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8291 Mettetal St
B Composite 73.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,500

8291 Mettetal St · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 161 Days on market
Built 1957 4,356 sqft lot $58/sqft · 16% below area Est $56k · 16% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IN DETROIT! CHECK OUT THIS THREE BEDROOOM RANCH THIS PROPERTY FEATURES A LIVING ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, A FULL BATHROOM AND THREE BEDROOMS. THIS PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES AVINYL SIDING, STEEL DOORS, VINYL WINDOWS, AND THERE IS A LARGE REAR YARD THIS IS AN AS-IS SALE, THE INTERIOR NEEDS SOME REMOVATION. BUYER TO ASSUME IN AS-IS CONDITION. ALL INFORMATION IS ESTIMATED, INTERESTED PARTIES TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PRIOR TO CLOSING. NO ASIGNS.

Key facts

  • Full bathroom
  • Steel doors
  • Living room

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYLIVING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENFULL BATHROOMVINYL SIDINGSTEEL DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $702 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.0% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,270/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $41,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.67%
Cap rate
24.04%
Cash-on-cash
63.38%
DSCR
3.82
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,299
List price
$47,500
Delta
-15.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16813 Tireman St 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 824 (+1%) 10mo $53,000 $64 66
8881 Rutherford St 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+3%) 10mo $20,000 $24 63
8883 Rutherford St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+3%) 10mo $20,000 $24 63
7785 Mettetal St 0.30mi 3/1.0 910 (+12%) 9mo $75,000 $82 59
7784 Mettetal St 0.30mi 3/1.0 914 (+12%) 9mo $75,000 $82 58
8921 Rutherford St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 857 (+5%) 10mo $20,000 $23 58
8283 Sussex St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 777 (-5%) 4mo $58,000 $75 56
7931 Payne St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-2%) 7mo $135,000 $169 53
8324 Coyle St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-2%) 8mo $48,000 $60 53
9176 Winthrop St 0.69mi 3/1.0 730 (-10%) 2mo $30,000 $41 48
7733 Barrie St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 909 (+11%) 4mo $140,000 $154 39
7262 Saint Marys St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 935 (+15%) 5mo $77,000 $82 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.1%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$33,325
Equity at exit
$7,082
10-year hold
IRR
62.8%
Equity multiple
6.43×
Total profit
$72,255
Equity at exit
$4,107

Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,270 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$249
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $386/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$702

Break-even live

Break-even rent $381
Max offer price $47,500
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $729 -5% $716 +0% $702 +5% $689 +10% $676
Rent -10% $602 -5% $652 +0% $702 +5% $753 +10% $803
Rate -1.0pp $726 -0.5pp $715 base $702 +0.5pp $690 +1.0pp $678

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,875
Closing costs
$1,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 981 $1,100 $1.12 0d 1 0.57mi
8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,300 $1.26 45d 1 0.63mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 6d 1 0.64mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 45d 1 0.67mi
9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 6d 1 0.68mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 18d 1 0.70mi
9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 25d 1 0.72mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 19d 1 0.72mi
8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,150 $1.12 45d 1 0.86mi
8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,350 $1.37 45d 1 0.93mi
6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,100 $1.04 25d 1 0.95mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 3d 1 0.99mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 18d 1 1.05mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 1.05mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 45d 1 1.07mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 45d 1 1.09mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 0d 15 1.10mi
9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 45d 1 1.15mi
14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $845 $0.94 45d 1 1.17mi
11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 14d 1 1.24mi
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 45d 1 1.25mi
9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,430 $1.63 45d 1 1.27mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 1.29mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 18d 1 1.30mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 18d 1 1.33mi
6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,299 $1.35 18d 1 1.40mi
6406 Mead St Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 904 $1,100 $1.22 25d 1 1.43mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $47,500 Active 161 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,500 Active 158 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,500 Active 157 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,500 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,500 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,500 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,500 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,500 Active 148 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,500 Active 147 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,500 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,500 Active 143 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,500 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,500 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-01-11
    listed $47,500 Active 468-char remark
    Show marketing remark (468 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IN DETROIT! CHECK OUT THIS THREE BEDROOOM RANCH THIS PROPERTY FEATURES A LIVING ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, A FULL BATHROOM AND THREE BEDROOMS. THIS PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES AVINYL SIDING, STEEL DOORS, VINYL WINDOWS, AND THERE IS A LARGE REAR YARD THIS IS AN AS-IS SALE, THE INTERIOR NEEDS SOME REMOVATION. BUYER TO ASSUME IN AS-IS CONDITION. ALL INFORMATION IS ESTIMATED, INTERESTED PARTIES TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PRIOR TO CLOSING. NO ASIGNS.

  15. 2026-01-10
    listed $47,500 Active 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IN DETROIT! CHECK OUT THIS THREE BEDROOOM RANCH THIS PROPERTY FEATURES A LIVING ROOM, EAT-IN KITCHEN, A FULL BATHROOM AND THREE BEDROOMS. THIS PROPERTY ALSO FEATURES AVINYL SIDING, STEEL DOORS, VINYL WINDOWS, AND THERE IS A LARGE REAR YARD THIS IS AN AS-IS SALE, THE INTERIOR NEEDS SOME REMOVATION. BUYER TO ASSUME IN AS-IS CONDITION. ALL INFORMATION IS ESTIMATED, INTERESTED PARTIES TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PRIOR TO CLOSING. NO ASIGNS.

  16. 2025-11-14
    historical
  17. 2025-11-14
    historical
  18. 2025-10-13
    listed $50,000 Active
  19. 2025-10-11
    historical
  20. 2025-10-10
    listed $50,000 Active
  21. 2025-09-15
    price $52,500
  22. 2025-09-15
    price $52,500
  23. 2025-08-05
    status Active
  24. 2025-08-05
    status Active
  25. 2025-05-29
    status Pending
  26. 2025-05-29
    status Pending
  27. 2025-05-29
    historical
  28. 2025-05-13
    listed $55,000 Active
  29. 2025-05-12
    listed $55,000 Active
  30. 2021-04-07
    soldstatus $50,000
  31. 2021-03-31
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  32. 2021-03-31
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
  33. 2021-03-27
    status Pending
  34. 2021-03-27
    status Pending
  35. 2021-03-15
    status Active
  36. 2021-03-15
    status Active
  37. 2021-03-11
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  38. 2021-03-11
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  39. 2021-02-13
    status Pending
  40. 2021-02-13
    status Pending
  41. 2021-01-29
    listed $50,000 Active
  42. 2021-01-29
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$386 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$558 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$173/yr (+$14/mo · 44.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,243
− Mortgage interest
−$2,661
− Property taxes
−$386
− Insurance
−$238
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,219
− Management
−$1,219
− Depreciation
−$1,382
Taxable income
$8,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,953
After-tax cash flow
$6,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $47,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $52,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $52,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-05 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-13 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-12 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-15 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-11 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-11 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-02-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-29 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-29 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $386 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…