84136 Avenue 44 #114 · Indio, CA 92203

$129,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 58 Days on market

Built 1997 1,742 sqft lot $322/sqft · 26% above area Est $102k · 26% over $570/mo HOA · 33% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.7/30.0
• 1% rule +8.3/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Enjoy privacy and comfort in this well-positioned park model featuring a private lot and convenient washer and dryer on the deck. The home is enhanced with drop down automatic shutters, offering both shade and added security, making it ideal for a seasonal retreat. Located within the highly sought-after Rancho Casa Blanca (RCB), this beautifully maintained, lushly landscaped 80-acre resort-style community is home to 801 individually owned park models and RV sites. Residents enjoy an exceptional lifestyle centered around two spacious clubhouses that serve as vibrant social hubs, along with four satellite buildings offering laundry facilities, mail services, heated pools, and relaxing spas. O

Key facts

• Heated pools
• Private lot
• Fitness center

Tags

• PRIVATE LOT
• WASHER AND DRYER
• AUTOMATIC SHUTTERS
• HEATED POOLS
• FITNESS CENTER
• GUARD-GATED COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Senior community; Short term rentals not allowed; Will not consider lease; Listing terms: Cash or cash to new loan; CC & R disclosures
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee: $570/month; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, banquet facilities, recreation room, guest parking, golf course, tennis courts, paddle tennis

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; 2 total parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
• Security: 24-hour security
• Utilities: Sewer: in street paid; PUD: No
• Home design: Detached property; Single-story; Ground level; Year built per assessor
• Construction: Construction and year built per assessor
• Exterior features: Community in-ground pool; Community in-ground spa/hot tub; Mountain views; 24-hour security; Gated community; Fee simple land

Interior

• Bedrooms: Ground level bedroom(s); Breakfast room
• Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Forced air heating; Air conditioning
• Interior features: Turnkey furnished

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-175/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (2.0% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
• Recommended offer: $125k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Desert Ridge Academy (math 24% / reading 75%, grade C, #98 of 498 statewide, top 21%, 1,030 students, 81% FRL); Shadow Hills High (math 30% / reading 53%, grade F, #498 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,751 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 56% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $40k; list at $129k implies a 222% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $125,130 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.16%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.49%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $102,500
• List price: $129,000
• Delta: 25.85%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
84136 Ave 44 #122	0.04mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	2mo	$125,000	$313	96
84136 Ave 44, #29 #29	0.10mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	2mo	$90,000	$225	94
84136 Avenue 44 #477	0.14mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	1mo	$95,000	$238	92
84136 Ave 44, #567 #567	0.14mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	2mo	$90,000	$225	92
84136 Ave 44, 658 #658	0.15mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	3mo	$102,500	$256	90
84136 Ave 44, #262 #262	0.21mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	0mo	$192,500	$481	90
84136 Ave 44, 675 #675	0.19mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	3mo	$205,000	$513	89
754 Ave 44 #754	0.18mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	3mo	$101,500	$254	89
84136 Ave 44, #744 #744	0.20mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	2mo	$176,000	$440	89
84136 84136 Avenue 44, #325 #325	0.22mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	2mo	$79,000	$198	88
84136 Avenue 44, #449 #449	0.21mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	3mo	$230,000	$575	88
84136 Ave 44, #385 #385	0.25mi	1/1.0	400 (0%)	3mo	$178,000	$445	86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-12,467
• Equity at exit: $19,234

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.84×
• Total profit: $30,427
• Equity at exit: $11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92203

• Home prices YoY: -25.0%
• Rents YoY: 11.6%
• Active inventory: 447
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,712 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$676
• Tax from tax record: −$67 /mo · $806/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$570
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$360
• Net cashflow: $-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,731

Max offer price $126,418

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $58	-5% $22	+0% $-15	+5% $-51	+10% $-88
Rent	-10% $-150	-5% $-82	+0% $-15	+5% $53	+10% $121
Rate	-1.0pp $50	-0.5pp $18	base $-15	+0.5pp $-48	+1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,250
• Closing costs: $3,870
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $570 · $6,840/yr
• Likely covers: poolsecurity

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $129,000 Active 58 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $129,000 Active 53 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $129,000 Active 52 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $129,000 Active 46 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $129,000 Active 45 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $129,000 Active 44 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,000 Active 41 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 40 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 37 DOM
15. 2026-04-24
    listed $129,000 Active 1295-char remark
16. 2026-03-31
    historical
17. 2026-03-07
    price $120,000
18. 2026-01-21
    listed $134,900 Active
19. 2008-04-15
    soldstatus $40,000
20. 2000-04-27
    soldstatus $20,000
21. 1995-07-07
    soldstatus $15,000
22. 1989-12-28
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $806 · $67/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $980 · $82/mo
• Expected delta: +$174/yr (+$15/mo · 21.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥115°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,549
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,226
• − Property taxes: −$806
• − Insurance: −$645
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,644
• − Management: −$1,644
• − HOA: −$6,840
• − Depreciation: −$3,753
• Taxable loss: −$2,009
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$482
• After-tax cash flow: $307/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Desert Sands Unified
• NCES district ID: 0611110
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 56% ▲ 7.00%
• Median HH income: $54,957
• Composite: 37.77/100
• National rank: #4346
• State rank: #199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

• Score: 53/100
• State rank: #927
• US rank: #24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Indio, CA
• County: Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
• City population: 100,560
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• Population (ZIP): 34,735
• Household income: $97,311
• Rent vs Own: 20.2% rent · 79.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 565.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,664,475 people
• By 2030: 2,802,692 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 3,050,904 · +14.5%
• By 2050: 3,256,783 · +22.2%
• By 2075: 3,655,058 · +37.2%
• By 2100: 3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% White 41% Two or more races 29% Asian 3% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 48%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -98.51%
• Current HPI: 295.6456
• Rent YoY: ▲ 11.64%
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+473.3% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-24 Listed $129,000 GPSMLS
• 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2026-03-07 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
• 2026-01-21 Listed $134,900 CRMLS
• 2008-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
• 2000-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 1995-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
• 1989-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2014): $806 · +18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.