1374 Gillette Ave SE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,370
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Occupied, lease ends 9/30/26.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1981
- Listed 213 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (16.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (25.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $79k; list at $215k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.97%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,324
- List price
- $215,370
- Delta
- -23.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1349 Rose Ave SE | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,239 (-5%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $190 | 75 |
| 2721 Garden City Blvd SE | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (+1%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $167 | 74 |
| 1379 Craig Robertson Rd SE | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (-7%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $207 | 72 |
| 2632 Bandy Rd SE | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-4%) | 9mo | $264,000 | $211 | 70 |
| 1359 Brooks Ave SE | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,171 (-10%) | 11mo | $256,000 | $219 | 66 |
| 1320 Eddington Rd SE | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (-7%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $194 | 65 |
| 1368 Craig Robertson Rd SE | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,121 (-14%) | 11mo | $243,500 | $217 | 61 |
| 2776 Sunnyvale St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (+6%) | 14mo | $239,000 | $173 | 53 |
| 2214 Brookside Ln SE | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,305 (+0%) | 14mo | $219,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 3077 Woodway Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 9mo | $279,000 | $194 | 50 |
| 2111 Woodland Rd SE | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-12%) | 1mo | $287,000 | $252 | 42 |
| 2204 Brookside Ln SE | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 18mo | $205,000 | $171 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-39,161
- Equity at exit
- $32,112
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-12,043
- Equity at exit
- $18,621
Cash invested: $60,304 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24014
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,596 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,129
- Tax from tax record
- −$241 /mo · $2,892/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $-199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,842
- Closing costs
- $6,461
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1922 Catawba St SE Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1629 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1625 Padbury Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1816 Bennington St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,023 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 770 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 703 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 635 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1513 Morningside St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 520 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,370 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,370 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,370 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,370 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $215,370 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,370 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,370 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,370 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,370 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,370 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,370 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,370 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,370 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,370 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,370 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-02-06price $215,370 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
Occupied, lease ends 9/30/26.
-
2026-01-05price $219,765 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
Occupied, lease ends 9/30/26.
-
2025-11-17$224,250 Active 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
Occupied, lease ends 9/30/26.
-
2017-03-29soldstatus $79,000
-
2016-03-01historical
-
2015-09-11$104,500
-
2015-08-17historical
-
2015-02-15$110,000
-
2013-03-30historical
-
2012-09-19$119,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,892 · $241/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,892 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,064
- − Property taxes
- −$2,892
- − Insurance
- −$1,077
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,532
- − Management
- −$1,532
- − Depreciation
- −$6,265
- Taxable loss
- −$6,212
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $-902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,300
- Household income
- $70,381
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 209.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -344.06%
- Current HPI
- 173.6728
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.80%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+79.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $215,370 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $219,765 MLSRV
- 2025-11-17 Listed $224,250 MLSRV
- 2017-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-01 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2015-09-11 Listed $104,500 MLSRV
- 2015-08-17 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2015-02-15 Listed $110,000 MLSRV
- 2013-03-30 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2012-09-19 Listed $119,900 MLSRV
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,892 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…