CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1281 Richmond Ave
B+ Composite 77.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.5/10.0

$125,000

1281 Richmond Ave · Clewiston, FL 33440
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 162 Days on market
Built 1985 8,276 sqft lot Est $195k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-in ready home available. Recently remodeled and conveniently located in Clewiston, close to schools and shopping.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Recently remodeled
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYRECENTLY REMODELEDCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property classified as Residential, Single Family Residence; Zoning: RG3M
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No HOA or association

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Metal frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.19-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.0% in Clewiston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#436 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 404 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $125k implies a 862% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.47%
Cash-on-cash
22.06%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,880
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
734 Midstate Loop 0.47mi 3/2.0 960 (0%) 5mo $195,000 $203 73
1341 Sherwood Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 924 (-4%) 12mo $250,000 $271 72
710 Cypress Cir 0.29mi 3/1.0 910 (-5%) 13mo $53,000 $58 63
780 Tammy Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 960 (0%) 18mo $224,000 $233 60
715 Seminole Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+12%) 20mo $160,000 $148 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$20,740
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$70,893
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33440

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
404
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$643

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,068
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 154 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 152 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 151 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    price $125,000
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $140,000
  17. 2026-01-07
    listed $195,000 Active
  18. 2023-11-19
    historical
  19. 2023-11-01
    historical
  20. 2023-10-18
    listed
  21. 2023-09-19
    status Active
  22. 2023-09-19
    historical
  23. 2023-09-02
    status Active
  24. 2023-07-24
    historical
  25. 2023-06-14
    historical
  26. 2023-05-23
    historical
  27. 2023-05-22
    listed $157,000 Active
  28. 2023-05-22
    listed $157,000 Active
  29. 2020-11-20
    historical
  30. 2020-11-16
    status Active
  31. 2020-10-30
    status Pending
  32. 2020-09-10
    status Active
  33. 2020-08-04
    status Pending
  34. 2020-05-19
    listed $54,900 Active
  35. 1985-08-01
    soldstatus $13,000
  36. 1984-12-01
    soldstatus $750,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,589
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,633
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,807
− Management
−$1,807
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$6,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,459
After-tax cash flow
$6,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hendry
NCES district ID
1200780
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,043
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#6054
State rank
#65 of 73 in FL

Livability — Clewiston

Score
70/100
State rank
#436
US rank
#7801

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
21,119

Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,866 people
By 2030
38,558 · -0.8%
By 2040
37,743 · -2.9%
By 2050
36,117 · -7.1%
By 2075
30,070 · -22.6%
By 2100
21,966 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 26% White 23% Black 18% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 18%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 48% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendry

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.08%
Current HPI
414.9243
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-83.3% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-19 Rental Removed BUILDIUM
  • 2023-11-01 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Listed for Rent BUILDIUM
  • 2023-09-19 Relisted NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-09-19 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-09-02 Relisted NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Rental Removed BUILDIUM
  • 2023-06-14 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-05-23 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-05-22 Listed $157,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-05-22 Listed $157,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2020-11-20 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2020-11-16 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2020-10-30 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2020-09-10 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2020-08-04 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2020-05-19 Listed $54,900 FORTMLS
  • 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 1984-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,633 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…