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356 Baker Island Rd
C Composite 56.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

356 Baker Island Rd · Fort Chiswell, VA 24360
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1974 3.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a country home with privacy and room to make it your own? This spacious home may be the one! Situated in a peaceful setting, this property offers plenty of potential and room to grow. The home is in need of some updating, but the size, layout, and possibilities make it a great opportunity. Inside, you'll find generous living space, an unfinished basement, and several additional flex rooms that could be used as a home office, playroom, hobby space, guest area, storage, or whatever best fits your needs. Bring your ideas and vision — this country property is ready for its next chapter! This property is located very near New River and the New river trail.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Flex rooms
  • 3 acre lot

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTFLEX ROOMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Basement; Deck

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Fort Chiswell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#511 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Jackson Memorial Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 212 students, 74% FRL); Fort Chiswell Middle (math 70% / reading 83%, grade A, #40 of 342 statewide, top 12%, 316 students, 74% FRL); Fort Chiswell High (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B-, #231 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 435 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 41% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.69%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-5,769
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$12,495
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24360

Home prices YoY
-9.2%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $802/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $249 +0% $215 +5% $181 +10% $147
Rent -10% $119 -5% $167 +0% $215 +5% $263 +10% $311
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $246 base $215 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-10
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$802 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$984 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$182/yr (+$15/mo · 22.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,603
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$802
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$156
After-tax cash flow
$2,426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wythe County Public School District
NCES district ID
5104110
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,665
Composite
60.19/100
National rank
#863
State rank
#20 of 131 in VA

Livability — Fort Chiswell

Score
56/100
State rank
#511
US rank
#22932

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,647
Population (ZIP)
5,647

Population outlook (Wythe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,176 people
By 2030
28,993 · -0.6%
By 2040
28,273 · -3.1%
By 2050
27,055 · -7.3%
By 2075
23,668 · -18.9%
By 2100
18,904 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wythe

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+54.9 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+32.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.93%
Current HPI
186.8843
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending SWVAR
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $120,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $802 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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