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706 E 8th St
B- Composite 68.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

706 E 8th St · Metropolis, IL 62960
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Other · 158 Days on market
5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to create something from the ground up-bring your vision and make this one shine! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow is a true blank canvas with the rehab already underway! Mechanical systems are of unknown condition. Attic space with the potential to become a 3rd bedroom with the addition of a permanent staircase. Detached garage with alley access. Check out the photos at the end that show the potential of this little gem!

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Detached garage
  • 5,662 sq ft lot

Tags

KITCHEN COMPLETELY GUTTEDATTIC SPACE POTENTIALDETACHED GARAGEALLEY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces); Total parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Aluminum and wood siding; Asphalt roof; Finished/unfinished total finished area approximately 840
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 150

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level); Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas, kitchen, and bedrooms; Linoleum in laundry room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas and electric heating
  • Interior features: Finished and unfinished attic; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (12 x 7) with linoleum flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($853 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 5.3% in Metropolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#217 in IL, #4,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Massac UD 1 (rural): math 24% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Metropolis Elem School (math 11% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,362 of 2,056 statewide, top 66%, 484 students, 0% FRL); Massac Jr High School (math 25% / reading 36%, grade F, #241 of 665 statewide, top 37%, 244 students, 0% FRL); Massac County High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 583 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Massac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Massac County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
16.51%
Cash-on-cash
36.47%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$17,100
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$46,302
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62960

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$853 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $436/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $368
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $408 -5% $396 +0% $383 +5% $370 +10% $357
Rent -10% $316 -5% $349 +0% $383 +5% $417 +10% $450
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $394 base $383 +0.5pp $371 +1.0pp $359

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $45,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 156 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 143 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 141 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 137 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 136 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 135 DOM
  19. 2026-01-13
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$436 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$729 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$293/yr (+$24/mo · 67.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,239
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$436
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$819
− Management
−$819
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$4,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$986
After-tax cash flow
$3,609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Massac UD 1
NCES district ID
1725000
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$41,431
Composite
22.06/100
National rank
#8192
State rank
#318 of 620 in IL

Livability — Metropolis

Score
75/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#4091

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Metropolis, IL
Population (ZIP)
10,823

Population outlook (Massac County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,461 people
By 2030
12,675 · -5.8%
By 2040
11,124 · -17.4%
By 2050
9,711 · -27.9%
By 2075
7,253 · -46.1%
By 2100
5,666 · -57.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Massac

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.8) · D 25.2% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -48.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.8 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.38%
Current HPI
137.0772
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $436 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…