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930 Dalton Ave
B+ Composite 75.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

930 Dalton Ave · Dundalk, MD 21224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · Townhouse public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1958 2,016 sqft lot Est $190k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special in the heart of Dundalk! Estate sale being sold strictly as-is. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath brick interior townhome offers strong upside potential for investors looking for their next flip or rental property. Features include central air, classic 3-bedroom layout upstairs, solid brick construction, and an unfinished walkout basement with additional value-add opportunity. Renovated homes in the area are consistently selling in the $215K–$230K+ range, while rental demand remains strong at $2,000+/month. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, commuter routes, and local amenities. Property is vacant and ready for renovation. Cash or hard money financing only. Bring your v

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Local amenities
  • Central air

Tags

CENTRAL AIRSOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTIONUNFINISHED WALKOUT BASEMENTSTRONG RENTAL DEMANDDINING COMMUTER ROUTESLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is on ground rent (payment semi-annually); Below-grade area and above-grade area documented (assessor sources)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Built (year source: Assessor)
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Block foundation; Unfinished and partially finished lower level
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Above- and below-grade structures noted; Ground rent payable semi-annually

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement with some finished area; Multiple access exits (2+)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.03%
Cash-on-cash
16.90%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7552 Rabon Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,144 (0%) 2mo $132,000 $115 79
805 Mildred Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,144 (0%) 1mo $235,000 $205 78
640 Aldworth Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,144 (0%) 9mo $150,000 $131 70
7911 Bank St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-6%) 5mo $140,000 $130 63
7475 Rabon Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,024 (-10%) 4mo $170,000 $166 57
7304 Stratton Way 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,080 (-6%) 5mo $215,000 $199 54
8022 Lansdale Rd 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-2%) 9mo $189,000 $169 52
7944 Lansdale Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-10%) 4mo $137,200 $134 52
7756 Wynbrook Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,171 (+2%) 9mo $169,900 $145 51
7315 Stratton Way 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,215 (+6%) 6mo $250,000 $206 51
874 Mildred Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+12%) 3mo $226,000 $177 49
7721 Wynbrook Rd 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (+12%) 2mo $155,000 $121 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$10,662
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$46,744
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21224

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,166 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,088/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,367
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
944 Dalton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1024 $2,100 $2.05 11d 1 0.03mi
932 Elton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,950 $1.90 18d 1 0.05mi
901 Elton Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1056 $2,800 $2.65 44d 1 0.09mi
7517 Belmont Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 720 $1,800 $2.50 18d 1 0.14mi
7444 Berkshire Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1228 $1,850 $1.51 5d 1 0.19mi
7520 Durwood Rd Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1110 $2,100 $1.89 44d 1 0.33mi
608 Northpoint Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1148 $1,895 $1.65 24d 1 0.35mi
7484 Rabon Ave Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.5 1499 $2,000 $1.33 44d 1 0.40mi
505 Northpoint Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,195 $1.69 11d 1 0.49mi
849 Loalan Ave Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $1,850 $1.81 15d 1 0.49mi
7911 Bank St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,749 $1.62 44d 1 0.51mi
8036 Lansdale Rd Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,775 $1.73 5d 1 0.62mi
309 52nd St Unit A Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 722 $1,350 $1.87 24d 1 0.66mi
7716 Wynbrook Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1232 $1,800 $1.46 44d 1 0.71mi
7261 Bridgewood Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 896 $2,495 $2.78 24d 1 0.72mi
7915 Eastdale Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.72mi
7325 Conley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,950 $1.51 18d 1 0.74mi
7319 Conley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,950 $1.81 18d 1 0.74mi
7948 Eastdale Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,700 $1.66 44d 1 0.76mi
7951 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,750 $1.71 2d 1 0.78mi
7219 Conley St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1440 $1,950 $1.35 15d 1 0.81mi
7230 Conley St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1144 $2,100 $1.84 3d 1 0.83mi
7230 Conley St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1144 $2,100 $1.84 24d 1 0.83mi
530 47th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,750 $1.23 24d 1 0.86mi
630 47th St Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 44d 1 0.88mi
628 47th St Apt RW2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 11d 1 0.89mi
7136 Eastbrook Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 996 $2,200 $2.21 5d 1 0.92mi
7124 Gough St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,700 $1.55 22d 1 0.96mi
7058 Eastbrook Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,700 $1.38 11d 1 0.96mi
1533 Leslie Rd Dundalk, MD 4.0 1.0 1270 $2,000 $1.57 44d 1 0.99mi
7508 Ives Ln Dundalk, MD 2.0 1.0 896 $1,750 $1.95 44d 1 0.99mi
6905 Bank St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 784 $1,650 $2.10 44d 1 1.04mi
6802 Conley St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 939 $1,750 $1.86 22d 1 1.10mi
7 Robinson Ave Dundalk, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,600 $2.36 44d 1 1.13mi
1955 Walnut Ave Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 44d 1 1.15mi
6710 Hudson St Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.0 1156 $3,500 $3.03 24d 1 1.26mi
414 Westfield Rd Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $2,300 $2.25 44d 1 1.27mi
6722 Brentwood Ave Unit 2FL Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 44d 1 1.36mi
3000 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 717 $1,330 $1.85 3d 35 1.42mi
334 Kane St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $160,000 Active
  2. 2006-07-21
    soldstatus $125,000
  3. 1985-04-23
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,088 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,088 · $174/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,987
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,088
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,079
− Management
−$2,079
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$5,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,278
After-tax cash flow
$6,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400120
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,746
Composite
23.17/100
National rank
#7948
State rank
#11 of 24 in MD

Livability — Dundalk

Score
85/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#510

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dundalk, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
59,407
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,465
Household income
$89,017
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1786.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
885,518 people
By 2030
909,272 · +2.7%
By 2040
951,547 · +7.5%
By 2050
990,955 · +11.9%
By 2075
1,086,411 · +22.7%
By 2100
1,135,078 · +28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -332.23%
Current HPI
241.284
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+281.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1985-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,088 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…