3535 Bluegrass Dr · Lake Havasu City, AZ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious home has a 2 car garage with an attached carport! Located on a wide lot with tons of possibilities. Features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with a bonus room, great for an office and an enclosed Arizona room behind the master bedroom. Fenced backyard with plenty of room to add a pool, casita and more. Backs to a wash for added privacy and fenced backyard.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Bonus rooms
- 2 car garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-372 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $334k (16.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (35.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $259k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.0% in Lake Havasu City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#124 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake Havasu Unified District (4368) (urban): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #66 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 535 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $212k; list at $400k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.99%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $577,366
- List price
- $399,900
- Delta
- -30.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3575 White Cap Dr | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,442 (-0%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $168 | 80 |
| 3417 Osprey Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 2,380 (-3%) | 9mo | $500,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 3397 Chemehuevi Blvd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,369 (-3%) | 9mo | $450,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 3274 Cinnamon Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,215 (-9%) | 1mo | $600,000 | $271 | 51 |
| 3370 Hornet Bay N | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,272 (-7%) | 2mo | $790,000 | $348 | 51 |
| 3336 Saddleback Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,096 (-14%) | 14mo | $470,000 | $224 | 49 |
| 3380 Monte Carlo Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,212 (-10%) | 1mo | $391,000 | $177 | 49 |
| 3150 Caravelle Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,317 (-5%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $173 | 48 |
| 690 Pueblo Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,302 (-6%) | 14mo | $835,000 | $363 | 46 |
| 3560 Tahitian Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 2,172 (-11%) | 20mo | $900,000 | $414 | 44 |
| 3531 Winston Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,236 (-8%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $206 | 42 |
| 3347 Newport Dr | 0.60mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,106 (-14%) | 16mo | $990,000 | $470 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-88,293
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-106,577
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86406
- Home prices YoY
- -28.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 535
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,592 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$544
- Net cashflow
- $-372
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-146 | -5% $-259 | +0% $-372 | +5% $-485 | +10% $-598 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-577 | -5% $-474 | +0% $-372 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-167 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-170 | -0.5pp $-270 | base $-372 | +0.5pp $-476 | +1.0pp $-581 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3611 Breakwater Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $3,500 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3417 Thunderbird Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1686 | $2,400 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3393 Jamaica Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1694 | $3,000 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3255 Silver Saddle Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1850 | $2,950 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 640 Chemehuevi Plz Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1689 | $2,800 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3261 Pintail Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 441 Silver King Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2263 | $2,800 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3713 Mission Dr S Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $2,000 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3293 Silver Arrow Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1854 | $1,800 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3570 Stanford Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1681 | $4,900 | $2.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3576 Stanford Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1730 | $2,400 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3921 Aloha Ln Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3743 Mission Dr S Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,700 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3099 Jamaica Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,900 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 911 Pueblo Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1824 | $3,500 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3691 Parkview Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $2,800 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3165 Cotati Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $3,100 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3781 Solar Bay Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1826 | $3,200 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3258 Kiowa Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2906 Daytona Ave Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2263 | $3,000 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2906 Castaway Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2811 | $3,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 75 Southwester Ln Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2184 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3924 Cherry Tree Blvd Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1975 | $3,500 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3699 El Dorado Ave N Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1735 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2930 Coconino Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2860 Edgewood Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $1,700 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2856 War Eagle Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1887 | $2,300 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2990 Yuma Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $2,250 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2990 Yuma Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $2,250 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12price $399,900 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This spacious home has a 2 car garage with an attached carport! Located on a wide lot with tons of possibilities. Features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with a bonus room, great for an office and an enclosed Arizona room behind the master bedroom. Fenced backyard with plenty of room to add a pool, casita and more. Backs to a wash for added privacy and fenced backyard.
-
2026-04-07$424,900 Active 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
This spacious home has a 2 car garage with an attached carport! Located on a wide lot with tons of possibilities. Features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with a bonus room, great for an office and an enclosed Arizona room behind the master bedroom. Fenced backyard with plenty of room to add a pool, casita and more. Backs to a wash for added privacy and fenced backyard.
-
2021-07-13soldstatus $212,000
-
2003-03-12soldstatus $115,000
-
1998-02-05soldstatus $78,000
-
1995-10-18soldstatus $77,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,873 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,639 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$766/yr (+$64/mo · 40.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$1,873
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,489
- − Management
- −$2,489
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$11,776
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,826
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,636/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Havasu Unified District (4368)
- NCES district ID
- 0404280
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,993
- Composite
- 33.92/100
- National rank
- #5339
- State rank
- #66 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Lake Havasu City
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #15839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Havasu City, AZ
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- City population
- 62,596
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,067
- Household income
- $77,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 376.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.94%
- Current HPI
- 380.9101
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.14%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+419.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $399,900 LHAR
- 2026-04-07 Listed $424,900 LHAR
- 2021-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $212,000 Public Records
- 2003-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 1995-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,873 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…