 64 |
| 3212 Wisteria Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 | 2,061 (-7%) | 1mo | $378,000 | $183 | 61 |
| 6108 Fair Oaks Ave | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 2,336 (+5%) | 2mo | $368,900 | $158 | 60 |
| 3110 Hamilton Ave | 0.45mi | 4/4.5 | 2,460 (+11%) | 1mo | $356,500 | $145 | 52 |
| 6113 Tramore Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-10%) | 3mo | $308,000 | $154 | 44 |
| 4601 Hampnett Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,928 (-13%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $150 | 42 |
| 3403 Keene Ave | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,475 (+12%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $127 | 41 |
| 4514 Mainfield Ave | 0.63mi | 4/4.5 | 2,548 (+15%) | 0mo | $545,000 | $214 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-41,190
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-36,383
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21214
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,364 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$465 /mo · $5,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $58 | +0% $-13 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-13 | +5% $81 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $51 | base $-13 | +0.5pp $-77 | +1.0pp $-143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2805 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2911 Shirey Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2912 Grindon Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $3,300 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2028 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3514 Ailsa Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5781 Edgepark Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,975 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3510 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3021 Glenmore Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2692 | $1,950 | $0.72 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1908 E Belvedere Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1915 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2199 | $3,200 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1804 Winford Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3721 Frankford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3802 Biddison Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1443 | $2,024 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1646 Wadsworth Way Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1508 Gleneagle Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,180 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4111 Century Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1432 | $2,500 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3412 Fleetwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,195 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3158 Woodring Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5520 Sagra Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4718 Blue Ridge Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1744 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5204 Kelway Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2518 Moore Ave Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1896 | $2,700 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21pricestatus $250,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-19remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-19$255,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,584 · $465/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,584 · $465/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$5,584
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,270
- − Management
- −$2,270
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,278
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,027
- After-tax cash flow
- $874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,092
- Household income
- $86,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.52%
- Current HPI
- 310.5637
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+21.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $231,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-02 Sold (MLS) $231,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-04 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-01 Listed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-12-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2015-12-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-10-02 Listed — MRIS
- 2015-10-02 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-30 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRIS
- 2005-11-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-08-21 Listed $210,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,584 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…