1515-1517 Campbell St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Cash flow +5.0/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Multi unit located in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from the heart of Mexican Town. This Enjoy a spacious unit income producing, a private basement with dedicated laundry separate utilities, and ample storage space. Conveniently close to local shops, restaurants, and a short drive to downtown Detroit. Don’t miss this opportunity to live in a vibrant and peaceful community! Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Ample storage space
- Separate utilities
- Private basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit building; Net operating income: $14,280; Property has an existing lease
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water (at street); Public water supply; Natural gas
- Home design: Multi-family property; 2-story structure; Built in 1908; Frontage 40 feet
- Construction: Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Paved street access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Fenced yard
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-564 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (34.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (42.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $138k (42.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.08%
- DSCR
- 0.55
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,088
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5854 Romeyn St | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,261 (+2%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $80 | 69 |
| 1415 Campbell St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,941 (-13%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $124 | 66 |
| 1113 Clark St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 | 2,100 (-6%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $104 | 62 |
| 2018 Morrell St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,259 (+2%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $53 | 61 |
| 1469 Clark St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,060 (-7%) | 17mo | $335,000 | $163 | 52 |
| 1020 Ferdinand St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,042 (-8%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $159 | 50 |
| 6361 Lafayette Blvd | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,124 (-4%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $104 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $94,781
- Equity at exit
- $216,211
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $307,426
- Equity at exit
- $466,267
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48209
- Home prices YoY
- 21.8%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $-564
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-399 | -5% $-482 | +0% $-564 | +5% $-647 | +10% $-730 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-674 | -5% $-619 | +0% $-564 | +5% $-510 | +10% $-455 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-444 | -0.5pp $-503 | base $-564 | +0.5pp $-627 | +1.0pp $-690 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5421 Toledo St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1646 Mc Kinstry St Unit 1F McKinstry Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1879 | $1,200 | $0.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1039 N Rademacher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2400 | $1,300 | $0.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 409-char remark
-
2026-06-21status $240,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 408-char remark
-
2026-06-16$240,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$3,600
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,330
- − Management
- −$1,330
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$11,265
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,704
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,184
- Household income
- $43,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% White 17% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 62%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 73.77%
- Current HPI
- 412.9753
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+16451.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $240,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $1,450 REALSOURCE
- 2024-11-26 Listed for Rent $1,450 REALSOURCE
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…