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1209 Lavender Dr
D+ Composite 47.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$300,000

1209 Lavender Dr · Richburg, SC 29729
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,343 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 6,011 sqft lot Est $287k · at est. $100/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Stanton is an exciting NEW community in Richburg, SC offering a blend of county living and urban convenience. With Luxury amenities, residents can enjoy a high standard of living while having a variety of floor plans to choose from, including single story options. Stanton’s proximity to 1-77 makes commuting to Rock Hill and Charlotte a breeze, allowing for easy access to city excitement while still enjoying the tranquility of suburban lifestyle. Come see 1209 Lavender Drive in Richburg, South Carolina. The Macon is one of our ranch plans featured at Stanton in Richburg, SC. This ranch home offers three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a two-car garage with 1,343 square feet. The moment yo

Key facts

  • 6,011 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($691/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.3% in Richburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#182 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lewisville Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #226 of 597 statewide, top 40%, 510 students, 100% FRL); Lewisville Middle (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #128 of 229 statewide, top 58%, 416 students, 100% FRL); Lewisville High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #83 of 196 statewide, top 43%, 416 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chester 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $282,379 (5.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$287,402
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1231 Lavender Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,343 (0%) 3mo $288,000 $214 94
1236 Lavender Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,497 (+12%) 1mo $295,000 $197 76
620 Lamorak Pl 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,335 (-1%) 4mo $270,000 $202 68
599 Lamorak Pl 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,341 (-0%) 5mo $265,000 $198 67
703 Lamorak Pl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-2%) 2mo $292,900 $223 63
1111 Elyan St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-2%) 2mo $294,900 $224 61
670 Lamorak Pl 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-2%) 6mo $262,500 $199 61
1116 Elyan St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-2%) 4mo $292,900 $223 60
1112 Elyan St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-2%) 5mo $289,900 $220 60
1522 Doran Ter 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-2%) 6mo $272,900 $207 56
656 Lancelot Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,197 (-11%) 2mo $265,000 $221 52
907 Morien St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,177 (-12%) 4mo $245,000 $208 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$39,805
Equity at exit
$134,782
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$136,883
Equity at exit
$207,628

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29729

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,824 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$593
Net cashflow
$58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,751
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $265 -5% $161 +0% $58 +5% $-46 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-166 -5% $-54 +0% $58 +5% $169 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $209 -0.5pp $134 base $58 +0.5pp $-20 +1.0pp $-99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-09
    listed $300,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,885
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,500
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,711
− Management
−$2,711
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$4,268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,024
After-tax cash flow
$1,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home in Richburg, SC is in good condition with a fresh paint job and modern finishes. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior updates, making it a solid investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace window trim — Improves home's aesthetic
  • Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Enhances both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace window trim — Improves home's aesthetic
  • Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Enhances both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chester 01
NCES district ID
4501530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,041
Composite
23.39/100
National rank
#7902
State rank
#59 of 80 in SC

Livability — Richburg

Score
63/100
State rank
#182
US rank
#15927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,313

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,121 people
By 2030
28,700 · -4.7%
By 2040
25,784 · -14.4%
By 2050
23,001 · -23.6%
By 2075
17,770 · -41.0%
By 2100
13,584 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Danish 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.99%
Current HPI
210.6518
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $300,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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