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107 Birchfield Ln 🔨 Auction
F Composite 31.49
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

107 Birchfield Ln · World Golf Village, FL 32092
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,711 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2021 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends June 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST. Explore this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Saint Augustine community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2021

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Lot size: 0.18 Acres
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with 2 spaces
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Planned Unit Development (PUD) zoning
  • Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 1 room (room breakdown not provided)
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $5,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $388,397 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-674 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.0% in World Golf Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in FL, #2,512 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1323 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 116.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.21%
Cash-on-cash
-7.43%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$388,397
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
64 Birdfield Ct 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,710 (-0%) 9mo $350,000 $205 87
44 Newland Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,626 (-5%) 9mo $355,000 $218 80
339 Meadow Ridge Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,710 (-0%) 15mo $419,000 $245 80
490 Meadow Ridge Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,710 (-0%) 15mo $426,000 $249 79
120 Moorcroft Way 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,864 (+9%) 7mo $374,000 $201 76
152 Birdfield Ct 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,711 (0%) 24mo $425,000 $248 74
21 Newland Ct 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,626 (-5%) 17mo $370,000 $228 71
769 Trellis Bay Dr 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,653 (-3%) 4mo $375,000 $227 69
62 Newland Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,861 (+9%) 17mo $411,500 $221 67
701 Meadow Ridge Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,864 (+9%) 18mo $390,000 $209 65
46 Great Pond Way 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,503 (-12%) 1mo $365,000 $243 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.5%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-113,065
Equity at exit
$57,911
10-year hold
IRR
-59.2%
Equity multiple
-0.67×
Total profit
$-181,662
Equity at exit
$33,581

Cash invested: $108,751 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32092

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
1323
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,545 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,037
Tax est. 1.5%
$485 /mo · $5,826/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$534
Net cashflow
$-674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,398
Max offer price $290,929
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,099
Closing costs
$11,652
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
581 Meadow Ridge Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,250 $1.21 17d 1 0.17mi
319 Greenway Ln Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1948 $2,850 $1.46 3d 1 0.87mi
64 Rose Dew Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1713 $2,695 $1.57 19d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 303-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $5,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,540
− Mortgage interest
−$21,756
− Property taxes
−$5,826
− Insurance
−$1,942
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,443
− Management
−$2,443
− Depreciation
−$11,299
Taxable loss
−$15,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,641
After-tax cash flow
$-4,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — World Golf Village

Score
78/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#2512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
City population
48,288
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
53,071
Household income
$131,020
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
706.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.26%
Current HPI
259.732
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+49.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,798 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…