5005 Collins Ave #823 · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$359,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
Key facts
- Onsite restaurant
- Beach side pool
- Gym w ocean views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $359k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-555 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (27.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $359k).
- Recommended offer: $261k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: North Beach Elementary School (math 75% / reading 79%, grade A, #170 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 937 students, 24% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); Miami Beach Senior High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,175 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 64% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 672 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,663/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 870% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 11119% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.83%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.96% appreciation · 3.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-25,644
- Equity at exit
- $121,902
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $13,660
- Equity at exit
- $161,492
Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33140
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 672
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,663 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,883
- Tax from tax record
- −$480 /mo · $5,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$1,660
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$979
- Net cashflow
- $-555
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-352 | -5% $-453 | +0% $-555 | +5% $-657 | +10% $-758 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-923 | -5% $-739 | +0% $-555 | +5% $-371 | +10% $-187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-374 | -0.5pp $-464 | base $-555 | +0.5pp $-648 | +1.0pp $-743 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,750
- Closing costs
- $10,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,660 · $19,920/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-01price $359,000
-
2026-02-19price $367,000
-
2026-02-09historical $3,200
-
2026-02-09price $369,000
-
2026-02-01$3,200
-
2026-01-17status Active
-
2026-01-13historical $3,200
-
2026-01-13status Pending
-
2026-01-01$3,200
-
2025-12-15historical $3,000
-
2025-12-03$3,000
-
2025-12-02price $375,000
-
2025-11-26historical $3,250
-
2025-11-11$3,250
-
2025-11-03price $429,500
-
2025-10-07$435,000 Active
-
2025-06-17soldstatus $347,000
-
2025-06-06soldstatus $347,000 Closed 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2025-06-03historical Active Under Contract 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2025-02-18price $369,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2024-07-08price $399,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2024-06-12price $439,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2024-03-05price $469,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2024-02-14$489,000 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
!!!JUST REDUCED $30k REDUCTION!!! REDUCED REDUCED REDUCED AND SELLER MUST SELL. Come check out this spectacular 2x1 oceanfront gem. Spacious and tastefully renovated this unit boasts a large balcony that overlooks the ocean. Honestly a great buy with a very motivated seller. Also very easy to show. . Call today!!!
-
2024-01-19historical $3,600
-
2023-11-18price $3,600
-
2023-08-01$3,200
-
2020-12-09historical
-
2020-11-06price $309,000
-
2020-09-22price $299,000
-
2019-07-09price $310,000
-
2019-06-20price $320,000
-
2019-04-24price $339,000
-
2018-11-12$359,000 Active
-
2018-04-30historical
-
2018-02-26price $379,000
-
2017-07-21$395,000 Active
-
2013-05-14soldstatus $220,000
-
2010-07-27soldstatus $160,000
-
1994-02-17soldstatus $130,000
-
1993-03-23soldstatus $94,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,760 · $480/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,760 · $480/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,110
- − Property taxes
- −$5,760
- − Insurance
- −$2,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,476
- − Management
- −$4,476
- − HOA
- −$19,920
- − Depreciation
- −$10,444
- Taxable loss
- −$11,823
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,838
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,342
- Household income
- $107,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 870.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 23% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 19% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.96%
- Current HPI
- 302.8514
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.52%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+281.9% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $359,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $367,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-09 Rental Removed $3,200 MARMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $369,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed for Rent $3,200 MARMLS
- 2026-01-17 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Rental Removed $3,200 MARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listed for Rent $3,200 MARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Rental Removed $3,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed for Rent $3,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $375,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-26 Rental Removed $3,250 MARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Listed for Rent $3,250 MARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $429,500 MARMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $435,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $347,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-06 Sold (MLS) $347,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-03 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $369,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-08 Price Changed $399,000 MARMLS
- 2024-06-12 Price Changed $439,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-05 Price Changed $469,000 MARMLS
- 2024-02-14 Listed $489,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-19 Rental Removed $3,600 MARMLS
- 2023-11-18 Price Changed $3,600 MARMLS
- 2023-08-01 Listed for Rent $3,200 MARMLS
- 2020-12-09 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-11-06 Price Changed $309,000 MARMLS
- 2020-09-22 Price Changed $299,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-09 Price Changed $310,000 MARMLS
- 2019-06-20 Price Changed $320,000 MARMLS
- 2019-04-24 Price Changed $339,000 MARMLS
- 2018-11-12 Listed $359,000 MARMLS
- 2018-04-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-02-26 Price Changed $379,000 MARMLS
- 2017-07-21 Listed $395,000 MARMLS
- 2013-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-27 Sold (MLS) $160,000 MARMLS
- 1994-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,760 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…