21900 SE 242nd St Unit A3 · Maple Valley, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare 3 Bdrm 2 1/2 Bath with Large 2 car garage! Condominium in the heart of Maple Valley. Freshy updated with Carpet, Paint, fixtures. Gorgeous Hardwood Floors, Big Bright Window & 9' ceilings. Primary features 5 piece bath w/ oversized soaking tub, Walk-in closet! New Deck of Primary! 2 more Big Bedrooms w/ extra storage closets. Kitchen SS appliances, gas cooktop, granite and slider to back patio. Cozy gas fireplace & Beautiful half bath complete the oversized Great Room in this roomy and private 2-story Home. Double car garage & private entrance. Tahoma School District and walk to Elementary School, Shopping & restaurants! Easy commuting location!
Key facts
- Big bright window
- Large garage
- 9 foot ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 3 units in building total; Senior exemption not in effect
- Financial info: Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
- HOA & community: HOA present; $561 monthly; HOA covers common area maintenance, security, and trash; Association contact: Alex Othon; 24 units in community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Individual garage; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 uncovered parking spaces; 4 total parking spaces
- Security: Security service
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Water: Cedar River; Power: PSE; Sewer: Soos Creek; Electric water heater located in garage
- Home design: Condominium (2 levels); Attached dwelling; Remodeled/updated; Primary bath included; Entry at main level; Faces west; Located on first floor of building; Building name: Trail at Tiburon
- Construction: Built/Effective year 2007; Cement plank and stone construction; Composition roof; Multi-family structure
- Exterior features: Cement-planked and stone exterior; Paved areas; Sidewalk; Balcony/Deck/Patio; End unit; Sprinkler system; Unit has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on upper level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Gas cooking; Fireplace (gas); Walk-in closets; Wood blinds; Water heater; Washer and dryer hookups
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-132 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $477k (4.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $469k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $469k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Maple Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#24 in WA, #461 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Tahoma School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #10 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lake Wilderness Elementary (885 students, 22% FRL); Maple View Middle School (1,009 students, 24% FRL); Tahoma Senior High School (2,790 students, 19% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($152k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($485k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $336k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.13%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $463,126
- List price
- $499,950
- Delta
- 7.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-90,241
- Equity at exit
- $74,544
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-92,772
- Equity at exit
- $43,227
Cash invested: $139,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98038
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,694 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$449 /mo · $5,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$561
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$986
- Net cashflow
- $-132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $10 | +0% $-132 | +5% $-273 | +10% $-415 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-503 | -5% $-317 | +0% $-132 | +5% $53 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $-5 | base $-132 | +0.5pp $-262 | +1.0pp $-393 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,988
- Closing costs
- $14,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24212 224th Ave SE Unit 4 Maple Valley, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $5,400 | $4.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 24202 224th Ave SE Unit 3 Maple Valley, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $5,400 | $4.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 24116 235th Ave SE Maple Valley, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1680 | $3,272 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $561 · $6,732/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $499,950 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $499,950 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $499,950 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $499,950 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $499,950 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $499,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $499,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $499,950 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $499,950 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $499,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,950 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,950 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,950 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,950 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-02$499,950 Active
-
2007-05-01soldstatus $336,000 Closed
-
2007-03-24historical
-
2007-03-23historical
-
2006-10-11$336,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,385 · $449/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,385 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,323
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,005
- − Property taxes
- −$5,385
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,506
- − Management
- −$4,506
- − HOA
- −$6,732
- − Depreciation
- −$14,544
- Taxable loss
- −$9,855
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,365
- After-tax cash flow
- $782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tahoma School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308760
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $94,834
- Composite
- 66.41/100
- National rank
- #925
- State rank
- #10 of 291 in WA
Livability — Maple Valley
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Valley, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 37,324
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,324
- Household income
- $152,261
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -588.79%
- Current HPI
- 310.7428
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.76%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+48.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $499,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-01 Sold (MLS) $336,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-24 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-23 Contingent — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-11 Listed $336,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,385 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…