21826 Franklin St · Spring Hill, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$327,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch in Spring Hill’s Oak Woods neighborhood. Built in 2021, this move-in-ready home offers the kind of modern layout buyers are looking for with the ease of true one-level living. From the moment you step inside, you’re greeted by bright, open spaces, durable flooring, and a layout that just makes sense for everyday life. The heart of the home is the spacious open-concept living, kitchen, and dining area…perfect for everything from busy weekday mornings to hosting friends on the weekend. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, abundant cabinet space, sleek countertops, and a large center island that
Key facts
- Large center island
- En suite bath
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has HOA (verify details); Association fee approximately $1 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage that faces the front; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Ranch floor plan; Approximately 1,603 square feet of living area; 3–5 years old
- Construction: Board & batten siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Privacy wood fencing; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator, Electric Range
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has air conditioning)
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator, Electric Range; Vinyl flooring; Slab foundation (no basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $328k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (7.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (16.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $274k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.6% in Spring Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#93 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Spring Hill (rural): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #11 of 169 in KS (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 415 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 100 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.88%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $359,072
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21844 Franklin St | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,603 (0%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $206 | 96 |
| 21837 Franklin St | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,603 (0%) | 3mo | $322,500 | $201 | 96 |
| 21295 W 218th Ter | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 1,561 (-3%) | 3mo | $367,500 | $235 | 88 |
| 21297 W 219th St | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 | 1,561 (-3%) | 3mo | $349,900 | $224 | 86 |
| 20945 W 217th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,635 (+2%) | 2mo | $425,990 | $261 | 76 |
| 21725 S Madison St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,635 (+2%) | 0mo | $397,990 | $243 | 75 |
| 21730 S Madison St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,498 (-7%) | 1mo | $383,990 | $256 | 68 |
| 20630 W 219 Ter | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,518 (-5%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $217 | 64 |
| 20493 W 221st St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,557 (-3%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $241 | 59 |
| 305 S Franklin St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,510 (-6%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $182 | 56 |
| 605 W South St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,810 (+13%) | 0mo | $349,500 | $193 | 53 |
| 20490 W 219th Ter | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 1,837 (+15%) | 0mo | $328,500 | $179 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-62,129
- Equity at exit
- $48,831
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-65,579
- Equity at exit
- $28,316
Cash invested: $91,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66083
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 415
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,738 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,717
- Tax from tax record
- −$452 /mo · $5,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$136
- HOA
- −$1
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $-143
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $42 | -5% $-51 | +0% $-143 | +5% $-236 | +10% $-329 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-360 | -5% $-251 | +0% $-143 | +5% $-35 | +10% $73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-60 | base $-143 | +0.5pp $-228 | +1.0pp $-315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,875
- Closing costs
- $9,825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21203 W 216th Ter Spring Hill, KS | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1536 | $2,395 | $1.56 | 2d | 20 | 0.25mi |
| 21743 Johnson Ct Spring Hill, KS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1781 | $2,600 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 200 E Wilson St Spring Hill, KS | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,499 | $1.49 | 2d | 3 | 1.07mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1 · $12/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $327,500 Pending 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $327,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $327,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $327,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $327,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $327,500
-
2026-05-07price $337,500
-
2026-04-09$342,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,420 · $452/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,420 · $452/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,345
- − Property taxes
- −$5,420
- − Insurance
- −$1,638
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,629
- − Management
- −$2,629
- − HOA
- −$12
- − Depreciation
- −$9,527
- Taxable loss
- −$7,340
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,762
- After-tax cash flow
- $42/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring Hill
- NCES district ID
- 2011850
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,172
- Composite
- 40.26/100
- National rank
- #3767
- State rank
- #11 of 169 in KS
Livability — Spring Hill
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #5370
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Hill, KS
- County
- Johnson County · 574,662 people
- City population
- 13,011
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,011
- Household income
- $116,791
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 274.0
Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,162 people
- By 2030
- 31,472 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 29,611 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 27,277 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 22,738 · -29.3%
- By 2100
- 18,479 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.3% · R 68.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.12%
- Current HPI
- 265.6494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-4.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $327,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $337,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $342,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+92.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,420 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…