1550 N Main St · Mansfield, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A beautiful 3 beds 2 baths mobile home, Silver leaf community in Mansfield tx
Key facts
- Built 2016
- Listed 39 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 2.8% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#243 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Mansfield ISD (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #125 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 739 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.10%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $50,380
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 54.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.64×
- Total profit
- $110,321
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76063
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 739
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,153 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $570/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $1,106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,154 | -5% $1,130 | +0% $1,106 | +5% $1,082 | +10% $1,058 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $936 | -5% $1,021 | +0% $1,106 | +5% $1,191 | +10% $1,276 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,149 | -0.5pp $1,127 | base $1,106 | +0.5pp $1,084 | +1.0pp $1,061 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1350 FM 157 Mansfield, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $2,283 | $2.68 | 0d | 20 | 0.31mi |
| 1122 Hidden Creek Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,995 | $1.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1200 Hidden Creek Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 311 Watson Branch Ln Mansfield, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1105 | $2,840 | $2.57 | 0d | 35 | 0.36mi |
| 1210 Hidden Oaks Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $2,150 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1701 Towne Crossing Blvd Mansfield, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,615 | $1.94 | 0d | 14 | 0.60mi |
| 1301 Piedmont Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1298 | $1,945 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2304 Wood River Pkwy Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1298 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2305 Wood River Pkwy Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,895 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1814 Cozumel Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1404 Piedmont Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,945 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1426 Piedmont Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1298 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1002 Canary Ln Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,250 | $1.64 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 910 Blue Jay Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $2,245 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 751 N Main St Mansfield, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $2,609 | $2.53 | 0d | 19 | 1.22mi |
| 715 N Main St Mansfield, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,406 | $2.35 | 0d | 13 | 1.30mi |
| 1712 Martinique Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,125 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1712 Martinique Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,125 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$85,000 Active 77-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $570 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$986/yr (+$82/mo · 173.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$570
- − Insurance
- −$1,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,067
- − Management
- −$2,067
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $12,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,042
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828920
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,934
- Composite
- 45.82/100
- National rank
- #2558
- State rank
- #125 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #5833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 82,625
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 82,625
- Household income
- $118,946
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2081.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 259.1952
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $85,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $570 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…