625 Marshall St · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,528
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here is an amazing opportunity to buy a property that is in near original condition with warm, inviting curb appeal. Large lot with and set off street, nice two car attached carport. Home needs re modelling, new flooring and updates would enhance value. See it today! RESERVE AUCTION PROPERTY- Property sold "AS-IS" without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect before bidding.
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing accepts Cash and Conventional financing
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single family residence (house); Resale property; Built in 1958
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built in 1958; Above-grade finished living area reported
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level layout; Fireplace (1); Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Scott Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 338 students, 91% FRL); Thomasville High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 797 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 60% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $418 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.92%
- DSCR
- 4.07
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1214 N Dawson St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+0%) | 11mo | $138,500 | $135 | 58 |
| 307 Ridgecrest Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-1%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $326 | 56 |
| 1110 N Young St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+8%) | 7mo | $137,500 | $125 | 55 |
| 427 Myrtle Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+12%) | 9mo | $292,500 | $254 | 55 |
| 1307 N Dawson St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (+8%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $72 | 54 |
| 1010 Joree Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (-3%) | 8mo | $197,500 | $199 | 54 |
| 105 Sunnyland Ct | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (-6%) | 17mo | $147,000 | $152 | 46 |
| 318 Myrtle Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 955 (-7%) | 18mo | $165,000 | $173 | 45 |
| 520 E Walcott St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 925 (-10%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $49 | 42 |
| 609 E Clay St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-6%) | 19mo | $105,000 | $109 | 41 |
| 1325 Young St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,159 (+13%) | 16mo | $199,750 | $172 | 40 |
| 915 N Crawford St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (+8%) | 14mo | $35,000 | $32 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $52,181
- Equity at exit
- $9,025
- IRR
- 72.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.39×
- Total profit
- $125,250
- Equity at exit
- $5,233
Cash invested: $16,948 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31792
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,701 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$317
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $338/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $973
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,008 | -5% $990 | +0% $973 | +5% $956 | +10% $939 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $839 | -5% $906 | +0% $973 | +5% $1,041 | +10% $1,108 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,004 | -0.5pp $989 | base $973 | +0.5pp $958 | +1.0pp $942 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,132
- Closing costs
- $1,816
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 N Spair St Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 209 E Monroe St Unit 1 Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1388 N Pinetree Blvd Thomasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 403 Remington Ave Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,575 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 100 Pine St Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 220 Covington Ave Thomasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 45d | 10 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $60,528 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,528 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $60,528 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,528 New 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,528 New 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,528 New 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,528 New 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,528 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,528 New 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,528 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,528 New 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 514-char remark
-
2026-06-07$60,528 New 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $338 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$219/yr (+$18/mo · 64.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,418
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,391
- − Property taxes
- −$338
- − Insurance
- −$303
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,633
- − Management
- −$1,633
- − Depreciation
- −$1,761
- Taxable income
- $11,359
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,726
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,954/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomasville City
- NCES district ID
- 1304950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,040
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #7106
- State rank
- #87 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, GA
- County
- Thomas County · 22,962 people
- City population
- 22,962
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,962
- Household income
- $50,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.17%
- Current HPI
- 228.0107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $60,528 GAMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $338 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…