1510 Maple Ln #27 · Kent, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.14%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.6
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and affordable 2-bedroom, 1.75-bath manufactured home located in a desirable 55+ community in Kent! Situated on a quiet corner lot, this home offers added privacy and a peaceful setting while still being conveniently close to freeway access, shopping, and everyday amenities. Inside, you’ll find a freshly painted interior that brightens the space and gives the home a refreshed feel. The layout is functional and comfortable, featuring a spacious living area and a primary bedroom with its own bathroom for added convenience. A great deck to sit on and enjoy the peaceful living. This home is full of potential and just needs a little love to truly shine.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1978
- Listed 127 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Scenic Hill Elementary School (559 students, 78% FRL); Mill Creek Middle School (794 students, 83% FRL); Kent-Meridian High School (2,128 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 41% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 52d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.33%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,884
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -38.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1720 Maple Ln #1 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (-24%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $123 | 63 |
| 1204 E Laurel St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-5%) | 1mo | $645,750 | $384 | 50 |
| 10623 SE 265th Pl | 1.35mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,671 (-6%) | 2mo | $669,000 | $400 | 47 |
| 10513 SE 250th Pl Unit F104 | 1.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,609 (-9%) | 1mo | $450,490 | $280 | 41 |
| 10513 SE 250th Pl Unit F103 | 1.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,609 (-9%) | 2mo | $460,000 | $286 | 40 |
| 1011 E Smith St | 1.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,460 (-18%) | 2mo | $581,950 | $399 | 38 |
| 1313 52nd St NE #1303 | 1.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,539 (-13%) | 1mo | $475,000 | $309 | 35 |
| 812 Maplewood Ave | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,050 (+15%) | 1mo | $660,000 | $322 | 34 |
| 525 Kenosia Ave S | 0.98mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,090 (+18%) | 2mo | $711,000 | $340 | 34 |
| 10005 SE 267th St | 0.97mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,190 (+23%) | 0mo | $697,000 | $318 | 33 |
| 9808 S 252nd St | 1.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-16%) | 3mo | $584,000 | $389 | 33 |
| 624 W Willis St | 1.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,511 (-15%) | 0mo | $495,000 | $328 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $42,249
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.16×
- Total profit
- $116,354
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $226,800 ($158/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 64 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -41.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98030
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,007 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $963 | -5% $929 | +0% $894 | +5% $860 | +10% $825 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $736 | -5% $815 | +0% $894 | +5% $974 | +10% $1,053 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $945 | -0.5pp $920 | base $894 | +0.5pp $868 | +1.0pp $842 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1220 E Laurel St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 62d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 713 3rd Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $2,795 | $2.07 | 93d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 702 5th Ave S Kent, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 34d | 3 | 0.81mi |
| 617 3rd Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $3,200 | $2.44 | 34d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 401 3rd Ave S Unit Lower Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,780 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10031 SE 258th Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1454 | $2,908 | $2.00 | 0d | 5 | 0.99mi |
| 120 Kennebeck Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,100 | $1.88 | 28d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4750 Auburn Way N Auburn, WA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $2,102 | $2.08 | 0d | 7 | 1.13mi |
| 1462 51st Pl NE Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,900 | $1.88 | 51d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 24913 103rd Ave SE Apt E201 Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,595 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10215 SE 248th St Kent, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,645 | $2.13 | 93d | 3 | 1.40mi |
| 10215 SE 248th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,895 | $2.32 | 69d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Calculated building area: 1,776 square feetStyle: Manufactured double wide
- Financial info
- Land lease: $1,250Accepted financing: Cash, ConventionalBuyer broker comp: 3%
- HOA & community
- Located in Walnut Grove mobile home park (55+ / senior community)Park utilities and sewer managed by HOAPark name: Walnut Grove Mhp LLCPets allowed — see remarks
Exterior
- Parking
- Carport
- Utilities
- Electric energy sourcePublic water (managed via HOA)Sewer service through HOAPower provided by PSE
- Home design
- Manufactured home (double wide)One levelManufactured after 6/15/1976Manufactured home park approved for saleMobile home remainsGood conditionTie-down foundation
- Construction
- Metal/vinyl constructionComposition roofPrestige Fuqua Homes, Inc. manufacturer
- Exterior features
- Metal/vinyl exteriorPatio/porch/deckCorner lotPaved lotHas a view
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGarbage disposalMicrowaveRefrigeratorStove/Range
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Vinyl flooringCarpet
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bath1 three-quarter bath (total 2 showers, 1 bathtub)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingHeat pump (provides cooling)
- Interior features
- Water heater (electric) located in exterior closetDen/office, dining room, entry, family room, utility room
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerUtility room
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $100,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $100,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $100,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $100,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $100,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $100,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $100,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $100,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $100,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $100,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $100,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $100,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $100,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $100,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $100,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $100,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $100,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $100,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $100,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $100,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $100,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $100,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $100,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 14% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,927
- − Management
- −$1,927
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $9,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,332
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,399/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations, including kitchen and bathroom updates, exterior painting, and landscaping, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $20,000–$60,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears damaged and mossy
- Major Exterior (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — exterior siding appears damaged and mossy
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are visibly worn and outdated.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures are outdated and show signs of wear.
- Moderate Exterior siding — The siding shows some wear and discoloration.
- Major Flooring — The carpet is visibly stained and worn.
- Moderate Interior walls — The walls and ceilings show some signs of wear and discoloration.
- Minor Windows — The windows appear to be in average condition.
- Minor Foundation — The foundation appears to be in average condition.
- Minor HVAC system — The HVAC system appears to be in average condition.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A new kitchen with updated cabinetry and countertops would significantly increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Upgrading the bathrooms with new fixtures and possibly a shower/tub combination would increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Exterior painting and landscaping — Refreshing the exterior paint and improving the landscaping would enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,576,485 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,523
- Household income
- $91,761
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Asian 24% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 6% Italian 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 9% Other Asian/Pacific 8%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -494.18%
- Current HPI
- 315.2007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.72%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $100,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…