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59 Martha Ave
D Composite 42.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

59 Martha Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,282 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1950 3,555 sqft lot Est $164k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Word to describe this house would be IMPECCABLE!! Extremely well maintained 3 bedroom 1 bath. Orginal owners. Very dry full finished basement with shower. Original woodwork and hardwood floors throughout. Extra room on second floor could be 4th bedroom/office. Landscaped yard. 1 car garage. Furniture available. This home is priced to sell and a must see!

Key facts

  • 3,555 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($14/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $160k implies a 357% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,021 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.03%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,096
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
59 Martha Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,282 (0%) 1mo $149,000 $116 99
496 Berkshire Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-1%) 1mo $125,000 $99 74
37 Elmer Ave 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,327 (+4%) 0mo $170,000 $128 69
157 Roosevelt Ave 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,394 (+9%) 4mo $200,000 $143 64
212 Easton Ave 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (-3%) 3mo $220,000 $176 63
153 Stockbridge Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-3%) 3mo $150,000 $120 61
99 Fennimore Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-14%) 3mo $115,000 $105 59
358 Hastings Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-10%) 2mo $128,500 $112 54
90 Alma Ave 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,360 (+6%) 3mo $105,000 $77 54
601 Lasalle Ave 0.73mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,188 (-7%) 1mo $165,000 $139 48
322 Phyllis Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,098 (-14%) 0mo $175,000 $159 47
28 Cedar Rd 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,407 (+10%) 3mo $240,000 $171 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-29,026
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-37,660
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $112 -5% $56 +0% $1 +5% $-54 +10% $-109
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-54 +0% $1 +5% $56 +10% $112
Rate -1.0pp $82 -0.5pp $42 base $1 +0.5pp $-40 +1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 3d 1 0.22mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 45d 1 0.52mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 11d 1 0.54mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 45d 1 0.57mi
71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1773 $1,100 $0.62 45d 1 0.63mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 45d 1 0.64mi
220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 0.72mi
249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 45d 1 0.87mi
90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 0.88mi
61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 0.91mi
216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1690 $1,150 $0.68 25d 1 0.93mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 15d 1 0.95mi
103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 882 $1,300 $1.47 4d 1 0.97mi
265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 45d 1 0.99mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 25d 1 1.06mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 45d 1 1.06mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,291 $2.24 3d 10 1.17mi
92 Lasalle Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 1.18mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 45d 1 1.23mi
40 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 12d 1 1.30mi
65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,500 $0.92 3d 1 1.37mi
50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 18d 1 1.37mi
26 Custer St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 1.41mi
44 Aurora Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $3,300 $2.59 3d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-31
    status Active
  3. 2026-01-29
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-22
    listed $159,900 Active
  5. 2025-10-14
    historical
  6. 2024-11-11
    listed $159,900 Active
  7. 2015-01-30
    soldstatus $35,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Word to describe this house would be IMPECCABLE!! Extremely well maintained 3 bedroom 1 bath. Orginal owners. Very dry full finished basement with shower. Original woodwork and hardwood floors throughout. Extra room on second floor could be 4th bedroom/office. Landscaped yard. 1 car garage. Furniture available. This home is priced to sell and a must see!

  8. 2014-09-25
    listed $35,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Word to describe this house would be IMPECCABLE!! Extremely well maintained 3 bedroom 1 bath. Orginal owners. Very dry full finished basement with shower. Original woodwork and hardwood floors throughout. Extra room on second floor could be 4th bedroom/office. Landscaped yard. 1 car garage. Furniture available. This home is priced to sell and a must see!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,803
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$646
After-tax cash flow
$660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+356.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-31 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-14 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2024-11-11 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-01-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-09-25 Listed $35,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $258 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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