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3535 Bluegrass Dr
D- Composite 39.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,900

3535 Bluegrass Dr · Lake Havasu City, AZ 86406
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,445 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1999 0.27 ac lot $164/sqft · 31% below area Est $577k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious home has a 2 car garage with an attached carport! Located on a wide lot with tons of possibilities. Features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with a bonus room, great for an office and an enclosed Arizona room behind the master bedroom. Fenced backyard with plenty of room to add a pool, casita and more. Backs to a wash for added privacy and fenced backyard.

Key facts

  • Attached carport
  • Bonus rooms
  • 2 car garage

Tags

2 CAR GARAGEATTACHED CARPORTWIDE LOTFENCED BACKYARDBONUS ROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-372 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $334k (16.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (35.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $259k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.0% in Lake Havasu City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#124 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake Havasu Unified District (4368) (urban): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #66 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 535 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $212k; list at $400k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $259,237 (35.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.99%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$577,366
List price
$399,900
Delta
-30.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3575 White Cap Dr 0.19mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,442 (-0%) 2mo $410,000 $168 80
3417 Osprey Ln 0.43mi 3/2.5 2,380 (-3%) 9mo $500,000 $210 66
3397 Chemehuevi Blvd 0.57mi 3/2.0 2,369 (-3%) 9mo $450,000 $190 60
3274 Cinnamon Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 2,215 (-9%) 1mo $600,000 $271 51
3370 Hornet Bay N 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,272 (-7%) 2mo $790,000 $348 51
3336 Saddleback Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 2,096 (-14%) 14mo $470,000 $224 49
3380 Monte Carlo Ave 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,212 (-10%) 1mo $391,000 $177 49
3150 Caravelle Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,317 (-5%) 6mo $400,000 $173 48
690 Pueblo Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,302 (-6%) 14mo $835,000 $363 46
3560 Tahitian Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 2,172 (-11%) 20mo $900,000 $414 44
3531 Winston Dr 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,236 (-8%) 1mo $460,000 $206 42
3347 Newport Dr 0.60mi 4/4.0 (+1) 2,106 (-14%) 16mo $990,000 $470 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-88,293
Equity at exit
$59,626
10-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-106,577
Equity at exit
$34,576

Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86406

Home prices YoY
-28.5%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
535
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,592 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,097
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,873/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$544
Net cashflow
$-372

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,063
Max offer price $334,205
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-146 -5% $-259 +0% $-372 +5% $-485 +10% $-598
Rent -10% $-577 -5% $-474 +0% $-372 +5% $-269 +10% $-167
Rate -1.0pp $-170 -0.5pp $-270 base $-372 +0.5pp $-476 +1.0pp $-581

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,975
Closing costs
$11,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3611 Breakwater Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 4.0 2.0 1691 $3,500 $2.07 45d 1 0.26mi
3417 Thunderbird Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1686 $2,400 $1.42 14d 1 0.28mi
3393 Jamaica Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1694 $3,000 $1.77 45d 1 0.41mi
3255 Silver Saddle Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 1850 $2,950 $1.59 45d 1 0.52mi
640 Chemehuevi Plz Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 1689 $2,800 $1.66 45d 1 0.59mi
3261 Pintail Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1704 $1,900 $1.12 14d 1 0.60mi
441 Silver King Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 2263 $2,800 $1.24 45d 1 0.69mi
3713 Mission Dr S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1956 $2,000 $1.02 22d 1 0.72mi
3293 Silver Arrow Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 1854 $1,800 $0.97 45d 1 0.74mi
3570 Stanford Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 1681 $4,900 $2.91 45d 1 0.75mi
3576 Stanford Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 4.0 3.0 1730 $2,400 $1.39 45d 1 0.77mi
3921 Aloha Ln Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1699 $3,500 $2.06 45d 1 0.81mi
3743 Mission Dr S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 2027 $2,700 $1.33 45d 1 0.83mi
3099 Jamaica Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1586 $1,900 $1.20 45d 1 0.86mi
911 Pueblo Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 4.0 3.0 1824 $3,500 $1.92 45d 1 0.94mi
3691 Parkview Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1631 $2,800 $1.72 45d 1 1.04mi
3165 Cotati Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1688 $3,100 $1.84 22d 1 1.05mi
3781 Solar Bay Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1826 $3,200 $1.75 14d 1 1.10mi
3258 Kiowa Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1577 $2,000 $1.27 45d 1 1.14mi
2906 Daytona Ave Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 2263 $3,000 $1.33 45d 1 1.16mi
2906 Castaway Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 2811 $3,500 $1.25 45d 1 1.16mi
75 Southwester Ln Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.5 2184 $2,500 $1.14 45d 1 1.17mi
3924 Cherry Tree Blvd Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 1975 $3,500 $1.77 45d 1 1.20mi
3699 El Dorado Ave N Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.5 1735 $2,500 $1.44 22d 1 1.20mi
2930 Coconino Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1819 $2,400 $1.32 22d 1 1.21mi
2860 Edgewood Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1868 $1,700 $0.91 45d 1 1.26mi
2856 War Eagle Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.5 1887 $2,300 $1.22 45d 1 1.35mi
2990 Yuma Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1961 $2,250 $1.15 14d 1 1.45mi
2990 Yuma Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1961 $2,250 $1.15 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    price $399,900 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This spacious home has a 2 car garage with an attached carport! Located on a wide lot with tons of possibilities. Features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with a bonus room, great for an office and an enclosed Arizona room behind the master bedroom. Fenced backyard with plenty of room to add a pool, casita and more. Backs to a wash for added privacy and fenced backyard.

  2. 2026-04-07
    listed $424,900 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    This spacious home has a 2 car garage with an attached carport! Located on a wide lot with tons of possibilities. Features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with a bonus room, great for an office and an enclosed Arizona room behind the master bedroom. Fenced backyard with plenty of room to add a pool, casita and more. Backs to a wash for added privacy and fenced backyard.

  3. 2021-07-13
    soldstatus $212,000
  4. 2003-03-12
    soldstatus $115,000
  5. 1998-02-05
    soldstatus $78,000
  6. 1995-10-18
    soldstatus $77,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,873 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,639 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$766/yr (+$64/mo · 40.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,108
− Mortgage interest
−$22,401
− Property taxes
−$1,873
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,489
− Management
−$2,489
− Depreciation
−$11,633
Taxable loss
−$11,776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,826
After-tax cash flow
$-1,636/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Havasu Unified District (4368)
NCES district ID
0404280
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,993
Composite
33.92/100
National rank
#5339
State rank
#66 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Lake Havasu City

Score
63/100
State rank
#124
US rank
#15839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment C Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Havasu City, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
62,596
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
25,067
Household income
$77,506
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
376.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.94%
Current HPI
380.9101
Rent YoY
▲ 3.14%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+419.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $399,900 LHAR
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $424,900 LHAR
  • 2021-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $212,000 Public Records
  • 2003-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1998-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 1995-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,873 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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