1281 Richmond Ave · Clewiston, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready home available. Recently remodeled and conveniently located in Clewiston, close to schools and shopping.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Recently remodeled
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property classified as Residential, Single Family Residence; Zoning: RG3M
- Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
- HOA & community: No HOA or association
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.19-acre lot
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.0% in Clewiston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#436 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 404 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $125k implies a 862% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.06%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,880
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 734 Midstate Loop | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $203 | 73 |
| 1341 Sherwood Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (-4%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $271 | 72 |
| 710 Cypress Cir | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (-5%) | 13mo | $53,000 | $58 | 63 |
| 780 Tammy Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 18mo | $224,000 | $233 | 60 |
| 715 Seminole Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $148 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $20,740
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $70,893
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33440
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $643
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $125,000
-
2026-05-14price $140,000
-
2026-01-07$195,000 Active
-
2023-11-19historical
-
2023-11-01historical
-
2023-10-18
-
2023-09-19status Active
-
2023-09-19historical
-
2023-09-02status Active
-
2023-07-24historical
-
2023-06-14historical
-
2023-05-23historical
-
2023-05-22$157,000 Active
-
2023-05-22$157,000 Active
-
2020-11-20historical
-
2020-11-16status Active
-
2020-10-30status Pending
-
2020-09-10status Active
-
2020-08-04status Pending
-
2020-05-19$54,900 Active
-
1985-08-01soldstatus $13,000
-
1984-12-01soldstatus $750,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,589
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $6,078
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,459
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendry
- NCES district ID
- 1200780
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,043
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #6054
- State rank
- #65 of 73 in FL
Livability — Clewiston
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #436
- US rank
- #7801
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,119
Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,866 people
- By 2030
- 38,558 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 37,743 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 36,117 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 30,070 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 21,966 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 26% White 23% Black 18% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 18%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 48% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 414.9243
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-83.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-19 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-11-01 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2023-10-18 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-19 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2023-09-19 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2023-09-02 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2023-07-24 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-06-14 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2023-05-23 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2023-05-22 Listed $157,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2023-05-22 Listed $157,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2020-11-20 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2020-11-16 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2020-10-30 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2020-09-10 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2020-08-04 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2020-05-19 Listed $54,900 FORTMLS
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 1984-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,633 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…