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721 Laurel Bay Cir
D- Composite 36.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$345,000

721 Laurel Bay Cir · New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1991 1,251 sqft lot $140/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to 721 Laurel Bay St! Just two blocks from the Atlantic Ocean and The Beach, this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready end unit townhome offers the perfect blend of coastal living and everyday convenience. Enjoy easy walking access to the scenic Indian River Preserve Park and come home to a peaceful, park-like setting ideal for a primary residence or a relaxing vacation getaway. This home has been thoughtfully updated for peace of mind, including a new roof (2021), HVAC system (2024), hot water heater (2017), and fresh interior paint. The chef in the family will appreciate the spacious, well-lit kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, ample counter space, and a breakfast bar that opens seamlessly to the family room. Upstairs, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms. The primary suite offers an ensuite bath and a private balcony—perfect for morning coffee or evening breezes. The second bedroom also features its own private balcony, adding even more charm and outdoor enjoyment. Homes this close to the ocean and packed with updates don’t come along often. Schedule your private showing today—this one will not last.

Key facts

  • Updated hvac system
  • Walking access
  • Park-like setting

Tags

WALKING ACCESSPARK-LIKE SETTINGUPDATED ROOFUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMUPDATED HOT WATER HEATERFRESH INTERIOR PAINT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (13.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (23.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#474 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 539 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $175k; list at $345k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $262,627 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.47%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-66,948
Equity at exit
$51,441
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-54,895
Equity at exit
$29,829

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32169

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
539
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,626 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,171/yr
Insurance
$144
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$140
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$-266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,962
Max offer price $298,086
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3800 Saxon Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 838 $2,100 $2.51 23d 1 0.05mi
3800 Saxon Dr Unit 1545928P New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 893 $2,185 $2.45 14d 1 0.05mi
3307 Saxon Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 854 $1,975 $2.31 23d 1 0.34mi
834 E 25th Ave New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1007 $2,600 $2.58 14d 1 0.42mi
3801 S Atlantic Ave Unit 107 New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 912 $6,000 $6.58 23d 1 0.43mi
4175 S Atlantic Ave #3160 New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 788 $3,000 $3.81 23d 1 0.61mi
906 11th Ave New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,500 $3.50 23d 1 1.25mi
814 E 10th Ave New Smyrna Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 970 $2,600 $2.68 23d 1 1.28mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$140 · $1,680/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $345,000 Pending 142 DOM
  2. 2026-03-17
    price $345,000 1177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome Home to 721 Laurel Bay St! Just two blocks from the Atlantic Ocean and The Beach, this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready end unit townhome offers the perfect blend of coastal living and everyday convenience. Enjoy easy walking access to the scenic Indian River Preserve Park and come home to a peaceful, park-like setting ideal for a primary residence or a relaxing vacation getaway. This home has been thoughtfully updated for peace of mind, including a new roof (2021), HVAC system (2024), hot water heater (2017), and fresh interior paint. The chef in the family will appreciate the spacious, well-lit kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, ample counter space, and a breakfast bar that opens seamlessly to the family room. Upstairs, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms. The primary suite offers an ensuite bath and a private balcony—perfect for morning coffee or evening breezes. The second bedroom also features its own private balcony, adding even more charm and outdoor enjoyment. Homes this close to the ocean and packed with updates don’t come along often. Schedule your private showing today—this one will not last.

  3. 2026-01-08
    listed $350,000 Active 1177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome Home to 721 Laurel Bay St! Just two blocks from the Atlantic Ocean and The Beach, this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready end unit townhome offers the perfect blend of coastal living and everyday convenience. Enjoy easy walking access to the scenic Indian River Preserve Park and come home to a peaceful, park-like setting ideal for a primary residence or a relaxing vacation getaway. This home has been thoughtfully updated for peace of mind, including a new roof (2021), HVAC system (2024), hot water heater (2017), and fresh interior paint. The chef in the family will appreciate the spacious, well-lit kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, ample counter space, and a breakfast bar that opens seamlessly to the family room. Upstairs, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms. The primary suite offers an ensuite bath and a private balcony—perfect for morning coffee or evening breezes. The second bedroom also features its own private balcony, adding even more charm and outdoor enjoyment. Homes this close to the ocean and packed with updates don’t come along often. Schedule your private showing today—this one will not last.

  4. 2025-09-28
    historical
  5. 2025-09-03
    price $374,999
  6. 2025-09-03
    price $374,999
  7. 2025-07-24
    price $375,999
  8. 2025-07-23
    price $375,999
  9. 2025-06-19
    price $379,999
  10. 2025-06-19
    price $379,999
  11. 2025-06-02
    listed $385,000 Active
  12. 2025-05-02
    price $385,000
  13. 2025-04-17
    status Active
  14. 2025-04-14
    historical
  15. 2025-04-14
    status Pending
  16. 2025-03-28
    listed $387,000 Active
  17. 2017-08-18
    soldstatus $174,950
  18. 2017-08-17
    soldstatus $174,950 Closed
  19. 2017-08-17
    soldstatus $174,950
  20. 2017-06-22
    historical Contingent
  21. 2017-06-14
    listed $179,900 Active
  22. 2017-06-13
    listed $179,900
  23. 2003-10-03
    soldstatus $125,000
  24. 2003-09-30
    soldstatus $125,000
  25. 2003-09-30
    soldstatus $125,000
  26. 2003-08-20
    listed $129,900
  27. 2003-08-20
    listed $129,900
  28. 2000-11-20
    soldstatus $77,500
  29. 2000-11-20
    soldstatus $77,500
  30. 2000-11-15
    historical
  31. 2000-08-09
    listed $79,900
  32. 2000-08-09
    listed $79,900
  33. 1990-09-01
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,171 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,864 · $239/mo
Expected delta
+$693/yr (+$58/mo · 31.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,515
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$2,171
− Insurance
−$2,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,521
− Management
−$2,521
− HOA
−$1,680
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable loss
−$9,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,223
After-tax cash flow
$-964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — New Smyrna Beach

Score
69/100
State rank
#474
US rank
#8577

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Smyrna Beach, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
42,039
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
10,192
Household income
$110,968
Rent vs Own
11.8% rent · 88.2% own
Severe rent burden
145.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -297.06%
Current HPI
345.3555
Rent YoY
▲ 5.17%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1625.0% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $345,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $374,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $374,999 Daytona MLS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $375,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-23 Price Changed $375,999 Daytona MLS
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $379,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $379,999 Daytona MLS
  • 2025-06-02 Listed $385,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $385,000 Daytona MLS
  • 2025-04-17 Relisted Daytona MLS
  • 2025-04-14 Listing Removed Daytona MLS
  • 2025-04-14 Pending Daytona MLS
  • 2025-03-28 Listed $387,000 Daytona MLS
  • 2017-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $174,950 Public Records
  • 2017-08-17 Sold (MLS) $174,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-17 Sold (MLS) $174,950 NSBMLS
  • 2017-06-22 Contingent NSBMLS
  • 2017-06-14 Listed $179,900 NSBMLS
  • 2017-06-13 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-30 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NSBMLS
  • 2003-09-30 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-08-20 Listed $129,900 NSBMLS
  • 2003-08-20 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-20 Sold (MLS) $77,500 NSBMLS
  • 2000-11-20 Sold (MLS) $77,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-15 Delisted NSBMLS
  • 2000-08-09 Listed $79,900 NSBMLS
  • 2000-08-09 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,171 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…