398 Oliver Pl Unit 1A · New York, NY 10458

$99,999

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Condo · 55 Days on market

Built 1938 $856/mo HOA ↓ 23% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.7/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.5/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to design your own home in a gorgeous meticulously maintained co-op building in Jerome Park/Fordham. A short walk from the Botanical Gardens and Fordham University this neighborhood has a long history and is in the beginning its revival. Large one bedroom unit on the first floor EASY ACCESS. This is a great commuter location right next to the Metro North stop and a short walk to the BD trains at Kingsbridge Rd. This is an HDFC coop. Income limits apply. Please reach out with any question.

Key facts

• $856 HOA
• Built 1938
• Listed 55 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property living area recorded from public records
• HOA & community: Has association with monthly fee of $856 (association covers other items)

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected
• Home design: Stock cooperative; Entry level: 1
• Construction: Brick exterior
• Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (bedrooms/other rooms as configured)
• Flooring: Hardwood floors
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
• Interior features: Other interior features

🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $99,999 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,379/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 10274% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 36% of rent; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $96,999 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.38% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.24%
• DSCR: 1.63
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.03% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.90×
• Total profit: $53,301
• Equity at exit: $56,818

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.7%
• Equity multiple: 7.35×
• Total profit: $177,757
• Equity at exit: $98,184

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10458

• Home prices YoY: 3.0%
• Rents YoY: 8.0%
• Active inventory: 63
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,379 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$856
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$500
• Net cashflow: $266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,042

Max offer price $99,999

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $335	-5% $300	+0% $266	+5% $231	+10% $197
Rent	-10% $78	-5% $172	+0% $266	+5% $360	+10% $454
Rate	-1.0pp $316	-0.5pp $291	base $266	+0.5pp $240	+1.0pp $214

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $856 · $10,272/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-04-13
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-17
   listed $99,999 Active
3. 2026-02-10
   historical
4. 2025-12-30
   status Active
5. 2025-12-02
   status Pending
6. 2025-09-22
   price $99,999
7. 2025-06-25
   price $109,000
8. 2025-06-10
   price $119,000
9. 2025-05-21
   listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,549
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,601
• − Property taxes: −$1,500
• − Insurance: −$1,297
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,284
• − Management: −$2,284
• − HOA: −$10,272
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $2,401
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$576
• After-tax cash flow: $2,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 74,898
• Household income: $40,800
• Rent vs Own: 95.8% rent · 4.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 10274.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 70% Black 16% Two or more races 10% White 8% Asian 4% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 34%
• Foreign-born: 41% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
• Languages at home: 30% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.03%
• Current HPI: 173.4217
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.04%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-23.1% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-17 Listed $99,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-10 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-30 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-02 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-22 Price Changed $99,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-25 Price Changed $109,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-10 Price Changed $119,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-21 Listed $130,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid