1759 A Three Branches Rd · Lugoff, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy peaceful country living with space to spread out on this 1-acre property. Located just a few miles from I-20, it’s a convenient commute to Columbia or Florence, zoned for Kershaw County schools, and a quick drive to Lake Wateree. With approximately 1800 sq feet of living space, this home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with large front and back yards perfect for relaxing, gardening, or outdoor activities. A new roof and fascia were installed in September 2025, providing added peace of mind. Inside, the cozy living room showcases plush carpeting, plenty of seating space, and a cozy wood-burning fireplace with a brick hearth. The kitchen features a spacious dining area,
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 2006
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Shed; Uncovered front porch; Uncovered back porch; Vinyl exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Wood-natural cabinets; Eat-in kitchen with island; Formica countertops; Vinyl flooring; Recessed lighting; Built-in range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with garden tub, private bath, separate shower, sitting room, walk-in closet, private closet, separate water closet, carpeted floors; Second bedroom on main level with walk-in closet, shared bath with tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, carpeted floors; Third bedroom on main level with walk-in closet, shared bath with tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, carpeted floors
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Vinyl in kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in heated space on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Kershaw 01 (rural): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in SC (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wateree Elementary (math 51% / reading 51%, grade C-, #158 of 597 statewide, top 27%, 732 students, 72% FRL); Lugoff-Elgin High (math 65% / reading 89%, grade A-, #28 of 196 statewide, top 16%, 1,744 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 49% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kershaw 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 491 units permitted in Kershaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kershaw County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.27%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,451
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $27,710
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29078
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $468/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $389
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $180,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-05-16historical Active - Contingent
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-05-02status Pending
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-23historical Active - Contingent
-
2026-03-17$180,000 Active
-
2026-03-17$180,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,026 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$558/yr (+$46/mo · 119.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$468
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,759
- − Management
- −$1,759
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $1,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$427
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kershaw 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502550
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,585
- Composite
- 37.66/100
- National rank
- #4371
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lugoff
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #6636
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kershaw County · 47,655 people
- City population
- 16,283
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,283
- Household income
- $67,727
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 61.0
Population outlook (Kershaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,683 people
- By 2030
- 69,374 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,936 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 73,292 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 75,762 · +11.9%
- By 2100
- 72,620 · +7.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Kershaw
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.3% · R 63.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.7pp · 2024: -28.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.2 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+18.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.83%
- Current HPI
- 211.3661
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-23 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $180,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $180,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $468 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…