5457 Highway 81 · Loganville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled on 1.18 acres, this Loganville home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and potential to create your personal retreat. From the inviting front porch - ideal spot to start your day - to the fireside family room and welcoming dining area, this home provides plenty of room to live, grow, and entertain. The updated kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, making everyday living a breeze. Upstairs, the bright master suite boasts a walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower, while three spacious secondary bedrooms and guest bath provide flexibility. Evenings are for relaxing on the back patio which overlooks the fenced yard and offers endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment. If you're looking for room to spread out, functionality, and the charm of countryside living with easy access to everyday conveniences, this property is ready to welcome you home.
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Walk-in closet
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($125/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Loganville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#39 in GA, #4,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bay Creek Elementary School (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #411 of 1,228 statewide, top 34%, 715 students, 63% FRL); Loganville Middle School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D+, #89 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 1,320 students, 39% FRL); Loganville High School (math 51% / reading 47%, grade D, #33 of 424 statewide, top 8%, 1,808 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $335k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.13%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,377
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -4.39%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5632 Highway 81 | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,686 (-2%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $208 | 60 |
| 5455 Forest Falls Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,607 (-6%) | 23mo | $330,000 | $205 | 55 |
| 1607 Windward Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,677 (-2%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 3142 Watson Mill Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,896 (+10%) | 22mo | $345,000 | $182 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-53,356
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-44,511
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30052
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 858
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,728 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,980/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $105 | +0% $10 | +5% $-84 | +10% $-179 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-97 | +0% $10 | +5% $118 | +10% $226 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $179 | -0.5pp $96 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-165 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3004 Dogwood Ln Loganville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1916 | $2,500 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 760 Franklin Mill Trce Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $2,350 | $1.27 | 26d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3815 Pine Village Pl Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1742 | $2,095 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3850 Village Main St Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $2,349 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $335,000 Pending 77 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $335,000 Active Under Contract 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $335,000 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $335,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $335,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
Nestled on 1.18 acres, this Loganville home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and potential to create your personal retreat. From the inviting front porch - ideal spot to start your day - to the fireside family room and welcoming dining area, this home provides plenty of room to live, grow, and entertain. The updated kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, making everyday living a breeze. Upstairs, the bright master suite boasts a walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower, while three spacious secondary bedrooms and guest bath provide flexibility. Evenings are for relaxing on the back patio which overlooks the fenced yard and offers endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment. If you're looking for room to spread out, functionality, and the charm of countryside living with easy access to everyday conveniences, this property is ready to welcome you home.
-
2026-05-13historical Active Under Contract 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
Nestled on 1.18 acres, this Loganville home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and potential to create your personal retreat. From the inviting front porch - ideal spot to start your day - to the fireside family room and welcoming dining area, this home provides plenty of room to live, grow, and entertain. The updated kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, making everyday living a breeze. Upstairs, the bright master suite boasts a walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower, while three spacious secondary bedrooms and guest bath provide flexibility. Evenings are for relaxing on the back patio which overlooks the fenced yard and offers endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment. If you're looking for room to spread out, functionality, and the charm of countryside living with easy access to everyday conveniences, this property is ready to welcome you home.
-
2026-03-31$335,000 New 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
Nestled on 1.18 acres, this Loganville home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and potential to create your personal retreat. From the inviting front porch - ideal spot to start your day - to the fireside family room and welcoming dining area, this home provides plenty of room to live, grow, and entertain. The updated kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, making everyday living a breeze. Upstairs, the bright master suite boasts a walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower, while three spacious secondary bedrooms and guest bath provide flexibility. Evenings are for relaxing on the back patio which overlooks the fenced yard and offers endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment. If you're looking for room to spread out, functionality, and the charm of countryside living with easy access to everyday conveniences, this property is ready to welcome you home.
-
2026-03-31$335,000 Active 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
Nestled on 1.18 acres, this Loganville home offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and potential to create your personal retreat. From the inviting front porch - ideal spot to start your day - to the fireside family room and welcoming dining area, this home provides plenty of room to live, grow, and entertain. The updated kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, making everyday living a breeze. Upstairs, the bright master suite boasts a walk-in closet, dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower, while three spacious secondary bedrooms and guest bath provide flexibility. Evenings are for relaxing on the back patio which overlooks the fenced yard and offers endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment. If you're looking for room to spread out, functionality, and the charm of countryside living with easy access to everyday conveniences, this property is ready to welcome you home.
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-10-07price $380,000
-
2025-10-07price $380,000
-
2025-07-14$400,000 Active
-
2025-07-10historical
-
2025-07-09$400,000 New
-
2018-02-23historical
-
2017-10-30$169,900 New
-
2009-02-04soldstatus $115,000
-
2009-01-30soldstatus $115,000
-
2008-10-13$119,900
-
2007-03-30soldstatus $87,000
-
2003-10-27soldstatus $88,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,980 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,082 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$102/yr (+$9/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$2,980
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,619
- − Management
- −$2,619
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$5,668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton County
- NCES district ID
- 1305390
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,716
- Composite
- 36.52/100
- National rank
- #4643
- State rank
- #31 of 174 in GA
Livability — Loganville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #4689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 128,246 people
- City population
- 79,811
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,811
- Household income
- $93,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1174.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,098 people
- By 2030
- 102,496 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 110,318 · +12.5%
- By 2050
- 115,848 · +18.1%
- By 2075
- 125,830 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 123,852 · +26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.7% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+56.4 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+52.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.77%
- Current HPI
- 212.1241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+276.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $335,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $335,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $380,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $380,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $400,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-10 Coming Soon — FMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $400,000 GAMLS
- 2018-02-23 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2017-10-30 Listed $169,900 GAMLS
- 2009-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-30 Sold (MLS) $115,000 FMLS
- 2008-10-13 Listed $119,900 FMLS
- 2007-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $88,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,980 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…