661 Lawndale St · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1907
- Listed 109 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 424 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.05%
- DSCR
- 3.40
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,296
- List price
- $57,000
- Delta
- -5.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744 Blaine Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,566 (-0%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $97 | 82 |
| 1060 Woodward Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,640 (+5%) | 0mo | $272,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 1210 Johnson St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (0%) | 4mo | $98,000 | $63 | 59 |
| 2510 Fredrickson St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-2%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $49 | 57 |
| 1125 W Washington St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,636 (+4%) | 4mo | $224,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 526 Leland Ave | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (0%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $143 | 54 |
| 2205 Kenwood Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 1,700 (+8%) | 2mo | $49,000 | $29 | 53 |
| 1238 Diamond Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-11%) | 2mo | $101,000 | $72 | 49 |
| 1040 Woodward Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (+6%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 726 W Lasalle Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 | 1,760 (+12%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $134 | 45 |
| 1337 N Adams St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,366 (-13%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $70 | 41 |
| 706 California St | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,392 (-11%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $165 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $42,361
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 63.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.62×
- Total profit
- $121,607
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46628
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 424
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,345/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $719
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736 Lawndale Ave Unit 1 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 752 Diamond Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1118 Van Buren St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1394 | $1,375 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 910 Allen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2010 Lincoln Way W Unit 2 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1032 Allen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,200 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1008 O Brien St Unit O South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $800 | $0.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2203 Smith St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,215 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2205 Lincoln Way W South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,565 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1054 Huey St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1243 Portage Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1570 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1206 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1210 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 609 N Scott St South Bend, IN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1951 | $1,450 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2530 Bonds Ave South Bend, IN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1866 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 504 W Navarre St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,350 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1505 N Adams St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1214 Queen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1642 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1630 Obrien St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 221 S Taylor St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,599 | $2.21 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1317 Poland St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 211 W Washington St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1162 | $7,491 | $6.44 | 21d | 19 | 1.13mi |
| 2502 Ford St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,175 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1918 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 300 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1013 | $3,009 | $2.97 | 13d | 31 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $57,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $57,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $57,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $57,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $57,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $57,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $57,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $57,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $57,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $57,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $57,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-05-07status Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2026-05-07historical 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2026-04-04status Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2026-02-21price $57,000 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2025-10-30status Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2025-09-03status Pending 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2025-07-30$58,000 Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
* Seller financing available * for a potential investment property with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with great potential? This property is less than a 10-minute drive to Notre Dame!!
-
2025-06-18price $58,500
-
2025-05-19price $65,000
-
2025-04-15$77,000 Active
-
2024-12-19$79,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,345 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,345 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$1,345
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $8,239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,977
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 99,767
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,685
- Household income
- $61,759
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1024.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.47%
- Current HPI
- 202.112
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.78%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-27.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $57,000 IRMLS
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-09-03 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-07-30 Listed $58,000 IRMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $58,500 IRMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $65,000 IRMLS
- 2025-04-15 Listed $77,000 IRMLS
- 2024-12-19 Listed $79,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2023): $1,345 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…