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471 Duesouth Rd
C Composite 55.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,900

471 Duesouth Rd · Florissant, CO 80816
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 2003 0.52 ac lot Est $415k · 8% under $4/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away in Colorado Mountain Estates, this inviting ranch-style home offers the ease of true main-level living with mountain charm and low-maintenance features. The stucco exterior and durable metal roof provide peace of mind, while the front and back decks offer great spaces to relax and enjoy the Colorado outdoors. Inside, vaulted ceilings create an open feel throughout the main living area. The living room features a cozy gas fireplace, perfect for cool mountain evenings. The spacious kitchen provides plenty of room for cooking and entertaining and flows into the dining area with direct access to the back deck for easy indoor/outdoor living. This home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car attached garage, and a fully fenced backyard with room for pets, play, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor space. Comfort, convenience, and mountain living all come together in this welcoming home.

Key facts

  • Cozy gas fireplace
  • Metal roof
  • Front and back decks

Tags

MAIN-LEVEL LIVINGSTUCCO EXTERIORMETAL ROOFFRONT AND BACK DECKSVAULTED CEILINGSCOZY GAS FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Colorado Mountain Estates association; Professionally managed; Annual association fee of $50

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Two total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Property is unattached; Individual ownership
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Metal roof; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Level meadow-like lot; Dirt road frontage on a publicly maintained road; Zoned R-1

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two bathrooms (one full, one three-quarter), both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet available; Tile countertops; Walk-in closet(s); Gas fireplace in living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $367k (3.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $367k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.3% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#311 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Cripple Creek-Victor School District No. Re-1 (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #157 of 176 in CO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cresson Elementary School (math 10% / reading 54%, grade F, #469 of 966 statewide, top 49%, 137 students, 73% FRL); Cripple Creek-Victor Junior-Senior High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #337 of 381 statewide, top 88%, 176 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 148 units permitted in Teller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Teller County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $366,800 (3.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.40%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$414,656
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
484 Due South Rd 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,360 (+12%) 1mo $413,000 $304 73
23 Wasatch Ln 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+13%) 2mo $360,000 $262 68
247 Turnabout Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+6%) 17mo $475,000 $369 65
393 S Mountain Estates Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,255 (+3%) 15mo $490,000 $390 61
192 Dillon Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,067 (-12%) 10mo $495,000 $464 54
441 Paint Pony Ln 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-1%) 6mo $319,000 $266 52
26 Homestead Ln 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,107 (-9%) 21mo $377,000 $341 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-19,961
Equity at exit
$56,644
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$35,684
Equity at exit
$32,847

Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80816

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,668 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,992
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$4
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$770
Net cashflow
$656

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,838
Max offer price $379,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $871 -5% $764 +0% $656 +5% $548 +10% $441
Rent -10% $366 -5% $511 +0% $656 +5% $801 +10% $946
Rate -1.0pp $847 -0.5pp $753 base $656 +0.5pp $558 +1.0pp $457

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,975
Closing costs
$11,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1823 S Mountain Estates Rd Florissant, CO 3.0 2.0 1314 $3,668 $2.79 13d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$4 · $48/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $379,900 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $379,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $379,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $395,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $395,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $395,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $395,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $395,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $395,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $395,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $395,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $395,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $395,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $395,000 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $395,000 Active 914-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Tucked away in Colorado Mountain Estates, this inviting ranch-style home offers the ease of true main-level living with mountain charm and low-maintenance features. The stucco exterior and durable metal roof provide peace of mind, while the front and back decks offer great spaces to relax and enjoy the Colorado outdoors. Inside, vaulted ceilings create an open feel throughout the main living area. The living room features a cozy gas fireplace, perfect for cool mountain evenings. The spacious kitchen provides plenty of room for cooking and entertaining and flows into the dining area with direct access to the back deck for easy indoor/outdoor living. This home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car attached garage, and a fully fenced backyard with room for pets, play, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor space. Comfort, convenience, and mountain living all come together in this welcoming home.

  18. 2026-05-27
    listed $395,000 Active 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Tucked away in Colorado Mountain Estates, this inviting ranch-style home offers the ease of true main-level living with mountain charm and low-maintenance features. The stucco exterior and durable metal roof provide peace of mind, while the front and back decks offer great spaces to relax and enjoy the Colorado outdoors. Inside, vaulted ceilings create an open feel throughout the main living area. The living room features a cozy gas fireplace, perfect for cool mountain evenings. The spacious kitchen provides plenty of room for cooking and entertaining and flows into the dining area with direct access to the back deck for easy indoor/outdoor living. This home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car attached garage, and a fully fenced backyard with room for pets, play, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor space. Comfort, convenience, and mountain living all come together in this welcoming home.

  19. 2026-05-27
    listed $395,000 Active 920-char remark
    Show marketing remark (920 chars)

    Tucked away in Colorado Mountain Estates, this inviting ranch-style home offers the ease of true main-level living with mountain charm and low-maintenance features. The stucco exterior and durable metal roof provide peace of mind, while the front and back decks offer great spaces to relax and enjoy the Colorado outdoors. Inside, vaulted ceilings create an open feel throughout the main living area. The living room features a cozy gas fireplace, perfect for cool mountain evenings. The spacious kitchen provides plenty of room for cooking and entertaining and flows into the dining area with direct access to the back deck for easy indoor/outdoor living. This home includes 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a 2-car attached garage, and a fully fenced backyard with room for pets, play, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor space. Comfort, convenience, and mountain living all come together in this welcoming home.

  20. 2023-11-14
    soldstatus $350,000
  21. 2023-11-13
    soldstatus $350,000 Closed
  22. 2023-11-13
    soldstatus $350,000 Sold
  23. 2023-11-13
    soldstatus $350,000 Sold
  24. 2023-11-08
    historical
  25. 2023-10-18
    status Pending
  26. 2023-10-18
    status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
  27. 2023-10-18
    historical Under Contract - Showing
  28. 2023-09-25
    price $359,000
  29. 2023-09-25
    price $359,000
  30. 2023-09-24
    price $359,000
  31. 2023-08-19
    price $379,000
  32. 2023-08-18
    price $379,000
  33. 2023-08-18
    price $379,000
  34. 2023-07-27
    price $399,000
  35. 2023-07-27
    price $399,000
  36. 2023-07-26
    price $399,000
  37. 2023-07-08
    listed $425,000 Active
  38. 2023-07-08
    listed $425,000 Active
  39. 2023-06-17
    listed $425,000 Active
  40. 2011-10-14
    soldstatus $162,400
  41. 2005-02-22
    soldstatus $164,900
  42. 2005-02-22
    soldstatus $164,900
  43. 2004-02-23
    soldstatus $163,000
  44. 2003-04-28
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,089 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$1,043/yr (+$87/mo · 99.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,016
− Mortgage interest
−$21,280
− Property taxes
−$1,046
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,521
− Management
−$3,521
− HOA
−$48
− Depreciation
−$11,052
Taxable income
$1,647
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$395
After-tax cash flow
$7,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cripple Creek-Victor School District No. Re-1
NCES district ID
0803180
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,346
Composite
19.0/100
National rank
#13980
State rank
#157 of 176 in CO

Livability — Florissant

Score
57/100
State rank
#311
US rank
#22011

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,372

Population outlook (Teller County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,404 people
By 2030
21,527 · -3.9%
By 2040
19,356 · -13.6%
By 2050
17,462 · -22.1%
By 2075
14,658 · -34.6%
By 2100
11,982 · -46.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Slovak 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Teller

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.0% · R 66.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -35.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.5 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+33.1 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.52%
Current HPI
332.3075
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3850.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $395,000 elevateMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $395,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $395,000 IRES
  • 2023-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $350,000 elevateMLS
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $350,000 IRES
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $350,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-08 Delisted elevateMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Pending IRES
  • 2023-10-18 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-18 Contingent elevateMLS
  • 2023-09-25 Price Changed $359,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-25 Price Changed $359,000 IRES
  • 2023-09-24 Price Changed $359,000 elevateMLS
  • 2023-08-19 Price Changed $379,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-18 Price Changed $379,000 IRES
  • 2023-08-18 Price Changed $379,000 elevateMLS
  • 2023-07-27 Price Changed $399,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-27 Price Changed $399,000 IRES
  • 2023-07-26 Price Changed $399,000 elevateMLS
  • 2023-07-08 Listed $425,000 IRES
  • 2023-07-08 Listed $425,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-17 Listed $425,000 elevateMLS
  • 2011-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $162,400 Public Records
  • 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $164,900 Public Records
  • 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $164,900 Public Records
  • 2004-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,046 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…