🌊 Lakefront
352 Riverside Dr · Hagan, GA
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you have ever wanted that place to fish and swim anytime you wanted then come take a look at this property. This cabin is a stones throw from the Canoochee River. This is a great project to take on for those cold winter nights. It will be in perfect shape by the time summer rolls around. Never ask permission again to go fish on someones property. This cabin has a new county approved septic system and water well. On demand gas water heater, free standing wood stove, 6' high chain link fence around almost the entire property.
Key facts
- Water well
- Canoochee river
- 1.02 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#223 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Evans County (rural): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #153 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Evans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Evans County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.57%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,437
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -67.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $17,087
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $55,940
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30417
- Home prices YoY
- -11.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,573 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $90,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $90,000 Price Change 213 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-01-29status Back On Market 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
If you have ever wanted that place to fish and swim anytime you wanted then come take a look at this property. This cabin is a stones throw from the Canoochee River. This is a great project to take on for those cold winter nights. It will be in perfect shape by the time summer rolls around. Never ask permission again to go fish on someones property. This cabin has a new county approved septic system and water well. On demand gas water heater, free standing wood stove, 6' high chain link fence around almost the entire property.
-
2026-01-16status Under Contract 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
If you have ever wanted that place to fish and swim anytime you wanted then come take a look at this property. This cabin is a stones throw from the Canoochee River. This is a great project to take on for those cold winter nights. It will be in perfect shape by the time summer rolls around. Never ask permission again to go fish on someones property. This cabin has a new county approved septic system and water well. On demand gas water heater, free standing wood stove, 6' high chain link fence around almost the entire property.
-
2025-10-15$110,000 New 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
If you have ever wanted that place to fish and swim anytime you wanted then come take a look at this property. This cabin is a stones throw from the Canoochee River. This is a great project to take on for those cold winter nights. It will be in perfect shape by the time summer rolls around. Never ask permission again to go fish on someones property. This cabin has a new county approved septic system and water well. On demand gas water heater, free standing wood stove, 6' high chain link fence around almost the entire property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone A · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,879
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,952
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,510
- − Management
- −$1,510
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,896
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,175
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evans County
- NCES district ID
- 1302070
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,397
- Composite
- 13.47/100
- National rank
- #9520
- State rank
- #153 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hagan
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #223
- US rank
- #13161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 135
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,167
Population outlook (Evans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,146 people
- By 2030
- 9,833 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 9,202 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 8,554 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 7,123 · -29.8%
- By 2100
- 5,471 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Evans
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.6% · R 71.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -42.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.3 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.98%
- Current HPI
- 188.6367
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-01-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $110,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $25 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…