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2607 Goodwood Rd
D+ Composite 46.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

2607 Goodwood Rd · Baltimore, MD 21214
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,220 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot Est $342k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lauraville in Baltimore city typical bungalow with atypical 3 bedrooms , 2 baths , and it is a storage GALORE! Old charm living with today's comfort. Gourmet kitchen. 2 zones heat and AC. And that yard! haven on earth where you will sure want to spend a lot of time enjoying life and entertaining. Come take a look , come feel the whimsical of that property.

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Plenty of parking
  • Large usable yard

Tags

BEAUTIFUL WOOD FLOORSSPACIOUS KITCHENLARGE PRIMARY SUITEPLENTY OF STORAGE SPACELARGE USABLE YARDPLENTY OF PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking; Alley access; Crushed stone surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (150 amps); Natural gas available; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Northeast-facing main entrance; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Mixed construction with shingle and wood siding; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Board fencing; Rear yard; Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the first upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining area; Kitchen island; 9'+ ceilings; Plaster walls
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-152/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (5.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,431 (5.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.22%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$341,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2817 Goodwood Rd 0.15mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,256 (+2%) 1mo $325,000 $144 82
2207 Woodbourne Ave 0.36mi 4/3.0 2,106 (-5%) 2mo $375,000 $178 71
2511 Hermosa Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,333 (+5%) 2mo $312,000 $134 69
2813 Echodale Ave 0.14mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,428 (+9%) 0mo $300,000 $124 69
5300 Tramore Rd 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,958 (-12%) 2mo $410,000 $209 64
3212 Wisteria Ave 0.56mi 4/2.5 2,061 (-7%) 1mo $378,000 $183 61
6108 Fair Oaks Ave 0.60mi 4/3.0 2,336 (+5%) 2mo $368,900 $158 60
3110 Hamilton Ave 0.45mi 4/4.5 2,460 (+11%) 1mo $356,500 $145 52
6113 Tramore Rd 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,000 (-10%) 3mo $308,000 $154 44
4601 Hampnett Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,928 (-13%) 0mo $290,000 $150 42
3403 Keene Ave 0.65mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,475 (+12%) 3mo $315,000 $127 41
4514 Mainfield Ave 0.63mi 4/4.5 2,548 (+15%) 0mo $545,000 $214 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-41,190
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-36,383
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21214

Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$465 /mo · $5,584/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,380
Max offer price $247,756
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $129 -5% $58 +0% $-13 +5% $-83 +10% $-154
Rent -10% $-199 -5% $-106 +0% $-13 +5% $81 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $51 base $-13 +0.5pp $-77 +1.0pp $-143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2805 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1416 $2,300 $1.62 45d 1 0.27mi
2911 Shirey Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1680 $2,500 $1.49 21d 1 0.29mi
2912 Grindon Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.5 2400 $3,300 $1.38 12d 1 0.62mi
2028 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,100 $1.15 23d 1 0.67mi
3514 Ailsa Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,200 $1.22 45d 1 0.68mi
5781 Edgepark Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1568 $1,975 $1.26 17d 1 0.69mi
3510 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 2100 $2,300 $1.10 25d 1 0.70mi
3021 Glenmore Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 2692 $1,950 $0.72 5d 1 0.70mi
1908 E Belvedere Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1425 $1,950 $1.37 21d 1 0.78mi
1915 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 2199 $3,200 $1.46 5d 1 0.79mi
1804 Winford Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1600 $2,100 $1.31 25d 1 0.85mi
3721 Frankford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,050 $1.28 45d 1 0.87mi
3802 Biddison Ln Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1443 $2,024 $1.40 12d 1 0.92mi
1646 Wadsworth Way Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1520 $2,100 $1.38 12d 1 1.06mi
1508 Gleneagle Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,180 $1.20 5d 1 1.30mi
4111 Century Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1432 $2,500 $1.75 45d 1 1.41mi
3412 Fleetwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1620 $2,195 $1.35 45d 1 1.42mi
3158 Woodring Ave Parkville, MD 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,950 $1.30 25d 1 1.43mi
5520 Sagra Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1650 $1,900 $1.15 45d 1 1.43mi
4718 Blue Ridge Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1744 $2,400 $1.38 12d 1 1.44mi
5204 Kelway Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1666 $2,350 $1.41 25d 1 1.46mi
2518 Moore Ave Parkville, MD 4.0 1.5 1896 $2,700 $1.42 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricestatus $250,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    listed $255,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,584 · $465/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,584 · $465/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,372
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$5,584
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,270
− Management
−$2,270
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$4,278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,027
After-tax cash flow
$874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
21,092
Household income
$86,366
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
432.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.52%
Current HPI
310.5637
Rent YoY
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $231,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-02 Sold (MLS) $231,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-04 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-01 Listed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2015-12-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-10-02 Listed MRIS
  • 2015-10-02 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-30 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRIS
  • 2005-11-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2005-08-21 Listed $210,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,584 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…